Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$117.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$341

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-07 03:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$2

Crypto

32% — —

Other

16% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	187	$51.1K	29,400	24,660	+4,740	open	—	02-05 05:16
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$13.4K	6,801	6,800	+1	open	—	02-08 13:55
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	11	$8.7K	4,510	4,505	+5	open	—	01-29 15:46
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$6.9K	3,487	3,487	+0	open	—	02-03 04:26
bitcoin above 94k on january 28	8	$6.1K	3,082	3,035	+47	open	—	01-28 15:11
bitcoin above 80k on january 30	8	$5.2K	2,830	2,830	+0	open	—	01-30 06:17
bitcoin above 82k on january 29	8	$4.8K	2,418	2,418	+0	open	—	01-29 16:21
bitcoin above 86k on january 28	12	$3.2K	1,620	1,620	+0	open	—	01-28 14:45
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$3.2K	3,216	0	+3,216	open	—	01-28 15:41
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$3.2K	2,230	975	+1,255	open	—	01-29 15:53
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2.0K	1,984	0	+1,984	open	—	01-29 16:39
lol jdg al 2026 04 10	2	$418	308	303	+5	open	—	04-10 13:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 06:40
lol dk dnf 2026 02 20	2	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	02-20 11:29
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	7	$354	398	393	+4	open	—	04-27 07:16
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$349	351	0	+351	open	—	03-16 08:07
ethereum above 2500 on february 12	1	$322	322	0	+322	open	—	02-12 11:52
bitcoin above 60k on february 15	1	$320	320	0	+320	open	—	02-15 12:52
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	1	$309	310	0	+310	open	—	02-05 08:18
bitcoin above 60k on february 23	1	$309	310	0	+310	open	—	02-23 14:12
ethereum above 2300 on february 6	1	$309	310	0	+310	open	—	02-06 08:33
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$308	310	0	+310	open	—	02-16 13:40
ethereum above 2500 on february 10	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	02-10 10:56
Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$297	298	0	+298	open	—	02-11 10:10
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner	1	$270	270	0	+270	open	—	05-04 13:05
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$260	260	0	+260	open	—	04-14 05:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$249	250	0	+250	open	—	05-15 06:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$224	225	0	+225	No	+$1	05-11 09:10
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$220	220	0	+220	open	—	02-22 04:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$219	220	0	+220	No	+$1	05-09 00:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 03:34:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x6dce90…
05-30 05:51:00	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8d0db8…
05-27 05:57:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x404255…
05-23 02:56:34	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x71b89f…
05-23 02:53:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf9f878…
05-18 12:46:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf974b2…
05-17 12:46:18	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7558f9…
05-15 06:09:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xab65f5…
05-15 06:09:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9578b8…
05-15 06:09:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x8ee58b…
05-15 06:09:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x809f2c…
05-15 06:09:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x547173…
05-15 06:09:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xf54e88…
05-15 05:41:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa6bc38…
05-15 05:40:54	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbad846…
05-11 09:10:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x7345fd…
05-11 08:52:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa89ed5…
05-11 08:51:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbb52c6…
05-11 08:51:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb8b0e3…
05-11 08:51:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x84ea22…
05-11 08:51:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3c7e74…
05-09 00:47:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$219	0x5bcc9f…
05-04 13:05:28	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0xdcd304…
04-29 07:24:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xc3ede6…
04-27 07:16:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	98	45¢	$44	0x925e87…
04-27 06:27:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	96	45¢	$43	0x75de1a…
04-27 06:26:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x0801f1…
04-27 06:26:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	98	44¢	$43	0xc36892…
04-27 06:15:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x4419d6…
04-27 06:13:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xd37bf7…
04-27 06:13:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x3cf3a9…
04-24 06:12:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0xb9fe60…
04-22 07:48:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xf16535…
04-22 06:34:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x221d03…
04-14 05:11:57	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xeec282…
04-10 13:02:55	lol jdg al 2026 04 10	JD Gaming	SELL	303	72¢	$218	0x0329b8…
04-10 12:56:21	lol jdg al 2026 04 10	JD Gaming	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x95064b…
04-07 06:40:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x17badc…
04-02 08:28:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xffce1b…
03-21 21:10:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	222	92¢	$204	0x3f8d42…
03-21 13:57:39	lol gen g2 2026 03 21 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x45dc63…
03-21 13:54:07	lol gen g2 2026 03 21 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x635fac…
03-16 08:07:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	350	100¢	$348	0xd352cd…
03-14 13:23:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xb7a24e…
03-10 10:34:29	ethereum above 1700 on march 10	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x281a65…
03-06 04:51:11	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7ef08…
03-03 09:47:51	lol al ig1 2026 03 03	Anyone's Legend	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x40ee5f…
03-03 09:47:43	lol al ig1 2026 03 03	Anyone's Legend	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x16e9ee…
03-03 09:47:19	lol al ig1 2026 03 03	Anyone's Legend	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xddf744…
02-27 15:38:11	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0xe84517…
02-27 15:38:11	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	162	92¢	$149	0xa9a1ef…
02-27 10:47:35	bitcoin above 60k on february 27	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x60b7eb…
02-23 14:12:08	bitcoin above 60k on february 23	Yes	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0x7a395d…
02-22 04:13:48	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x2ecac6…
02-20 11:29:10	lol dk dnf 2026 02 20	Dplus KIA	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x9eab25…
02-20 10:08:38	lol dk dnf 2026 02 20	Dplus KIA	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xe086a3…
02-17 08:10:57	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x513f74…
02-16 13:40:47	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	310	99¢	$308	0x621474…
02-15 12:52:31	bitcoin above 60k on february 15	Yes	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x9f4ba5…
02-12 11:52:03	ethereum above 2500 on february 12	No	BUY	322	100¢	$322	0xba37bd…
02-11 10:11:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8200ae…
02-11 10:10:53	Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0x151ec1…
02-10 10:56:23	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7374a…
02-10 10:56:13	ethereum above 2500 on february 10	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa07b6b…
02-08 13:55:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x575df7…
02-08 13:55:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x535fea…
02-06 08:33:37	ethereum above 2300 on february 6	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0x9be74e…
02-05 08:18:35	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0xa2e2a4…
02-05 05:16:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	301	97¢	$292	0x18f326…
02-03 04:27:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a74a9…
02-03 04:26:46	Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x15cce1…
02-03 04:26:28	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x689703…
01-30 12:11:56	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72a6a3…
01-30 12:10:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xd28ed0…
01-30 12:08:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,477	100¢	$3,467	0x3e3196…
01-30 12:01:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,477	100¢	$3,467	0x9d789b…
01-30 11:59:30	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	3,477	100¢	$3,467	0xe5739e…
01-30 11:50:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	3,477	99¢	$3,460	0x5e53a7…
01-30 11:49:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0x746dbe…
01-30 11:49:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x4e9ab6…
01-30 11:49:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0xb4507b…
01-30 11:48:40	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	104	95¢	$99	0x593e19…
01-30 11:48:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9795d6…
01-30 11:47:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	436	95¢	$414	0xa37d9f…
01-30 11:46:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	632	95¢	$600	0xb3d68d…
01-30 11:46:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	180	95¢	$171	0x69280f…
01-30 11:04:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0xe97d8d…
01-30 10:34:24	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x99007c…
01-30 10:14:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x7c36d6…
01-30 10:13:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5a5d56…
01-30 10:13:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x52922e…
01-30 10:12:40	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x140db7…
01-30 10:11:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	394	94¢	$370	0xd51ca9…
01-30 10:11:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0x776433…
01-30 10:10:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xf50793…
01-30 10:10:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x44b904…
01-30 10:10:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x190be6…
01-30 10:08:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb5a81d…
01-30 10:08:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd7614c…
01-30 10:08:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x99d1c7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	58	$9.26K	2,255	06-04 12:04
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	49	$34.5K	11,734	04-16 21:02
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	47	$381.6K	5,467	06-07 19:09
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	47	$8.22K	3,241	06-05 20:58
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	39	$1.34K	486	03-27 09:14
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	37	$1.50K	1,483	05-13 05:22
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	36	$16.6M	16,847	06-07 19:02
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	36	$78.4K	7,337	05-31 19:04