Favorable-Tablecloth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

717

Trades

3,421

lifetime

Volume

$29.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-09 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

67% 9% +$584

Crypto

23% 24% -$1,390

Politics

7% 38% -$445

Sports

3% 50% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	28	$1.2K	9,617	8,000	+1,617	No	+$1,059	02-10 16:26
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	14	$1.1K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	+$1,139	02-10 13:59
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	3	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$971	06-18 20:57
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	6	$807	4,434	2,500	+1,934	Argentina	+$323	07-04 00:07
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?	16	$790	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$770	06-16 21:00
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	3	$750	1,600	0	+1,600	No	-$750	06-20 02:09
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$723	4,900	4,900	+0	No	+$40	07-19 22:02
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	3	$593	607	607	+0	Yes	+$353	07-01 21:54
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?	2	$592	400	400	+0	No	+$200	06-17 00:00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	13	$546	4,411	4,411	+0	No	-$240	01-24 23:35
will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 19	3	$496	800	773	+27	No	+$96	04-19 22:23
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 corners total 7pt5	2	$422	245	245	+0	Over	+$62	06-14 00:06
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners total 9pt5	8	$420	500	368	+132	Under	-$44	06-14 21:50
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	2	$420	400	400	+0	Yes	+$380	06-13 21:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$367	912	912	+0	Yes	+$57	03-03 20:59
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$365	500	500	+0	No	+$316	02-13 09:15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	6	$336	1,391	1,391	+0	Yes	+$95	07-15 20:47
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$314	2,680	2,680	+0	No	-$110	03-03 23:48
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	3	$314	498	0	+498	No	-$314	06-26 00:16
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	2	$311	210	210	+0	No	+$109	06-18 20:58
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$303	833	833	+0	Yes	+$203	07-07 17:49
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	3	$285	833	333	+500	No	+$115	07-07 17:57
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	11	$243	768	768	+0	No	+$233	02-10 13:48
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2	$236	222	222	+0	Yes	+$196	06-29 18:59
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	5	$234	220	220	+0	Yes	+$138	06-25 21:49
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?	3	$232	500	500	+0	No	+$178	06-14 21:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	10	$232	700	700	+0	open	—	06-23 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:15 UTC	18	$223	200	200	+0	Up	+$55	06-10 22:29
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	3	$223	964	392	+571	No	+$23	07-10 20:55
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	25	$221	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$221	06-15 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 10:13:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xb4a6d2…
08-09 10:13:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x230b2d…
08-09 10:12:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x392dab…
08-09 10:12:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb1f941…
08-09 10:11:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0x08337e…
08-09 10:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x11084d…
08-09 10:11:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x316d84…
08-09 10:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xbf45d3…
08-09 10:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb1830a…
08-09 10:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9af898…
08-09 10:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x88bc44…
08-09 10:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x86d92c…
08-09 10:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x81d55d…
08-09 10:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2b1c25…
08-09 10:11:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	256	2¢	$5	0x685fb4…
08-09 10:08:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xe7b05c…
08-09 10:07:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x231a7f…
08-09 10:07:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xcb136e…
08-09 10:07:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xc8b190…
08-09 10:07:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	180	7¢	$13	0x4ed79c…
08-09 09:58:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x9109dc…
08-09 09:58:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x0d1c23…
08-09 09:58:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xdf9d82…
08-09 09:58:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9864d7…
08-09 09:58:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7a8954…
08-09 09:58:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5d763f…
08-09 09:58:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd931cd…
08-09 09:58:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcf1768…
08-09 09:58:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe36899…
08-09 09:57:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb60f61…
08-09 09:57:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xe45b32…
08-09 09:54:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	128	3¢	$4	0xea2877…
08-09 09:54:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0xe4c71d…
08-06 17:19:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa6d4dd…
08-06 17:19:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x8e2964…
08-06 17:19:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xec70d5…
08-06 17:19:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xcb0b5d…
08-06 17:19:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xabbf7a…
08-06 17:19:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x7c8695…
08-06 17:19:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x28bb7c…
08-06 17:19:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x227e6d…
08-06 17:19:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1943fd…
08-06 17:19:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9392b0…
08-06 17:19:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x8b952a…
08-06 17:19:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x7394f2…
08-06 17:19:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x36ce98…
08-06 17:19:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x4135e3…
08-06 17:07:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd0b521…
08-06 16:55:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x47524d…
08-06 12:56:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	855	0¢	$3	0x83e7c0…
08-06 12:48:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$16	0xf32036…
08-06 12:43:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x572501…
08-06 12:42:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xcacb3e…
08-06 12:37:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0336e2…
08-06 12:37:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x444df2…
08-06 12:36:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xcc1f7d…
08-06 12:17:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xa90e63…
08-06 12:02:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcb4a00…
08-06 11:41:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x01d49b…
08-06 10:24:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbd17f3…
08-06 10:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,293	0¢	$9	0xfcaef1…
08-06 10:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	2¢	$10	0x1bfb0b…
08-06 10:09:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xd91c7b…
08-06 10:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x1343c9…
08-06 10:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	707	0¢	$1	0xb9fa3b…
08-06 10:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$1	0x04911e…
08-06 10:06:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xfd619f…
08-06 10:06:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xe46b48…
08-06 10:06:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x92a79a…
08-06 10:06:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	2¢	$10	0x2d6b9f…
08-04 23:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xceb52f…
08-04 23:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8861af…
08-04 23:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x63feb5…
08-04 23:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4756a4…
08-04 23:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3edb05…
08-04 23:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3c754f…
08-04 23:10:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x1f03c0…
08-04 23:10:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf8efdc…
08-04 23:10:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef99d2…
08-04 23:10:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6d7b93…
08-04 23:10:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5429de…
08-04 23:10:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x45cfb4…
08-04 23:10:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x1a0d41…
08-04 23:10:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0ad181…
08-04 23:10:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2,367	1¢	$24	0xb3ddc5…
08-04 14:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	389	1¢	$4	0x122db6…
08-04 14:28:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x94c247…
08-04 13:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,106	0¢	$14	0x4a83aa…
08-02 18:21:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	1¢	$4	0xe32299…
08-02 18:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xced3da…
08-02 18:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x0c3414…
08-02 18:21:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	4¢	$8	0x08793f…
08-02 18:21:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xc0ad28…
08-02 18:21:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xac5ae8…
08-02 18:21:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	4¢	$10	0x1ff474…
08-02 18:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xb27e03…
08-02 18:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x49e3fb…
08-02 18:20:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0xc953c2…
08-02 18:19:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,666	0¢	$11	0x25b982…
08-02 18:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	3¢	$10	0xfa9c04…