Cultured-Champagne — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.67K

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,288

lifetime

Volume

$101.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$8.66K

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-07 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

65% 80% +$14,886

Other

35% 67% +$12,574

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+8,000	$2,218	55¢	$4.4K	+$2,142	11-05 20:08
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	+6,000	$2,037	30¢	$1.8K	-$267	11-05 10:45
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	+7,100	$1,556	23¢	$1.6K	+$77	11-07 02:35
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	+5,385	$628	15¢	$786	+$159	10-26 10:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	-865	-$850	7¢	$-63	+$788	07-28 05:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+905	$272	5¢	$45	-$226	06-15 15:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	28	$9.1K	10,839	580	+10,259	Yes	+$2,291	09-29 02:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	44	$7.9K	13,000	5,000	+8,000	open	—	11-05 20:08
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	49	$5.5K	8,810	4,810	+4,000	Yes	+$2,774	05-28 19:15
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	68	$5.4K	10,500	4,500	+6,000	open	—	11-05 10:45
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	39	$5.2K	5,518	5,518	+0	Yes	+$2,450	06-07 21:03
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	120	$4.6K	9,667	8,667	+1,000	No	-$870	08-30 20:56
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?	36	$4.5K	3,457	3,457	+0	Yes	+$936	06-17 16:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	39	$3.6K	2,873	3,032	-159	No	+$890	05-23 00:25
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	41	$2.8K	2,850	2,850	+0	No	-$352	10-31 22:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	15	$2.7K	4,510	0	+4,510	No	+$1,833	11-02 20:50
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	2	$2.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$72	08-18 21:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	5	$2.4K	4,003	0	+4,003	No	+$1,627	08-06 00:52
Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?	52	$2.3K	3,017	1,317	+1,700	Yes	+$1,196	07-30 12:00
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	7	$2.3K	5,327	0	+5,327	No	+$3,050	11-06 23:02
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	23	$2.2K	1,922	1,922	+0	No	-$38	08-29 13:10
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	30	$2.1K	2,920	2,920	+0	No	-$214	09-01 01:10
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	21	$2.1K	4,488	4,488	+0	Yes	-$624	09-23 23:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	14	$1.9K	1,575	2,440	-865	open	—	07-28 05:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	5	$1.8K	2,125	475	+1,650	No	+$732	10-01 03:16
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	32	$1.6K	7,100	0	+7,100	open	—	11-07 02:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	15	$1.5K	2,102	0	+2,102	No	+$578	08-25 20:14
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?	38	$1.4K	1,898	1,355	+542	No	-$118	05-26 15:48
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	15	$1.3K	1,359	1,359	+0	Yes	+$587	07-13 15:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	5	$1.2K	1,880	0	+1,880	No	+$681	08-13 01:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$11	05-23 00:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	3	$1.1K	597	597	+0	No	+$11	05-23 00:23
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	29	$1.1K	1,653	1,653	+0	No	+$97	04-19 15:22
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	43	$1.0K	2,445	1,327	+1,118	Yes	+$689	09-30 11:47
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	39	$1.0K	3,110	1,053	+2,057	Yes	+$1,431	09-01 20:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	29	$1.0K	1,931	968	+963	No	+$606	04-20 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 02:35:37	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xc515fb…
11-06 23:02:42	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	29¢	$290	0x39e421…
11-06 22:47:54	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	44¢	$880	0xf7c6f7…
11-06 22:42:06	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xb0fb9d…
11-06 22:00:57	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	292	48¢	$140	0x6bdda7…
11-06 22:00:10	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	564	48¢	$269	0x9eafe3…
11-06 21:56:15	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	628	48¢	$300	0xaf7ae0…
11-06 21:55:52	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	643	47¢	$300	0x3bbe5d…
11-05 20:08:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0xc8a3c3…
11-05 10:45:37	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0x8ca466…
11-05 00:54:00	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	27¢	$270	0x160687…
11-02 20:50:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	625	69¢	$431	0x4b2053…
11-01 13:59:25	Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	11¢	$8	0x985b36…
11-01 00:09:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,270	1¢	$28	0x3dcdb4…
10-31 22:02:15	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	669	0¢	$2	0x738e2b…
10-31 20:00:43	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb14799…
10-31 14:20:46	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xd67865…
10-31 14:19:13	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	237	4¢	$9	0x381411…
10-31 14:19:12	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	63	5¢	$3	0x58993f…
10-29 22:36:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,172	10¢	$123	0x58bc7e…
10-29 22:14:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	98	14¢	$13	0xbabcfd…
10-29 22:06:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	898	24¢	$215	0x028a13…
10-29 22:06:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	102	24¢	$25	0xb4b894…
10-29 17:51:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	71¢	$710	0x7756a9…
10-29 17:31:17	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x74d96c…
10-29 17:26:44	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5cd5e8…
10-29 17:26:35	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xd8b0d9…
10-29 17:26:26	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xb5a213…
10-29 17:26:26	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x8eed46…
10-29 17:26:26	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x6c998c…
10-28 22:38:19	Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	832	52¢	$430	0xfdc740…
10-28 02:26:36	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x638991…
10-28 02:26:36	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x277a11…
10-28 02:06:50	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xe29fe9…
10-28 02:06:50	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x8aa3f3…
10-28 02:06:50	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x8a2ae3…
10-28 02:06:48	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x3542ba…
10-28 01:57:59	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3909e0…
10-28 01:57:57	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdfdedd…
10-28 01:57:57	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xa31ded…
10-28 01:57:57	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x6e3565…
10-28 01:57:57	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x096893…
10-28 01:57:33	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x253084…
10-28 01:57:33	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0818e6…
10-27 08:01:48	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xafd4de…
10-27 08:01:27	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x94404f…
10-27 08:01:17	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xced732…
10-26 10:07:26	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xc29a36…
10-26 04:06:21	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xcb6e83…
10-25 07:54:35	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	146	28¢	$41	0xda2a37…
10-24 00:18:57	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xe229ac…
10-23 23:34:50	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0xb43654…
10-23 23:09:14	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	101	36¢	$36	0x443388…
10-23 20:52:17	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x724d56…
10-23 20:52:17	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	284	36¢	$102	0x45d807…
10-23 20:31:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x18e4d1…
10-23 20:30:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1,495	3¢	$43	0x7e3dae…
10-23 17:11:20	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x533d3f…
10-23 16:35:48	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0xebf1a5…
10-23 16:21:45	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	93	42¢	$39	0x88908f…
10-23 16:14:21	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	820	42¢	$344	0x1d22f2…
10-23 16:14:20	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	87	42¢	$37	0x5f7785…
10-23 15:24:41	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x884dbc…
10-23 15:24:41	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x784552…
10-23 15:24:39	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0xcca6e5…
10-23 14:41:27	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0xd7704f…
10-23 12:40:23	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x948eed…
10-23 12:40:14	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa6edeb…
10-23 12:40:12	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x7aec4a…
10-23 12:40:05	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x79d1b5…
10-23 12:40:03	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x6af771…
10-23 12:39:53	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x92bfb4…
10-23 12:39:53	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x805123…
10-23 12:39:44	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xb0bab1…
10-23 12:39:42	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa2271a…
10-23 12:39:33	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xb63ee0…
10-23 12:39:32	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x2e665a…
10-23 12:39:23	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa18e42…
10-23 12:39:21	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x39e7ed…
10-23 12:39:12	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3d6568…
10-23 12:39:11	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x54f634…
10-23 12:38:50	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x749bf9…
10-23 12:38:48	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x1cfb75…
10-23 12:38:39	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5c1f52…
10-23 12:38:38	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x98df21…
10-23 12:38:18	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xfd4280…
10-23 12:38:17	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x10fcc0…
10-23 11:11:39	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x143805…
10-23 11:02:27	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0xe4ed3f…
10-23 06:33:14	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	613	41¢	$251	0xbb73e6…
10-23 03:06:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	245	2¢	$6	0x06f689…
10-23 02:28:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	340	2¢	$8	0x747f75…
10-23 02:11:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	211	2¢	$5	0xd8f124…
10-23 02:01:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x64e75b…
10-23 01:45:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	357	2¢	$8	0xa3cf10…
10-23 01:40:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	344	2¢	$8	0x3cc3ae…
10-23 00:53:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	911	2¢	$18	0x61f43f…
10-23 00:33:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	89	2¢	$2	0x307a9c…
10-23 00:28:59	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	94	41¢	$38	0x024a6a…
10-22 22:47:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0xfd5c02…