Natural-Tube — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$9.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-10 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

59% 33% $-94

Crypto

21% — —

Other

18% — —

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Thunder	5	$1.2K	1,210	722	+488	open	—	05-27 03:20
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$919	1,034	561	+473	open	—	05-30 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$406	452	208	+244	open	—	05-27 03:36
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$386	344	201	+143	open	—	05-23 03:14
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	2	$374	245	245	+0	open	—	05-31 17:00
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$372	312	312	+0	open	—	05-20 02:11
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$361	362	206	+156	open	—	05-17 20:10
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$277	341	341	+0	open	—	05-28 12:41
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$235	297	154	+143	open	—	05-24 16:24
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$234	232	116	+116	open	—	05-21 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$223	1,626	1,524	+102	open	—	05-27 03:39
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	2	$222	172	172	+0	open	—	05-23 22:07
fl1 ren lor 2026 01 24 ren	3	$179	444	200	+244	open	—	01-24 17:26
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$161	109	109	+0	Cavaliers	+$26	05-09 21:46
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	2	$144	94	94	+0	open	—	05-21 03:59
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	4	$142	154	154	+0	open	—	02-18 13:40
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$118	358	0	+358	open	—	06-05 21:29
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	4	$105	93	92	+1	open	—	04-18 03:52
nhl phi col 2026 01 23	1	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	01-23 21:19
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$100	233	0	+233	open	—	05-24 22:36
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$100	154	0	+154	Timberwolves	$-100	05-10 21:19
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	2	$99	94	94	+0	Hurricanes	$-21	05-09 23:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$99	132	132	+0	open	—	03-06 12:41
btc updown 5m 1781069400	2	$97	109	109	+0	open	—	06-10 05:32
fl1 pfc hac 2026 03 22 pfc	2	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	03-22 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$82	106	78	+28	open	—	05-15 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$75	121	71	+50	open	—	05-15 18:44
btc updown 5m 1781123700	2	$73	81	81	+0	open	—	06-10 20:38
fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	03-30 19:15
nhl tb chi 2026 01 23	1	$67	90	0	+90	open	—	01-23 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 20:58:42	btc updown 5m 1781124900	Up	SELL	81	50¢	$40	0x081152…
06-10 20:55:36	btc updown 5m 1781124900	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xaa7195…
06-10 20:38:37	btc updown 5m 1781123700	Up	SELL	81	59¢	$48	0x0998dd…
06-10 20:36:33	btc updown 5m 1781123700	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xfe12f9…
06-10 05:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781069700	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x296e8f…
06-10 05:32:51	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Up	SELL	109	66¢	$72	0x739c1b…
06-10 05:31:21	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xa84b90…
06-09 18:33:55	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Down	SELL	47	23¢	$11	0x1e0d5a…
06-09 18:33:03	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x2701b5…
06-09 18:32:33	btc updown 5m 1781029800	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xd12982…
06-09 04:52:51	btc updown 5m 1780980600	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf17009…
06-05 21:29:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	358	33¢	$118	0x4b81fe…
06-03 13:24:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xb177a5…
06-02 20:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd48f5e…
06-02 20:56:54	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xf71b33…
06-02 20:55:22	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0x3fc04b…
06-02 20:27:51	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xd5a8de…
06-01 19:53:55	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc85c5a…
06-01 09:49:09	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x736589…
06-01 00:14:36	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	SELL	42	58¢	$24	0x29051b…
05-31 21:04:22	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xbb34b8…
05-31 17:00:37	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	SELL	245	98¢	$241	0x6355d8…
05-31 12:40:19	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	245	54¢	$132	0x058915…
05-30 19:55:36	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	473	58¢	$274	0xc8efb9…
05-30 18:05:39	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	280	57¢	$160	0x5868d8…
05-30 15:13:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	280	57¢	$160	0x46ebe5…
05-29 18:03:13	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	561	58¢	$325	0xe666b9…
05-28 12:41:10	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	341	40¢	$137	0x306d3f…
05-28 12:18:51	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	341	41¢	$140	0x7530df…
05-27 03:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0xf6ab84…
05-27 03:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1,524	2¢	$23	0x4c1bba…
05-27 03:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5dd853…
05-27 03:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	969	6¢	$61	0xfc4d8f…
05-27 03:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	555	7¢	$39	0x351752…
05-27 03:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x9466c2…
05-27 03:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb0c65e…
05-27 03:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xa50158…
05-27 03:20:11	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	231	100¢	$230	0x55a8cf…
05-27 02:52:53	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	231	95¢	$219	0x5a5e4a…
05-26 21:25:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0x90532e…
05-26 21:24:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	492	59¢	$290	0x7355bb…
05-26 18:13:49	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0x7ff212…
05-24 22:37:13	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	83	49¢	$40	0x8a4531…
05-24 22:36:37	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x2a5805…
05-24 16:24:34	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	154	55¢	$85	0xbd06c2…
05-24 16:13:57	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x3029cd…
05-24 12:11:04	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x36c85f…
05-23 22:07:40	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xa5fd36…
05-23 18:01:30	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xd52984…
05-23 03:14:43	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x92f62e…
05-23 03:13:47	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	201	93¢	$187	0x9564b4…
05-23 03:12:35	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	201	94¢	$189	0x6a4a2e…
05-21 20:31:28	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	116	64¢	$74	0xc04e3a…
05-21 09:09:33	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	232	69¢	$160	0x6d97af…
05-21 03:59:11	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	Yes	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x5167ae…
05-20 21:28:11	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xf195de…
05-20 02:11:48	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	312	87¢	$272	0x04cd29…
05-19 20:58:33	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xd657d4…
05-18 10:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2f8f76…
05-18 10:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe90524…
05-18 09:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x21033a…
05-18 09:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6b8bb0…
05-17 20:10:13	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x691b86…
05-17 15:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0xcaf47d…
05-17 15:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa4704b…
05-17 15:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x07c828…
05-17 15:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x20a603…
05-17 09:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x98d9f6…
05-17 09:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x261569…
05-17 08:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1f0f59…
05-17 08:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x21c5e2…
05-17 07:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x019f6e…
05-16 23:54:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	206	63¢	$130	0xfb7916…
05-16 20:33:59	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	206	64¢	$132	0xbcb343…
05-16 06:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xbfbb35…
05-15 19:05:37	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	88	66¢	$58	0x346940…
05-15 19:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6d2a5c…
05-15 19:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7154c4…
05-15 18:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xd50dbe…
05-15 18:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9f76d6…
05-15 18:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x4e57f3…
05-15 18:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd6187f…
05-15 18:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc9703c…
05-15 18:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb2fbee…
05-15 18:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	71	74¢	$52	0x12ddb1…
05-15 18:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x133660…
05-15 18:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc21fb2…
05-15 18:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe769c0…
05-15 18:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc857fa…
05-15 18:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xec581c…
05-15 17:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x9cf821…
05-15 17:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x25287e…
05-15 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x325c98…
05-15 17:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xedc573…
05-15 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1e8c5e…
05-15 17:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x096db1…
05-15 17:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf62706…
05-15 08:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xae6789…
05-15 08:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	78	66¢	$52	0x3d8d21…
05-15 08:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xd7ed71…