Ancient-Cornmeal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

$165

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-16 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

81% 67% +$11

Sports

13% 100% +$9

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+95	$80	99¢	$94	+$14	07-05 18:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No		+94	$74	76¢	$71	$-4	07-16 12:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	3	$317	223	223	+0	open	—	06-19 05:19
will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	1	$300	330	0	+330	open	—	06-16 03:22
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	1	$299	326	0	+326	open	—	06-16 03:21
ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	1	$249	256	0	+256	open	—	06-16 03:22
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$249	282	0	+282	open	—	06-16 03:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$196	206	0	+206	open	—	05-19 08:26
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	1	$150	0	224	-224	open	—	06-09 02:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$149	162	0	+162	open	—	05-19 08:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$119	123	0	+123	open	—	05-19 08:27
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	07-04 03:21
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$97	147	52	+95	open	—	05-13 10:10
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	07-09 18:16
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	4	$92	51	51	+0	open	—	06-08 04:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$85	100	5	+95	open	—	07-05 18:57
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	1	$83	101	0	+101	open	—	06-20 23:56
us announces cuba oil sanction relief by june 30	1	$75	80	0	+80	open	—	06-17 08:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$74	94	0	+94	open	—	07-16 12:29
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	1	$68	87	0	+87	Yes	+$19	05-05 09:43
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	1	$64	70	0	+70	open	—	06-21 19:32
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	1	$50	81	0	+81	open	—	05-05 19:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	05-21 07:46
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	1	$30	32	0	+32	Under	+$2	05-05 03:18
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	1	$27	32	0	+32	Thunder	+$5	05-05 14:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	06-10 05:48
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-07 04:55
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$23	25	0	+25	No	+$2	05-09 12:02
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5	1	$20	22	0	+22	Under	+$2	05-05 03:18
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-07 04:56
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-23 09:24
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-24 11:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 12:29:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x5dbf49…
07-13 16:48:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$49	0x79c990…
07-09 18:16:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xa39b0a…
07-05 18:57:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0xd16f21…
07-04 03:21:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x5eb253…
06-21 19:32:43	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x31e807…
06-20 23:56:40	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	101	82¢	$83	0x94cedf…
06-19 05:20:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe54f0c…
06-19 05:19:32	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	218	53¢	$116	0xe01c46…
06-19 05:16:28	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x49e0d7…
06-19 04:32:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc34b8c…
06-17 08:45:52	us announces cuba oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	80	93¢	$75	0x1803a5…
06-16 03:25:31	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	223	89¢	$199	0x5f66a4…
06-16 03:22:31	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	282	88¢	$249	0x4a9039…
06-16 03:22:28	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	256	97¢	$249	0xaab522…
06-16 03:22:25	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xe53cb4…
06-16 03:21:57	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	326	92¢	$299	0xabf36e…
06-10 05:48:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xb068fe…
06-09 02:21:37	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	224	67¢	$150	0xce6a9e…
06-08 04:29:42	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xbfebeb…
06-08 04:29:21	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0xea2eb8…
06-08 04:29:21	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x4d945b…
06-08 01:31:15	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0xc52503…
06-07 04:56:04	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3c76ab…
06-07 04:55:58	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x567736…
05-24 11:34:11	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x76ee01…
05-23 09:24:06	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x272eff…
05-21 07:46:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6581e8…
05-19 08:48:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	162	92¢	$149	0xa783e0…
05-19 08:27:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	123	97¢	$119	0x864559…
05-19 08:26:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	206	95¢	$196	0x268906…
05-13 10:10:12	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$39	0x9d50c5…
05-12 15:57:12	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0x2fcb6a…
05-12 10:05:57	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	52	76¢	$39	0x8fe4c0…
05-09 12:02:24	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xdc7cb5…
05-05 19:36:24	Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x6fab02…
05-05 14:17:26	Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x3e12a0…
05-05 09:43:34	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	87	78¢	$68	0xb8d675…
05-05 03:18:58	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xd723fb…
05-05 03:18:52	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x5b1d52…
05-03 01:05:12	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc68e19…
05-03 00:10:12	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	76ers	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8fc231…
05-02 04:31:22	Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x86c1bc…
05-02 04:31:02	Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x767c7f…
04-30 04:02:36	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf6f4d9…