Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

140

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$215

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-07 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

84% 64% +$29

Politics

15% 39% -$4

Tech

1% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:38
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	79¢	$1	$0	11-07 16:03
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	74¢	$1	$0	11-07 08:03
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	28¢	$0	-$1	10-25 14:48
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	17¢	$0	-$1	11-05 20:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-16 05:18
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 04:58
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-08 01:21
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-21 15:17
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-20 21:59
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 17:18
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-20 00:50
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-09 20:41
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-08 17:52
will tsla dip to 367 50 by september 21 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$3	09-22 07:20
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	09-21 07:11
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Up	-$2	09-11 01:24
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-15 20:42
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	09-14 14:11
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 01:43
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-14 05:52
will pltr dip to 168 by august 10 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-10 06:17
will spy reach 770 by august 31 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-31 02:49
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-21 06:08
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-13 21:52
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-14 22:25
will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-10 14:18
will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-17 11:24
will googl reach 350 in august 2026 from august 27	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-29 13:39
wti closes above 85 on august 18 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-18 12:01
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-17 19:59
will aapl dip to 300 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-17 01:13
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-29 21:40
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-21 14:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 16:03:54	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9a7b90…
11-07 08:03:34	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa62d91…
11-06 17:41:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x69fee1…
11-06 08:50:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe20da5…
11-05 20:25:21	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x56f5b4…
11-05 12:12:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xab8093…
11-05 02:53:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc60ec6…
11-04 08:02:16	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x92e717…
11-04 00:01:25	Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2898e8…
11-03 15:23:55	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3654e6…
11-03 06:32:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xefa1ed…
11-02 22:29:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7f2eb5…
11-02 14:28:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x62963f…
11-02 05:59:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1bda88…
11-01 21:58:54	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5e5138…
11-01 05:38:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2abe94…
10-30 01:53:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2bdcba…
10-29 13:56:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9d3f70…
10-29 03:25:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb492ec…
10-28 13:43:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2ccf49…
10-28 04:56:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xeb90fd…
10-27 20:55:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7369c3…
10-27 12:54:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x092179…
10-27 03:32:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x97e12a…
10-26 15:12:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x458a21…
10-26 07:09:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0e365f…
10-25 23:08:57	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xeb7172…
10-25 14:48:23	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7f88f7…
10-25 06:35:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xae57ed…
10-23 16:00:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc04125…
10-23 07:26:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x688f1a…
10-22 23:25:47	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xef90fa…
10-22 12:17:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3ee8e0…
10-21 22:14:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa78470…
10-21 14:08:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeeedd6…
10-21 06:07:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa093c2…
10-20 22:05:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xadff5b…
10-20 13:02:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1824d5…
10-20 05:02:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x01b9a7…
10-19 21:02:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb4da08…
10-19 12:47:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb64218…
10-19 04:47:06	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x434ac5…
10-18 20:46:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x162712…
10-18 20:20:24	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x481f44…
10-18 12:12:09	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x865ac3…
10-18 01:58:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x429883…
10-17 15:55:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8c855e…
10-17 06:45:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xff86e0…
10-16 12:41:40	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf5d65f…
10-16 03:54:40	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa11cca…
10-15 16:39:05	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdb3645…
10-15 08:33:32	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbc255d…
10-15 00:10:01	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x52018c…
10-14 12:56:02	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xaa2f57…
10-14 04:36:58	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6ad992…
10-13 20:31:16	will meta dip to 740 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4732c1…
10-13 10:37:14	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2d0984…
10-13 02:32:59	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x089fb7…
10-12 18:32:35	will coin reach 182 50 by october 12 2026 from october 12	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x969bc1…
10-12 10:30:05	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x658fae…
10-12 02:30:02	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf9d004…
10-11 18:26:45	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb4d843…
10-11 09:39:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc61d69…
10-11 01:21:23	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x431a8d…
10-10 06:28:58	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7b361a…
10-09 12:59:24	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb58e87…
10-09 04:39:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xede984…
10-08 20:25:26	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc33f96…
10-08 07:51:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8dedfc…
10-07 23:50:34	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f2912…
10-07 23:50:17	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3a6644…
10-07 15:49:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6bcee9…
10-07 04:16:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb04a24…
10-06 20:14:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc9c418…
10-06 20:14:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5df3a5…
10-06 12:14:03	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xae04fa…
10-06 04:13:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5095a1…
10-05 15:07:47	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9f42c8…
10-05 00:48:01	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2a0c68…
10-05 00:24:16	will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7217f8…
10-02 14:16:38	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x941742…
10-02 06:15:02	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x41ef9d…
10-01 18:21:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x407efd…
10-01 08:55:03	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe4a9eb…
09-30 23:23:18	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc1e576…
09-30 11:46:21	will ng dip to 2 90 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x340625…
09-30 03:38:21	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb67ea8…
09-29 19:34:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 29?	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7da2cf…
09-29 11:30:32	will abnb dip to 148 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x89c0bc…
09-29 03:27:08	will msft dip to 502 50 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6719b8…
09-28 19:18:27	will meta dip to 680 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x45d914…
09-28 10:35:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xaf9241…
09-28 00:56:18	will tsla dip to 352 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2881a6…
09-27 16:46:17	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x741318…
09-27 08:24:41	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x49db68…
09-26 07:55:21	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd2f962…
09-24 15:57:30	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6bc4a6…
09-22 07:20:18	will tsla dip to 367 50 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x2e741d…
09-21 23:19:12	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3fafa5…
09-21 15:17:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa52c03…