Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$85

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$92.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

$442

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% 0% $-0

Politics

17% 100% +$0

Sports

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-892	$-357	50¢	$-442	$-85	06-15 13:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	8	$2.0K	1,419	1,419	+0	open	—	02-11 02:43
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,277	1,277	+0	open	—	03-24 07:06
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	2	$1.8K	997	993	+4	open	—	04-12 09:10
bra2 ava pop 2026 04 18 ava	4	$1.7K	1,555	1,555	+0	open	—	03-25 17:37
will tommaso paradiso win sanremo 2026	3	$1.6K	941	941	+0	open	—	02-17 11:20
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	4	$1.5K	965	965	+0	open	—	02-20 12:00
will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	8	$1.5K	1,441	1,441	+0	open	—	01-05 08:20
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$1.4K	1,134	1,134	+0	open	—	04-12 21:26
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	6	$1.4K	1,291	536	+755	open	—	01-30 20:47
bra2 afc rec 2026 04 18 afc	4	$1.4K	1,212	1,212	+0	open	—	03-25 16:11
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$1.3K	744	744	+0	open	—	01-11 19:58
nba 2025 26 rpg leader karl anthony towns	5	$1.3K	843	843	+0	open	—	02-03 10:17
will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	2	$1.3K	887	887	+0	open	—	03-21 17:57
foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	14	$1.3K	2,224	2,208	+16	open	—	01-09 17:44
col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	3	$1.3K	911	911	+0	open	—	03-25 16:50
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	8	$1.2K	2,764	2,764	+0	open	—	04-13 16:53
will progressive run an ad during super bowl lx	3	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-09 05:45
will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$1.2K	682	682	+0	open	—	04-12 09:16
will trump post panican on truth social this week 977	2	$1.2K	643	643	+0	open	—	04-12 01:03
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$1.2K	1,251	1,251	+0	open	—	04-21 02:49
will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	2	$1.2K	692	692	+0	open	—	02-19 05:52
will audit be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 735	2	$1.2K	667	667	+0	open	—	02-14 10:20
will gianni infantino attend the 2026 state of the union address	2	$1.1K	742	742	+0	open	—	02-20 03:10
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$1.1K	902	902	+0	open	—	04-13 16:25
will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	3	$1.1K	733	733	+0	open	—	04-12 21:33
will the philadelphia eagles win the super bowl	3	$1.0K	571	571	+0	open	—	01-09 23:05
will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	2	$1.0K	892	892	+0	open	—	02-11 18:51
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	5	$996	976	976	+0	open	—	02-04 10:32
another crypto hack over 100m before 2027	5	$985	661	661	+0	open	—	02-10 06:00
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	4	$978	1,060	1,060	+0	open	—	03-25 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:52:28	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	40¢	$104	0xb6b770…
06-15 13:52:16	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	631	40¢	$252	0x9d455f…
04-21 02:49:18	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1,251	78¢	$976	0x887a59…
04-13 16:53:51	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xff7b2f…
04-13 16:41:37	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	89¢	$74	0xd7bbf6…
04-13 16:30:23	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	532	32¢	$170	0x4a0ed8…
04-13 16:25:25	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	854	59¢	$504	0x0dce77…
04-13 16:24:29	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	59¢	$28	0x056ade…
04-13 11:22:09	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	532	52¢	$277	0xf3bd62…
04-13 10:40:13	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	902	59¢	$532	0xd4c5cb…
04-13 10:19:51	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	459	28¢	$129	0x10da1e…
04-13 09:57:19	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	160	85¢	$136	0x3ee04f…
04-13 07:50:23	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	243	87¢	$211	0xb38c27…
04-13 07:20:53	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	459	32¢	$147	0x699104…
04-13 06:00:19	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	588	16¢	$94	0xd381fb…
04-13 06:00:03	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	663	16¢	$106	0x3ecc02…
04-13 05:17:01	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	No	SELL	598	67¢	$401	0xe8b0f4…
04-13 04:52:57	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	SELL	564	78¢	$440	0x776165…
04-13 02:21:11	will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	No	BUY	203	20¢	$40	0xd788aa…
04-13 02:04:43	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	553	28¢	$155	0x94792d…
04-13 01:48:39	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	BUY	564	80¢	$451	0xc4dd10…
04-13 00:47:33	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	No	BUY	598	67¢	$401	0x40dd43…
04-12 21:33:29	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	SELL	377	75¢	$283	0x6c2293…
04-12 21:33:13	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	SELL	356	75¢	$267	0x820480…
04-12 21:26:43	Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	553	59¢	$326	0xd50cc8…
04-12 21:25:53	Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	581	59¢	$343	0xb75f8d…
04-12 21:08:43	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	586	24¢	$142	0x7d208e…
04-12 21:08:31	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	813	24¢	$197	0x5f7cef…
04-12 21:08:13	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	352	24¢	$85	0x675ae2…
04-12 21:07:59	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	1,008	24¢	$244	0xed4c2f…
04-12 15:57:49	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	174	75¢	$130	0xf20333…
04-12 11:27:21	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	174	75¢	$130	0x8147f4…
04-12 11:15:23	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	943	21¢	$197	0x24b246…
04-12 11:15:11	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	1,008	21¢	$211	0x2f0fbf…
04-12 11:14:55	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	813	21¢	$170	0x4d7384…
04-12 09:16:13	will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	682	87¢	$593	0xbb09b2…
04-12 09:10:43	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	SELL	993	88¢	$874	0xd08972…
04-12 08:43:51	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	11¢	$26	0xd22fa9…
04-12 08:43:45	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	531	11¢	$58	0x602352…
04-12 08:43:35	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	547	11¢	$60	0x15dfdf…
04-12 05:18:53	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	712	45¢	$321	0x4f5928…
04-12 04:31:41	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	BUY	997	88¢	$877	0xecbaa8…
04-12 03:56:11	will fidesz kdnp win 36 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	682	88¢	$600	0xda8dca…
04-12 03:11:31	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	733	70¢	$513	0xa27169…
04-12 02:36:25	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	460	11¢	$51	0x40d992…
04-12 02:36:13	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	853	11¢	$94	0x1ebf7b…
04-12 01:03:05	will trump post panican on truth social this week 977	No	SELL	643	94¢	$605	0xd90c6c…
04-11 23:40:57	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	SELL	792	50¢	$396	0xbb91f8…
04-11 09:44:15	will bernie or mamdani say crypto or bitcoin during nyc rally	No	SELL	228	92¢	$210	0x43058d…
04-10 05:43:11	will bernie or mamdani say crypto or bitcoin during nyc rally	No	BUY	228	80¢	$182	0xcd0b03…
04-10 04:42:27	will trump post panican on truth social this week 977	No	BUY	643	90¢	$578	0x87eac9…
04-10 02:11:49	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 171	No	BUY	649	24¢	$156	0x6793f7…
04-09 14:53:31	chi wsz ron 2026 04 17 wsz	Yes	SELL	167	42¢	$70	0x486491…
04-09 13:56:55	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	SELL	70	84¢	$59	0xf5e008…
04-09 13:08:45	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	920	38¢	$350	0xf435ee…
04-09 11:26:19	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	933	55¢	$513	0x66ae81…
04-09 11:24:43	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x45d248…
04-08 08:52:15	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0x1ec392…
04-08 05:59:39	Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,134	67¢	$760	0x72fd24…
04-08 04:20:49	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	920	45¢	$414	0xa0eb12…
04-07 10:44:51	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	947	27¢	$256	0x301b95…
03-31 08:13:03	bra2 nau ber 2026 04 18 nau	Yes	SELL	122	91¢	$111	0x364b7d…
03-31 08:12:45	bra2 nau ber 2026 04 18 nau	Yes	SELL	539	91¢	$490	0x3f32dd…
03-30 16:36:41	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 11m and 12m	No	SELL	669	23¢	$154	0x4ad1d0…
03-30 09:35:20	chi wsz ron 2026 04 17 wsz	Yes	BUY	167	14¢	$23	0x53a83d…
03-30 05:47:48	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	792	28¢	$222	0x0b8d97…
03-30 03:57:08	bra2 nau ber 2026 04 18 nau	Yes	BUY	661	45¢	$297	0x697b9f…
03-30 02:36:56	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 11m and 12m	No	BUY	669	59¢	$395	0xfecabd…
03-26 11:17:03	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	141	91¢	$128	0xcb19d9…
03-25 19:18:45	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	49	65¢	$32	0xfaf464…
03-25 17:37:25	bra2 ava pop 2026 04 18 ava	Yes	SELL	416	57¢	$237	0x96344e…
03-25 17:37:15	bra2 ava pop 2026 04 18 ava	Yes	SELL	1,139	57¢	$649	0x60e9e6…
03-25 16:50:05	col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	No	SELL	737	66¢	$486	0x8b482f…
03-25 16:48:55	col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	No	SELL	174	66¢	$115	0x2ab836…
03-25 16:11:09	bra2 afc rec 2026 04 18 afc	Yes	SELL	718	59¢	$424	0x2dd9bd…
03-25 16:10:53	bra2 afc rec 2026 04 18 afc	Yes	SELL	494	59¢	$291	0x8d52c7…
03-25 15:30:33	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	1,054	46¢	$485	0x3cbcb4…
03-25 10:55:11	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	88¢	$54	0x58a370…
03-25 10:54:53	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x2879f0…
03-25 10:04:01	col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	No	BUY	911	72¢	$656	0x5c7bbe…
03-25 09:17:11	bra2 ava pop 2026 04 18 ava	Yes	BUY	660	51¢	$337	0x4bef91…
03-25 09:17:01	bra2 ava pop 2026 04 18 ava	Yes	BUY	895	51¢	$456	0xff6993…
03-25 08:34:31	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	1,054	46¢	$485	0x388cc6…
03-25 04:44:35	bra2 afc rec 2026 04 18 afc	Yes	BUY	320	53¢	$170	0xe587a6…
03-25 04:44:17	bra2 afc rec 2026 04 18 afc	Yes	BUY	892	53¢	$473	0x5c6bca…
03-25 03:45:55	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0xc951d8…
03-24 08:28:13	will tisza win 9099 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	369	86¢	$317	0x97028e…
03-24 07:06:25	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	No	SELL	1,277	77¢	$983	0xfaa817…
03-23 04:27:37	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	No	BUY	1,277	80¢	$1,022	0xe45375…
03-22 11:33:35	will trump say fun this week march 29	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x79162d…
03-22 11:32:33	will trump say fun this week march 29	Yes	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x423f47…
03-22 11:31:35	will trump say fun this week march 29	Yes	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x7f70b0…
03-22 02:03:37	will tisza win 9099 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x2f1c48…
03-22 02:03:31	will tisza win 9099 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xb2e0f4…
03-22 02:03:27	will tisza win 9099 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	123	80¢	$99	0xcc9de5…
03-22 01:49:03	will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70 and 75	No	SELL	427	77¢	$328	0x33c37b…
03-21 17:57:45	will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	No	SELL	887	57¢	$506	0x4f0f14…
03-21 04:32:25	will tisza win 9099 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	551	86¢	$474	0x96edb3…
03-21 04:09:51	will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70 and 75	No	BUY	427	84¢	$359	0x702d82…
03-21 02:39:45	will trump say fun this week march 29	Yes	BUY	664	67¢	$445	0x4d8b7b…