Nautical-Chauvinist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.26K

Unrealized P&L

+$359

Hit rate

29.4%

Resolved

1,206

Trades

2,142

lifetime

Volume

$41.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$864

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-27 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 26% -$4,164

Politics

2% 0% -$100

Other

0% 33% +$18

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+15,774	$410	5¢	$781	+$370	10-27 15:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		-240	-$71	34¢	$-83	-$12	06-06 19:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$466	370	370	+0	Down	+$266	06-02 23:21
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$410	15,774	0	+15,774	open	—	10-27 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:00 UTC	2	$377	294	280	+14	Up	+$191	04-24 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:45 UTC	4	$340	1,875	0	+1,875	Up	-$340	04-24 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 01:10 UTC	3	$310	837	0	+837	Up	+$527	04-24 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:55 UTC	3	$300	10,454	0	+10,454	Down	-$300	04-24 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 01:50 UTC	3	$300	1,571	0	+1,571	Up	-$300	04-24 01:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:05 UTC	3	$275	1,041	0	+1,041	Up	+$765	04-24 03:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$271	294	534	-240	open	—	06-06 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$225	4,920	0	+4,920	Up	-$225	06-03 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$215	209	195	+14	Up	+$188	04-27 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:25 UTC	3	$212	712	0	+712	Up	-$212	04-24 00:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:10 UTC	3	$212	699	0	+699	Up	-$212	04-24 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:55 UTC	1	$200	856	0	+856	Up	+$656	04-24 00:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:15 UTC	2	$200	368	0	+368	Up	-$200	04-24 04:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:35 UTC	3	$200	856	0	+856	Up	-$200	04-24 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:45 UTC	2	$200	368	0	+368	Down	+$168	04-24 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:30 UTC	2	$200	678	0	+678	Down	-$200	04-24 04:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 01:20 UTC	2	$200	325	0	+325	Down	+$125	04-24 01:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 22:45 UTC	1	$187	977	0	+977	Up	-$187	08-06 22:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 15:00 UTC	8	$175	9,359	0	+9,359	Up	-$175	06-14 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$174	154	145	+9	Up	+$123	04-26 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$150	3,862	0	+3,862	Down	-$150	06-03 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:15 UTC	4	$150	1,878	0	+1,878	Up	-$150	06-04 11:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	3	$150	1,858	0	+1,858	Up	-$150	06-04 00:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:40 UTC	2	$150	246	0	+246	Down	-$150	04-24 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$145	67	136	-69	Up	+$56	04-26 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:50 UTC	4	$140	448	0	+448	Up	-$140	04-24 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 07:00 UTC	3	$140	270	0	+270	Down	-$140	04-24 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$139	117	111	+6	Up	+$86	04-26 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:35:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$97	0x9209a2…
10-27 14:22:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5,105	2¢	$100	0xf46406…
10-23 13:01:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	495	2¢	$10	0x03919c…
10-22 19:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xddb946…
10-22 19:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe9088b…
10-22 18:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x40d058…
10-22 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbf71ce…
10-22 18:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	353	1¢	$2	0x267531…
10-22 16:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe958be…
10-22 15:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xaf9510…
10-22 15:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4f85dd…
10-21 19:43:14	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,059	3¢	$200	0x4a8e6a…
10-21 18:45:03	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x74c19f…
10-04 19:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x53672f…
10-04 19:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x1199dc…
10-04 19:31:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe3225d…
10-02 14:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x588410…
10-02 14:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x0dd3f6…
10-02 14:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xb96a13…
10-02 14:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x566a5e…
10-02 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0f1c91…
10-02 13:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x88dd4e…
10-02 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x15b334…
10-02 12:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x3b3b9d…
10-02 12:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc0141c…
10-02 12:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4cdc65…
10-02 12:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x389e84…
10-02 12:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x586530…
10-02 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x125738…
10-02 12:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xeacd6c…
10-02 11:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x457fee…
10-02 11:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x54239d…
10-02 11:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6c430d…
10-02 11:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x315d71…
10-02 11:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x23dccc…
10-02 11:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x990f18…
10-02 11:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5c6b23…
10-02 10:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xfb5a66…
10-02 10:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xaaf5d8…
10-02 10:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	359	3¢	$10	0x5d885d…
10-02 10:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf8b010…
10-02 10:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xc05318…
10-02 10:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xdf039f…
10-02 10:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x30e2bf…
10-02 10:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x926de3…
10-02 10:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xef0b04…
10-02 10:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x059c0f…
10-02 10:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x0c796c…
10-02 09:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x942d21…
10-02 00:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x790f0b…
10-02 00:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6aeed6…
10-02 00:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x3b05bb…
10-01 20:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x1e0dcd…
10-01 19:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9385ed…
10-01 18:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x2b8adf…
10-01 16:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf00bf3…
10-01 16:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x006685…
10-01 15:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xa6315f…
10-01 15:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xbe0dbe…
10-01 15:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x60f8e3…
10-01 15:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xaa7e58…
10-01 15:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4648d3…
10-01 15:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x278692…
10-01 15:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x77c543…
10-01 15:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1e5975…
10-01 15:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xa4130f…
10-01 15:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x0d0e73…
10-01 14:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x154798…
10-01 14:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x03cd5d…
10-01 14:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xd97d24…
10-01 14:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x051aea…
10-01 14:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x972d76…
10-01 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xaa4060…
10-01 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x964861…
10-01 13:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb243da…
10-01 13:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xacb81b…
10-01 13:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x86cdf7…
10-01 13:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xc02d9f…
10-01 13:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4053e9…
10-01 13:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1bdba0…
10-01 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1bdaf9…
10-01 13:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x93347a…
10-01 13:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd3e59c…
10-01 13:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xefdca6…
10-01 12:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x52f30c…
10-01 12:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb6e6ce…
10-01 12:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xcc27bb…
10-01 12:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xb6b779…
10-01 12:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xdac2c2…
10-01 12:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x85da89…
10-01 12:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x791093…
10-01 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x38dfe3…
10-01 12:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5afd64…
10-01 12:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x05b1a9…
10-01 12:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x276ff9…
10-01 12:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xbf7fa3…
10-01 12:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x191db2…
10-01 12:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x4e5d2a…
10-01 12:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x2cf651…
10-01 12:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x432cec…