Deadly-Evidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

334

Trades

1,354

lifetime

Volume

$38.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-02 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 78% -$643

Politics

4% 7% -$28

Other

3% 14% -$169

Sports

1% 0% -$200

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:30 UTC	74	$3.0K	4,182	4,124	+58	Down	-$212	02-01 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:30 UTC	42	$1.7K	3,091	3,059	+32	Down	-$40	02-01 19:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:15 UTC	27	$1.3K	1,727	1,704	+23	Up	$0	02-01 19:22
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 17:30 UTC	19	$1.1K	559	559	+0	Up	+$31	01-28 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:45 UTC	24	$1.0K	2,455	2,437	+18	Down	-$67	02-01 19:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 14:00 UTC	3	$813	440	439	+1	Up	+$31	01-30 14:16
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 14:15 UTC	16	$785	550	424	+126	Down	+$108	01-30 14:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 19:15 UTC	8	$715	1,000	987	+13	Down	+$2	02-01 19:22
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 14:15 UTC	29	$612	519	512	+7	Down	+$26	01-31 14:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 17:30 UTC	11	$606	309	309	+0	Up	+$11	01-28 17:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 13:45 UTC	38	$453	380	379	+1	Up	+$21	01-31 13:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 13:45 UTC	33	$414	357	335	+22	Up	-$1	01-31 13:52
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 14:15 UTC	1	$396	417	0	+417	Down	+$20	01-30 14:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	5	$300	216	216	+0	No	+$4	05-23 23:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 16:00 UTC	2	$266	143	143	+1	Up	+$20	01-30 16:17
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 17:45 UTC	8	$265	158	158	+0	Down	+$28	01-30 17:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:15 UTC	8	$257	137	137	+0	Down	+$18	01-30 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:45 UTC	8	$251	147	147	+1	Down	+$5	01-30 15:53
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:00 UTC	5	$246	141	140	+0	Down	+$24	01-30 18:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 19:00 UTC	7	$245	168	168	+0	Up	+$20	01-30 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 17:30 UTC	2	$238	128	127	+0	Down	+$16	01-30 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 17:45 UTC	6	$237	135	135	+0	Down	+$24	01-30 17:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 16:30 UTC	2	$233	131	130	+1	Up	+$27	01-30 16:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:15 UTC	2	$232	130	129	+1	Down	+$18	01-30 15:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 16:45 UTC	2	$229	122	121	+0	Down	+$13	01-30 17:02
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:45 UTC	10	$228	149	149	+0	Down	+$2	01-30 15:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:45 UTC	12	$227	149	149	+0	Down	+$4	01-30 15:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 16:00 UTC	11	$226	146	146	+0	Up	+$1	01-30 16:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 13:15 UTC	7	$225	144	143	+1	Up	+$62	01-29 13:31
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:00 UTC	2	$224	120	120	+0	Up	+$16	01-30 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 22:13:05	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 2?	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x75724b…
06-02 19:11:21	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 2?	No	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xeed8c5…
06-02 13:59:51	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	No	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x1d1131…
06-02 13:56:58	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x7fee83…
06-02 12:48:53	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x0e397e…
06-02 12:42:18	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xafb360…
06-02 12:41:43	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	92¢	$59	0x3eb839…
06-02 12:37:29	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	93¢	$62	0xc3fb21…
06-02 12:36:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 2?	No	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x10b07c…
06-02 12:32:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 2?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x0dbafc…
05-31 15:12:13	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x6077bd…
05-31 15:05:11	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xabb13b…
05-30 20:36:56	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xa97163…
05-30 19:07:04	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x9369e0…
05-30 19:06:24	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xe4fcb3…
05-30 19:06:03	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	88¢	$80	0xa904f8…
05-30 18:59:31	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x69e280…
05-30 17:39:55	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x5452aa…
05-30 16:58:04	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xcfbce5…
05-30 16:15:48	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x77d8fe…
05-30 15:32:21	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x50fc6a…
05-30 15:31:53	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x446a17…
05-30 15:29:57	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xb58d66…
05-30 15:23:53	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xbcf888…
05-30 14:58:50	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	58	3¢	$1	0x38e2c1…
05-30 14:58:20	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x468c0d…
05-30 14:58:13	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0xa996dd…
05-30 14:57:56	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0x8b72c3…
05-30 14:57:09	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x99abff…
05-30 13:17:01	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x5eede6…
05-30 13:16:22	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0xce41c8…
05-30 13:15:53	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x5bc181…
05-30 13:15:02	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x2e54a3…
05-24 13:33:00	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x4604b2…
05-24 13:17:43	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0x5b8cbb…
05-24 13:02:35	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x44742c…
05-24 13:00:27	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0x523cbc…
05-24 12:56:05	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x31e15d…
05-24 12:54:51	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xee7616…
05-24 12:38:38	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x57485a…
05-24 12:38:28	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x93b4af…
05-24 12:35:48	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x62abbe…
05-24 12:33:18	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	SELL	106	10¢	$11	0xe8ffb1…
05-24 12:32:59	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x2c0d53…
05-24 12:32:55	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	SELL	120	75¢	$90	0x7f9f36…
05-24 12:32:08	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	51	72¢	$37	0xfdecad…
05-24 12:31:43	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xd55d12…
05-24 12:30:54	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xf3374c…
05-24 12:30:54	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x9a1ec5…
05-24 12:30:54	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x006336…
05-24 12:30:44	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xbc252c…
05-24 12:30:37	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xb8df35…
05-24 12:30:37	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x889882…
05-24 12:30:11	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x77773d…
05-24 01:08:37	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	No	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x905d94…
05-24 01:07:51	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc50944…
05-24 01:05:47	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	No	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xe34bae…
05-24 01:05:40	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0x76e8b5…
05-24 01:04:19	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0x8e79d6…
05-24 01:00:37	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	No	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x875756…
05-24 01:00:34	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x88ced7…
05-24 01:00:28	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	12¢	$9	0xe1439b…
05-24 00:58:50	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x634136…
05-24 00:57:23	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x5e1fe1…
05-24 00:55:20	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0x2a4c24…
05-24 00:54:47	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x35cd0f…
05-24 00:33:47	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0xdf7039…
05-24 00:29:54	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	13¢	$6	0xc337c5…
05-24 00:29:37	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x791d68…
05-24 00:29:11	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x9ca003…
05-24 00:28:58	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x94d110…
05-24 00:27:10	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x453f52…
05-24 00:23:29	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x399f81…
05-24 00:23:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x5c5f17…
05-24 00:20:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0x17a4fb…
05-24 00:19:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0x98da33…
05-24 00:18:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0xc730e1…
05-24 00:10:32	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xfbac21…
05-23 23:59:13	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	SELL	106	83¢	$88	0x18256b…
05-23 23:58:51	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x142863…
05-23 23:58:49	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	96	90¢	$86	0x00fd12…
05-23 23:58:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x73aac7…
05-23 23:57:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0f03b0…
05-23 23:48:26	Will @vibhu win the Phoenix trading competition?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x664df5…
05-23 23:31:33	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x2b9a33…
05-23 23:31:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x5f9480…
05-23 23:31:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	41	73¢	$30	0x2cec21…
05-23 23:30:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	74¢	$149	0x192b47…
05-23 23:10:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	59	70¢	$41	0x9d50ac…
05-23 22:58:40	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x5b85a5…
05-23 22:57:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xeac502…
05-23 22:57:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xe2f5a9…
05-23 22:57:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x8ec5a7…
05-23 22:57:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xca0562…
05-23 13:45:47	Will @vibhu win the Phoenix trading competition?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0xee6770…
05-23 13:03:12	Will @vibhu win the Phoenix trading competition?	Yes	BUY	31	47¢	$14	0x809741…
05-23 13:02:46	Will @vibhu win the Phoenix trading competition?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x43225e…
05-23 13:02:39	Will @vibhu win the Phoenix trading competition?	Yes	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x9ddf2c…
05-23 13:02:36	Will @vibhu win the Phoenix trading competition?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x914843…
05-23 13:02:15	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	12¢	$6	0xd80644…