Muted-Chauvinist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$985

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-22 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 100% +$1

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	04-27 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	1	$81	82	+82	Down	+$0	05-07 08:52
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	04-28 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$71	71	+71	open	—	05-22 03:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	1	$69	69	+69	open	—	04-28 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	1	$57	58	+58	open	—	04-28 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	05-19 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	05-15 06:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-13 00:55
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET	1	$46	46	+46	open	—	04-30 06:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	04-29 03:53
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$39	39	+39	Up	+$0	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	1	$39	39	+39	open	—	05-04 02:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	1	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	05-05 06:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	1	$31	31	+31	Down	+$0	05-12 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$31	31	+31	open	—	05-21 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	1	$31	31	+31	Up	+$0	05-10 08:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	05-04 02:23
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$23	23	+23	Up	+$0	05-06 03:47
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	04-29 03:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	04-28 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 03:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x2ccd7e…
05-21 07:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xadad1e…
05-19 07:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9b8684…
05-15 06:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7c6d94…
05-13 00:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1b0bd8…
05-12 03:57:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x95dfa9…
05-10 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xede77b…
05-07 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0xd4a0bc…
05-06 03:47:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdc5b4f…
05-05 06:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xedd5b8…
05-05 03:50:28	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x53b433…
05-04 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x3fd7ed…
05-04 02:23:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdd1002…
04-30 06:52:36	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x9e02ec…
04-29 03:53:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa5e01d…
04-29 03:45:36	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x79b026…
04-28 06:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x616802…
04-28 06:39:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa86d7e…
04-28 03:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0xa958c2…
04-28 02:47:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x75a49a…
04-27 07:33:02	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x01f3f6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c	16	$1.05K	35	05-22 04:00
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	14	$5.36K	146	05-22 02:43
Dark-Feed 0x3f73…ee8a	13	$845	13	05-22 03:54
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	12	$7.07K	1,369	05-19 07:55
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	12	$3.91K	234	05-19 07:52
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	12	$3.33K	177	05-19 07:52
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	12	$1.90K	103	05-22 03:08
Agile-Outlay 0x2bd7…1ad6	12	$1.40K	100	05-19 07:50