Nautical-Chauvinist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.20K

Unrealized P&L

+$827

Hit rate

29.4%

Resolved

1,251

Trades

2,204

lifetime

Volume

$41.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$1.26K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-06 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 26% -$4,110

Politics

2% 0% -$100

Other

0% 33% +$18

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+15,774	$410	8¢	$1.2K	+$804	10-27 15:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		-240	-$71	20¢	$-49	+$22	06-06 19:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$466	370	370	+0	Down	+$266	06-02 23:21
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$410	15,774	0	+15,774	open	—	10-27 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:00 UTC	2	$377	294	280	+14	Up	+$191	04-24 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:45 UTC	4	$340	1,875	0	+1,875	Up	-$340	04-24 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 01:10 UTC	3	$310	837	0	+837	Up	+$527	04-24 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:55 UTC	3	$300	10,454	0	+10,454	Down	-$300	04-24 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 01:50 UTC	3	$300	1,571	0	+1,571	Up	-$300	04-24 01:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:05 UTC	3	$275	1,041	0	+1,041	Up	+$765	04-24 03:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$271	294	534	-240	open	—	06-06 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$225	4,920	0	+4,920	Up	-$225	06-03 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$215	209	195	+14	Up	+$188	04-27 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:25 UTC	3	$212	712	0	+712	Up	-$212	04-24 00:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:10 UTC	3	$212	699	0	+699	Up	-$212	04-24 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:55 UTC	1	$200	856	0	+856	Up	+$656	04-24 00:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:15 UTC	2	$200	368	0	+368	Up	-$200	04-24 04:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:35 UTC	3	$200	856	0	+856	Up	-$200	04-24 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:45 UTC	2	$200	368	0	+368	Down	+$168	04-24 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:30 UTC	2	$200	678	0	+678	Down	-$200	04-24 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 01:20 UTC	2	$200	325	0	+325	Down	+$125	04-24 01:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 22:45 UTC	1	$187	977	0	+977	Up	-$187	08-06 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	8	$175	9,359	0	+9,359	Up	-$175	06-14 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$174	154	145	+9	Up	+$123	04-26 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$150	3,862	0	+3,862	Down	-$150	06-03 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:15 UTC	4	$150	1,878	0	+1,878	Up	-$150	06-04 11:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	3	$150	1,858	0	+1,858	Up	-$150	06-04 00:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:40 UTC	2	$150	246	0	+246	Down	-$150	04-24 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$145	67	136	-69	Up	+$56	04-26 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:50 UTC	4	$140	448	0	+448	Up	-$140	04-24 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 07:00 UTC	3	$140	270	0	+270	Down	-$140	04-24 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$139	117	111	+6	Up	+$86	04-26 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 13:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbcac85…
11-06 12:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd006bb…
11-06 12:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf9ffbe…
11-06 12:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x34a2b4…
11-06 12:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xec724a…
11-06 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x29038e…
11-06 12:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xfb77a3…
11-06 11:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8d90e4…
11-06 10:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9db0e8…
11-06 10:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x34a8c4…
11-06 10:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd22067…
11-06 10:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9b6649…
11-06 10:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x98ffdf…
11-06 10:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa32f43…
11-06 10:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x388fac…
11-06 08:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x073eb0…
11-06 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x75d100…
11-06 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2300ac…
11-06 02:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x28bf4e…
11-06 02:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x39e077…
11-06 02:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x02aded…
11-06 01:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x90bd0e…
11-06 01:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xaac2eb…
11-06 01:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x62b41b…
11-05 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x78acbc…
11-05 19:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc1c8c0…
11-05 19:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2af7ae…
11-05 13:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb1a089…
11-04 21:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x370961…
11-04 21:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x60aebc…
11-04 21:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd73690…
11-04 18:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7e2246…
11-04 18:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x144649…
11-04 18:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x37f834…
11-04 18:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x852fe9…
11-04 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc83082…
11-04 18:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9bc70f…
11-04 18:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4685a7…
11-04 17:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4c0d41…
11-04 17:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9754b2…
11-04 17:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xfd0156…
11-04 17:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd58695…
11-04 17:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc50c9f…
11-04 17:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x335751…
11-04 17:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x40bf59…
11-04 17:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaa17e6…
11-04 17:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf8cf06…
11-04 17:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x969408…
11-04 17:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe9d06e…
11-04 17:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb733fe…
11-04 17:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x436c87…
11-04 17:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0fe33a…
11-04 17:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x216ca6…
11-04 17:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8f0910…
11-04 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2db84f…
11-04 17:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe34bc3…
11-04 17:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbe9ab5…
11-04 17:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb4223a…
11-04 17:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x36611f…
11-04 17:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa68a3d…
11-04 17:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x091c95…
11-04 17:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x09a506…
10-27 15:35:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$97	0x9209a2…
10-27 14:22:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5,105	2¢	$100	0xf46406…
10-23 13:01:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	495	2¢	$10	0x03919c…
10-22 19:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xddb946…
10-22 19:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe9088b…
10-22 18:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x40d058…
10-22 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbf71ce…
10-22 18:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	353	1¢	$2	0x267531…
10-22 16:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe958be…
10-22 15:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xaf9510…
10-22 15:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4f85dd…
10-21 19:43:14	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,059	3¢	$200	0x4a8e6a…
10-21 18:45:03	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x74c19f…
10-04 19:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x53672f…
10-04 19:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x1199dc…
10-04 19:31:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe3225d…
10-02 14:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x588410…
10-02 14:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x0dd3f6…
10-02 14:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xb96a13…
10-02 14:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x566a5e…
10-02 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0f1c91…
10-02 13:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x88dd4e…
10-02 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x15b334…
10-02 12:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x3b3b9d…
10-02 12:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc0141c…
10-02 12:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4cdc65…
10-02 12:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x389e84…
10-02 12:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x586530…
10-02 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x125738…
10-02 12:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xeacd6c…
10-02 11:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x457fee…
10-02 11:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x54239d…
10-02 11:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6c430d…
10-02 11:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x315d71…
10-02 11:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x23dccc…
10-02 11:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x990f18…
10-02 11:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5c6b23…
10-02 10:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xfb5a66…