Rosy-Recognition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.9%

Resolved

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$3.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-21 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

32% — —

Sports

24% 9% $-135

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$473	440	440	+0	open	—	04-07 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$236	300	200	+100	open	—	04-22 18:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	11	$180	913	733	+180	open	—	03-27 20:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$179	153	153	+0	open	—	04-07 23:22
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	4	$130	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-05 20:42
btc updown 5m 1771529400	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	02-19 19:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$88	140	140	+0	open	—	04-17 18:24
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$85	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 23:17
btc updown 5m 1771530300	7	$84	109	0	+109	open	—	02-19 19:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$78	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 23:22
btc updown 5m 1771531800	2	$55	36	35	+1	open	—	02-19 20:15
will ucla win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	3	$52	120	0	+120	open	—	04-05 20:43
solana up or down february 20 5am et	3	$52	37	37	+0	open	—	02-20 10:40
btc updown 5m 1771530000	5	$50	77	0	+77	open	—	02-19 19:42
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5	1	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	05-20 00:09
btc updown 5m 1771495500	4	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	02-19 10:09
btc updown 5m 1771531200	2	$49	44	44	+1	open	—	02-19 20:02
btc updown 5m 1771540800	3	$49	92	90	+1	open	—	02-19 22:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$49	140	0	+140	open	—	04-13 18:28
bitcoin up or down february 19 5pm et	5	$43	88	38	+50	open	—	02-19 22:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	3	$42	350	0	+350	open	—	04-27 01:39
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	6	$39	60	60	+0	open	—	04-25 07:21
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	1	$37	100	0	+100	open	—	04-17 01:24
btc updown 5m 1771494900	3	$36	52	0	+52	open	—	02-19 09:59
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	4	$31	57	0	+57	open	—	04-27 02:25
Knicks vs. 76ers	3	$30	110	0	+110	Knicks	$-30	05-09 00:19
Oilers vs. Ducks	2	$29	65	0	+65	open	—	04-24 22:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$25	68	0	+68	open	—	04-14 19:40
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5	2	$23	100	0	+100	open	—	05-16 01:04
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani	3	$23	111	0	+111	open	—	05-02 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 17:44:24	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x574713…
05-20 00:09:52	Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x9031aa…
05-16 01:38:24	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xc270ea…
05-16 01:12:53	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x572d42…
05-16 01:05:58	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x09931f…
05-16 01:04:31	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5	Under	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0xbd2446…
05-16 01:04:27	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5	Under	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfb3665…
05-09 00:19:57	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbdb94e…
05-09 00:19:01	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xe23070…
05-09 00:18:43	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x23504b…
05-09 00:18:13	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x94841f…
05-09 00:17:30	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xe9b22a…
05-08 01:24:36	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x8be8ef…
05-08 01:24:08	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x77edc3…
05-08 01:23:35	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x5484a6…
05-08 01:22:58	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x3f24fb…
05-07 00:45:11	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x84efe1…
05-07 00:44:48	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	76ers	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x08e7d2…
05-06 11:00:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	444	5¢	$21	0x886c80…
05-06 10:57:54	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	130	12¢	$16	0x67ff8e…
05-06 10:56:42	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9ed190…
05-06 10:50:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x10f4b7…
05-02 01:54:18	The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani	Nakatani	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x3d0de6…
05-02 01:53:46	The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani	Nakatani	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xc3a731…
05-02 01:53:32	The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani	Nakatani	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x4c3003…
05-02 01:51:00	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x788995…
04-27 23:44:20	Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc24f20…
04-27 23:43:52	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0x773db1…
04-27 23:43:16	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Miami Marlins	BUY	37	28¢	$10	0x554bc5…
04-27 23:41:48	Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5	Under	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x01423e…
04-27 02:25:00	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Lakers	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xe9345d…
04-27 02:24:56	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Lakers	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xdd909b…
04-27 02:24:40	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Lakers	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6241f8…
04-27 02:20:04	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$4	0x9c6357…
04-27 02:16:12	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x01c811…
04-27 02:14:38	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x4aaca4…
04-27 02:14:32	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Ducks	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x53ecae…
04-27 02:13:00	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Ducks	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xe4aec0…
04-27 02:11:18	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xaff221…
04-27 02:11:02	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x505b22…
04-27 02:10:16	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xcaf82b…
04-27 02:09:36	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	89	5¢	$5	0xeecb84…
04-27 01:39:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x80f735…
04-27 00:54:46	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Lakers	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xe5a245…
04-26 22:49:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x891ccd…
04-26 22:48:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xdce880…
04-26 22:47:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	70	19¢	$13	0x89ff33…
04-26 22:28:30	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2,540	0¢	$5	0x61ae4a…
04-26 22:11:52	Avalanche vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x7ee472…
04-26 22:08:22	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x8922bf…
04-25 23:42:44	Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)	Nuggets	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x937db8…
04-25 23:34:06	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x226792…
04-25 07:21:30	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xa2e482…
04-24 23:40:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x4d6f5b…
04-24 23:34:18	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xfa5d7b…
04-24 23:17:28	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xd5121c…
04-24 23:17:14	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x3adb8e…
04-24 22:57:02	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x484951…
04-24 22:56:16	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x37afd8…
04-24 22:54:44	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x1f8953…
04-24 22:54:18	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x68eac5…
04-24 22:53:58	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	76ers	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe7ea74…
04-23 22:39:56	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xfcd07e…
04-23 22:38:58	nba den min 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Timberwolves	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x008e09…
04-23 22:37:04	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Hawks	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9f7893…
04-23 22:37:00	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Hawks	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x91fdd1…
04-23 22:36:56	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23 spread away 1pt5	Hawks	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb8076d…
04-23 22:36:38	nba cle tor 2026 04 23 spread away 3pt5	Raptors	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x05c3a4…
04-23 22:36:22	nba cle tor 2026 04 23	Raptors	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x2f7344…
04-23 01:00:06	nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	Ducks	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x745535…
04-23 00:16:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xff7456…
04-23 00:14:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xdee7c7…
04-23 00:14:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe66322…
04-23 00:02:46	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0x7dd725…
04-23 00:02:40	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3d301d…
04-23 00:02:20	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4d7c20…
04-22 23:59:24	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x945c6b…
04-22 23:59:24	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x229605…
04-22 23:58:52	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	141	2¢	$3	0x86336c…
04-22 23:58:04	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,110	1¢	$14	0xc4e42f…
04-22 23:32:22	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x0ccad3…
04-22 22:20:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe5bdb1…
04-22 22:10:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x030381…
04-22 22:01:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x5179fb…
04-22 22:00:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x252d8a…
04-22 21:50:54	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xbb312e…
04-22 21:49:46	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x4b1696…
04-22 21:48:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xd3a0ea…
04-22 18:14:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc86520…
04-22 18:06:14	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Suns	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0xc548db…
04-22 18:06:06	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 19pt5	Suns	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x359f90…
04-22 18:04:32	nba orl det 2026 04 22 spread home 9pt5	Magic	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa7cb94…
04-22 18:04:24	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x5da86b…
04-22 18:01:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x4bc8e9…
04-22 02:24:04	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xdb4eb9…
04-22 01:48:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x7ef1f9…
04-22 01:44:48	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd7abbd…
04-22 01:23:14	nba hou lal 2026 04 21 spread away 5pt5	Lakers	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x588eb5…
04-22 01:22:30	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xc20685…
04-17 18:24:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	140	45¢	$63	0x2fe368…