Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$228

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

27.0%

Resolved

553

Trades

1,427

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-09 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Other

74% 17% -$152

Politics

15% 14% -$44

Tech

4% 11% -$8

Sports

3% 17% -$1

Crypto

2% 14% -$20

Pop-Culture

1% 25% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		-21	-$9	70¢	$-15	-$5	06-11 02:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by august 15	10	$199	200	200	+0	No	$0	08-09 13:04
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	10	$198	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	08-07 07:45
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	5	$193	100	100	+0	No	$0	08-06 06:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	4	$181	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	08-07 01:27
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	6	$137	120	120	+0	open	—	10-03 13:08
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	7	$113	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	09-19 10:27
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	10	$107	60	60	-0	Yes	+$0	02-23 12:18
will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	7	$101	150	150	+0	No	-$1	08-06 13:43
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	6	$101	150	150	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 08:51
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?	4	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	08-05 06:39
will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	6	$98	101	101	+0	No	$0	07-30 08:24
will the gta 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long 20260807064756490	3	$98	100	50	+50	Yes	-$1	08-23 02:04
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	4	$98	100	100	+0	No	$0	08-30 07:45
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	5	$97	120	50	+70	Yes	-$3	07-31 15:06
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	4	$97	100	100	+0	No	-$2	06-23 19:10
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	9	$97	128	128	+0	Yes	-$1	07-27 13:31
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	2	$96	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 11:44
will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	$0	08-10 01:31
US x China tariff agreement by September 30?	3	$96	100	50	+50	Yes	-$2	09-27 05:11
will jos luis rodrguez zapatero be arrested by june 30	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-20 15:25
will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	3	$96	100	50	+50	No	-$2	08-08 08:30
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-26 12:57
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	2	$96	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 10:21
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	09-21 23:27
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	4	$95	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	09-21 23:27
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	3	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-25 09:39
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-30 07:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	07-23 14:10
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	06-23 07:51
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	08-04 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 04:16:28	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x354597…
10-06 12:47:27	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x456811…
10-05 11:20:17	will rklb reach 74 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x77acea…
10-05 11:15:43	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x60c438…
10-05 11:15:37	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 12	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x5942a7…
10-05 11:15:31	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x68beb3…
10-05 10:43:25	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x478808…
10-05 10:31:13	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 12	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xaa33d2…
10-05 10:26:23	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbb1a4f…
10-05 10:03:43	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x547f26…
10-05 09:48:13	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x8b05a6…
10-05 08:20:20	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x037037…
10-05 06:57:07	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x23a412…
10-05 05:54:31	will pltr reach 189 by october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x0eab5f…
10-05 05:53:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x360b97…
10-05 05:53:34	will spy reach 770 by october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xa75fe5…
10-05 05:50:32	will spy reach 770 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x81c95e…
10-05 05:24:13	will pltr reach 189 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb599f7…
10-05 05:05:58	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x99b317…
10-05 03:56:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa2c10f…
10-05 03:49:34	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x8d2925…
10-05 02:11:56	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7c0bd9…
10-05 02:11:29	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xe5b577…
10-05 02:06:28	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x80bbad…
10-04 13:14:16	Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x540282…
10-04 12:25:07	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xceb76d…
10-04 09:37:04	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1d9fdc…
10-04 06:56:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x9e3a8f…
10-04 06:55:58	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6b56e9…
10-04 05:23:13	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf7d777…
10-04 05:23:07	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x7c2592…
10-04 05:22:56	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf82c9f…
10-04 05:17:14	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x44061d…
10-04 04:33:58	Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x14766f…
10-04 04:33:56	Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0xb55b07…
10-04 04:33:56	Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x182b29…
10-04 04:07:13	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc9aeeb…
10-04 03:38:43	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x3c3adf…
10-04 01:47:56	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xf0ee79…
10-04 01:35:08	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xd1c7c1…
10-04 01:12:52	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x012833…
10-04 01:11:47	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xd0bcba…
10-03 21:54:04	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x80d465…
10-03 13:08:29	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xa5bb93…
10-03 10:06:41	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x103225…
10-03 05:11:39	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xe570ae…
10-03 04:06:41	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe76524…
10-02 23:47:20	Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x36eccc…
10-02 23:33:42	Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9935e9…
10-02 21:03:15	Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x4cc0f0…
10-02 18:09:23	Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x72a7ce…
10-02 11:30:08	Will Trump say "Hell" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xd15c7f…
10-02 11:28:24	Will Trump say "Hell" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x83de85…
10-02 06:50:51	Will Nolo peak at Category 4?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xe5c599…
10-02 05:21:54	over 35m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd69135…
10-02 04:46:39	Will Nolo peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xadb207…
10-02 03:03:21	will xagusd dip to 60 in october 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf6ee5b…
10-01 13:30:23	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in October?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x416eef…
10-01 12:49:23	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x26f615…
10-01 11:32:41	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb22467…
10-01 10:54:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xac628e…
10-01 09:11:18	will meta dip to 740 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe0dfb5…
10-01 07:33:50	will meta dip to 740 in october 2026	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xcd34cd…
10-01 07:33:38	will ewy dip to 184 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x120b83…
10-01 05:56:11	will ewy dip to 184 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2ed74f…
10-01 02:00:39	will meta dip to 740 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdf1aa3…
09-30 04:48:30	Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xd245e7…
09-29 14:21:11	will patient zero hit 35m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x424c0b…
09-29 09:13:50	will patient zero hit 35m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x88268b…
09-29 07:08:53	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x41286a…
09-29 06:33:50	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x856c6e…
09-29 05:40:02	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xbfd078…
09-29 05:20:35	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x353ff6…
09-29 04:16:44	will abnb dip to 128 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x34fe3b…
09-28 14:43:51	will coin dip to 192 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe77038…
09-28 12:45:06	will pltr dip to 189 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x2dd636…
09-28 12:40:11	will pltr dip to 189 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3689e4…
09-28 11:30:09	will coin dip to 192 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x46076d…
09-28 10:50:35	will ewy dip to 187 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x0dcc04…
09-28 10:44:26	will ewy dip to 187 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x59f2f7…
09-28 08:30:12	will ewy dip to 187 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x5f100e…
09-28 08:30:05	will wti dip to 80 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x3fc442…
09-28 08:00:50	will ewy dip to 187 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe39a70…
09-28 07:39:39	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa74887…
09-28 07:37:57	will ewy dip to 186 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb2f3f3…
09-28 07:37:26	will mu dip to 1080 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc1c91c…
09-28 07:35:57	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xfac565…
09-28 07:34:36	will xauusd dip to 3950 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x3c2405…
09-28 07:34:26	will aapl dip to 340 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xa17e8c…
09-28 07:24:39	will mu dip to 1080 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd2335d…
09-28 07:24:12	will ewy dip to 186 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf3f0ba…
09-28 06:48:27	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xedbfa2…
09-28 06:29:54	will xauusd dip to 3950 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xea4025…
09-28 06:01:05	will aapl dip to 340 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x9ba33d…
09-28 05:41:18	will wti dip to 80 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x30ead8…
09-28 05:33:14	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x631cfe…
09-28 03:21:03	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xbe8ed0…
09-28 03:20:53	Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x01f16c…
09-28 03:20:38	Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x305e7b…
09-28 01:46:33	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xc8d5cb…