Knowing-Witness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

392

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-17 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 89% $-18

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776709800	6	$731	387	386	+2	open	—	04-20 18:44
btc updown 5m 1776710100	4	$344	175	175	+0	open	—	04-20 18:40
btc updown 15m 1776708900	4	$339	171	171	+0	open	—	04-20 18:29
btc updown 15m 1776707100	5	$231	122	122	+0	open	—	04-20 17:58
btc updown 15m 1776438900	5	$215	111	111	+0	open	—	04-17 15:30
btc updown 5m 1776707700	2	$211	134	130	+4	open	—	04-20 18:00
btc updown 5m 1776710700	1	$206	229	0	+229	open	—	04-20 18:49
btc updown 5m 1776422100	2	$201	105	105	+1	open	—	04-17 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$201	102	102	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET	3	$198	100	100	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$192	100	100	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$184	100	100	+0	Up	+$14	05-07 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	8	$179	100	89	+11	Up	+$8	05-10 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	7	$175	100	100	+0	Up	+$21	05-08 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	16	$175	100	100	+0	Up	+$21	05-08 10:59
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 10am et	2	$160	85	84	+1	open	—	04-16 14:58
btc updown 15m 1776348900	2	$156	79	79	+0	open	—	04-16 14:30
btc updown 15m 1776348000	2	$152	79	79	+0	open	—	04-16 14:15
btc updown 15m 1776336300	2	$140	75	74	+1	open	—	04-16 10:59
btc updown 15m 1776335400	2	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	04-16 10:45
btc updown 15m 1776334500	2	$127	66	66	+0	open	—	04-16 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	11	$125	80	50	+30	open	—	05-23 10:44
btc updown 15m 1776330000	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-16 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$108	58	58	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	05-03 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$107	55	55	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3AM ET	2	$106	55	55	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	04-27 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	04-27 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:44:41	btc updown 5m 1781710800	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0xf0794f…
06-17 15:44:41	btc updown 5m 1781710800	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xede7db…
06-17 15:44:41	btc updown 5m 1781710800	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x7339ba…
06-17 15:44:28	btc updown 5m 1781710800	Down	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0x197c20…
05-28 12:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xea410f…
05-28 12:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x587e11…
05-28 12:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x0e149f…
05-28 12:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xb59610…
05-28 12:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xda52de…
05-28 12:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$20	0x00f40d…
05-28 12:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x52e141…
05-28 12:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x4cf3c8…
05-28 12:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xb222cd…
05-28 12:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe4b7e1…
05-23 10:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd86e55…
05-23 10:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x69fb92…
05-23 10:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xa885fb…
05-23 10:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfee74d…
05-23 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbc28ce…
05-23 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xb86937…
05-23 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x7e3fcb…
05-23 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3586c4…
05-23 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x020c4c…
05-23 10:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x4d101f…
05-23 10:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xe9c65f…
05-23 10:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x32aaf8…
05-23 10:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x0aa754…
05-23 10:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8f4d00…
05-23 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x56514d…
05-22 18:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa2e4f8…
05-22 18:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x195128…
05-22 18:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x44086e…
05-22 18:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xbfc633…
05-22 18:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa1cb36…
05-22 18:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbdbdd0…
05-22 18:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x62e7d8…
05-22 18:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9bc012…
05-22 18:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x5c3247…
05-22 18:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x0cd1f3…
05-22 18:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x1c2755…
05-22 18:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xc76283…
05-22 17:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x57bfd8…
05-22 17:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x71eb29…
05-22 17:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf34456…
05-22 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x6116da…
05-22 16:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5daee1…
05-22 16:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x842498…
05-22 16:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa2a224…
05-22 16:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x466e3f…
05-22 16:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1c4ea0…
05-22 16:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x309a39…
05-22 16:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xb24202…
05-22 16:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x9479d2…
05-22 16:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x78102e…
05-22 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xaac1b0…
05-22 15:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd82a8b…
05-22 15:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7e10c0…
05-22 15:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x501338…
05-22 15:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xc22fb9…
05-22 15:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x84fa11…
05-17 12:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x5d35fb…
05-17 12:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc64dca…
05-17 12:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x099c0b…
05-17 12:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xb6110c…
05-15 16:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa5938c…
05-15 16:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb431e3…
05-15 16:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xbee3b1…
05-15 16:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x912b28…
05-15 16:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb6522d…
05-15 16:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9b9d70…
05-15 16:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbb6eff…
05-15 16:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xaaee8f…
05-15 16:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9f6344…
05-15 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x41e328…
05-15 16:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6d691e…
05-15 16:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x830f71…
05-15 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3bed16…
05-15 16:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x1bf405…
05-13 15:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc407a3…
05-13 15:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa131c6…
05-13 15:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3983fe…
05-13 15:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x37943e…
05-13 15:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xcd2a4f…
05-13 15:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f2da8…
05-13 15:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x75a21d…
05-13 15:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x304d00…
05-13 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfa5c63…
05-13 15:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0c5eb1…
05-13 15:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xad8555…
05-13 15:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xa1c83e…
05-13 15:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xecb189…
05-13 14:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x93aa1b…
05-13 14:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x550409…
05-13 14:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x7d632d…
05-13 14:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8c086c…
05-13 14:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x2764e7…
05-13 14:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x977296…
05-13 14:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x393f21…
05-13 14:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x6caf84…
05-13 14:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x9b59b2…