Utilized-Recess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.1%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-01 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

47% 0% —

Other

42% 54% +$3

Sports

11% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	25	$3.4K	1,727	1,727	+0	No	$0	04-20 04:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$1.3K	662	662	+0	No	-$1	04-20 13:02
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$962	484	484	-0	open	—	05-22 05:02
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$940	473	473	+0	open	—	05-20 10:28
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$698	356	356	+0	No	$0	04-15 06:28
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$644	324	324	+0	open	—	05-14 04:35
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$620	312	312	-0	open	—	05-28 05:07
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$349	175	175	+0	No	$0	04-15 05:12
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$346	174	174	+0	No	$0	04-18 06:29
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$345	184	184	+0	No	-$1	04-18 12:07
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$344	174	174	+0	Yes	$0	04-19 05:33
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$340	173	173	+0	open	—	04-29 08:27
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$334	168	168	+0	open	—	05-09 02:49
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$330	166	166	+0	open	—	05-12 03:34
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$329	166	166	+0	open	—	05-27 14:16
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$325	164	164	+0	No	+$0	05-16 01:15
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$323	162	162	+0	open	—	05-18 12:49
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$322	162	162	+0	open	—	05-26 01:52
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$319	161	161	+0	open	—	06-01 06:11
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$319	161	161	+0	open	—	05-23 05:05
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$319	160	160	+0	open	—	05-29 10:03
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$317	160	160	+0	open	—	05-20 10:25
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$316	159	159	+0	open	—	05-25 08:20
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$309	156	156	+0	No	$0	05-07 11:27
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-15 14:50
will paramount be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 30 391	1	$106	107	0	+107	No	+$1	01-28 10:44
will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	01-16 08:35
will gmail email by google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	1	$87	88	0	+88	No	+$0	03-07 15:38
will freecash get paid real money be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	1	$49	50	0	+50	Yes	+$1	01-23 16:45
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 23	1	$49	50	0	+50	Yes	+$1	01-23 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 06:11:25	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0x05c191…
05-29 10:04:14	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x821b7c…
05-29 10:03:37	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0x73a18f…
05-28 05:08:47	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0xe3d146…
05-28 05:07:06	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0xa6d5ed…
05-27 14:16:59	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$157	0x909fd1…
05-27 14:16:30	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	166	99¢	$164	0xdd0056…
05-26 01:53:00	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0x8d9af4…
05-26 01:52:27	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	162	99¢	$161	0x3d9beb…
05-25 08:21:03	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0xd45754…
05-25 08:20:37	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	159	99¢	$158	0x0c5ff9…
05-23 05:06:18	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0x64ab88…
05-23 05:05:27	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$159	0x1fe7a4…
05-22 05:02:52	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0xdb1096…
05-22 05:02:31	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	166	99¢	$164	0x6dd6d8…
05-21 03:37:57	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0x7e73e6…
05-21 03:37:26	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	154	99¢	$153	0x1c0c17…
05-20 11:32:48	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0x3c62b0…
05-20 11:32:27	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0x63e97d…
05-20 10:29:01	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0x135a5c…
05-20 10:28:29	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$154	0xf843f5…
05-20 10:27:30	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x1b3133…
05-20 10:25:11	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0x160fb1…
05-20 03:42:40	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x152536…
05-20 03:42:01	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0x53e11f…
05-19 05:27:23	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$157	0xb0a827…
05-18 12:49:44	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	162	99¢	$161	0x6f06d8…
05-18 09:13:33	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0x111e1c…
05-16 01:15:22	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	164	99¢	$163	0xb9f808…
05-15 06:13:20	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	164	99¢	$163	0x9064e2…
05-15 03:43:22	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0x8dfe06…
05-14 09:18:23	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x3cb6e5…
05-14 09:11:58	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$155	0xf0c910…
05-14 04:35:28	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0x630cea…
05-14 04:35:04	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$155	0x386331…
05-13 01:42:47	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0xd3ac02…
05-12 03:34:43	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	166	99¢	$165	0xc3c9c0…
05-11 07:15:05	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0x644448…
05-10 08:52:46	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x625ad3…
05-09 02:50:42	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$168	0x7e53c2…
05-09 02:49:15	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	168	99¢	$167	0xd428a9…
05-08 07:42:38	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0x49da3a…
05-07 11:27:00	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$154	0x6340b9…
05-06 03:19:26	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0xb93326…
04-29 08:27:22	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	173	98¢	$170	0xd047b5…
04-29 06:56:26	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x663a3d…
04-20 13:02:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$171	0x272f97…
04-20 07:57:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xc58ccc…
04-20 07:56:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x0176ab…
04-20 04:33:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x190716…
04-20 04:32:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x391262…
04-19 16:41:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x7caeb5…
04-19 05:33:22	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	174	99¢	$172	0x85ca30…
04-18 12:07:30	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	174	99¢	$172	0x4516e7…
04-18 12:07:04	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	93¢	$172	0xa3699d…
04-18 06:30:06	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	94¢	$173	0xe13e25…
04-18 06:29:38	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x40fae1…
04-18 05:00:10	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x7540ca…
04-17 14:10:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x787bb0…
04-17 08:10:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0xd4d105…
04-17 07:56:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66bf7d…
04-17 05:11:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0xf71b15…
04-17 05:04:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xb6b9e4…
04-17 04:35:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0xa3d21b…
04-17 02:35:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x6bf516…
04-17 02:02:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x7934fa…
04-17 00:42:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x6bc0e5…
04-16 02:44:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x2dc1c1…
04-15 22:24:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x9ccd3d…
04-15 15:03:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x00f0ca…
04-15 14:48:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x7a5962…
04-15 14:48:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xda9550…
04-15 14:48:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x67282e…
04-15 14:24:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x010bbd…
04-15 14:12:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x8e337f…
04-15 06:28:58	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	178	98¢	$174	0x586e3d…
04-15 05:13:22	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$174	0xb2b77a…
04-15 05:12:40	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0x3946ba…
04-15 04:41:50	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0xe18d37…
04-15 03:33:24	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	178	98¢	$175	0x86e9ae…
04-15 02:47:20	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$175	0x97121e…
04-15 02:46:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$158	0x422dea…
04-13 03:07:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0x1aa2c6…
04-13 03:07:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x2e14da…
04-13 03:07:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x9528e2…
04-13 03:07:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x9cd5e1…
04-13 03:05:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xb4b2d1…
04-13 03:05:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x1828db…
04-12 05:25:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x93dcb5…
04-12 05:24:31	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 14	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf375b6…
04-12 05:22:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x411052…
04-12 05:20:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xeaf29a…
04-12 05:20:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0x1f7977…
04-10 08:37:13	will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5e4e03…
04-10 08:36:33	will google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0d3504…
04-10 08:18:45	will ncaa march madness live be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdfae3d…
04-10 08:18:21	will ncaa march madness live be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xeeba0e…
03-07 15:38:37	will gmail email by google be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	No	BUY	88	100¢	$87	0x6de17e…
01-28 10:44:37	will paramount be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 30 391	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x3d3729…
01-23 16:49:34	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 23	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd80e7a…