Fortunate-Parchment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

1,726

Trades

1,780

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-22 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 98% -$67

Other

14% 83% -$55

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 19:50 UTC	2	$79	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	04-05 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:15 UTC	2	$75	38	38	+0	Down	+$0	04-05 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:35 UTC	2	$74	38	38	+0	Up	+$2	04-05 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:30 UTC	2	$72	36	36	+0	Down	+$0	04-05 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?	4	$57	39	39	+0	Yes	+$15	06-21 17:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?	2	$57	31	31	+0	Yes	+$5	06-21 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 19:45 UTC	1	$45	130	0	+130	Down	-$45	04-05 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?	2	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	06-20 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?	2	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$4	06-22 08:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:20 UTC	1	$37	57	0	+57	Up	+$19	04-05 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 20:00 UTC	1	$35	63	0	+63	Down	-$35	04-05 20:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?	2	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$4	06-20 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 21?	2	$34	19	19	+0	Yes	+$4	06-22 04:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?	2	$26	33	33	+0	Yes	-$14	06-21 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13?	4	$25	16	16	+0	No	+$5	06-13 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:30 UTC	2	$25	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	04-05 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:05 UTC	2	$24	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	04-05 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?	2	$22	29	0	+29	No	-$22	06-21 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13?	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$3	06-13 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 20:30 UTC	2	$21	13	12	+0	Up	+$3	04-05 20:35
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	2	$21	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 06:14
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 21:05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 14?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-14 05:40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?	1	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	06-20 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 21?	1	$20	37	0	+37	No	-$20	06-21 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	1	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	06-20 21:07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 21?	3	$19	24	7	+17	No	-$11	06-21 06:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 20:25 UTC	2	$17	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	04-05 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 13:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xef6432…
06-22 13:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x315cf5…
06-22 08:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x867c44…
06-22 05:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xd2fd61…
06-22 05:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xc0e589…
06-22 04:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcdbf6e…
06-21 20:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x1a335d…
06-21 19:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xae329d…
06-21 18:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x3a17fe…
06-21 17:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xf336f6…
06-21 12:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x4eb7eb…
06-21 12:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xa808af…
06-21 10:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xcfc31e…
06-21 08:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x5f18dc…
06-21 08:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcf9d01…
06-21 08:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x9f7843…
06-21 07:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0xbdf3bb…
06-21 06:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x99d55b…
06-21 06:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xfba6e0…
06-21 06:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x704683…
06-21 05:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x084d17…
06-20 21:56:10	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb0e265…
06-20 21:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xaef067…
06-20 20:31:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x40fa8e…
06-20 19:32:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xe1375d…
06-20 17:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x217f67…
06-20 14:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8ce8c6…
06-20 14:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x2a167b…
06-20 14:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x807e7d…
06-20 11:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2a1a68…
06-20 10:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb96d49…
06-20 10:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x5f43b3…
06-20 08:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1933c6…
06-20 07:03:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 20?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xe39704…
06-20 06:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 21?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x56eb73…
06-19 21:36:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x5358c1…
06-19 21:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6fe973…
06-19 21:29:17	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5f6a71…
06-19 20:54:52	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x654960…
06-19 19:58:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xb3c095…
06-19 19:58:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6e7774…
06-19 18:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x91b711…
06-19 17:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x4264ee…
06-19 17:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4f9142…
06-19 17:44:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9560e9…
06-19 17:35:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x80a6dc…
06-19 14:30:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0fef98…
06-19 13:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb32af2…
06-19 13:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x580c0f…
06-19 13:43:37	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ae63e…
06-19 13:43:35	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0ce017…
06-19 13:43:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd72c76…
06-19 13:43:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x737e01…
06-19 13:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb6e16c…
06-19 13:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xef8ffa…
06-19 13:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x48320b…
06-19 13:42:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x2af04d…
06-19 13:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x853d82…
06-19 13:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x338c09…
06-19 13:13:25	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x633a90…
06-19 12:58:47	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40d0db…
06-19 12:58:35	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x204b6c…
06-19 12:58:34	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x971cec…
06-19 12:58:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93b5f2…
06-19 12:58:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b5705…
06-19 12:44:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4cd103…
06-19 12:43:34	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf1aaec…
06-19 12:28:29	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3e2254…
06-19 12:28:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc70da…
06-19 12:14:14	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb7d104…
06-19 11:58:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x93a4f8…
06-19 11:43:26	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb985bb…
06-19 11:29:31	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2a71e6…
06-19 11:29:08	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cde7c…
06-19 11:29:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x32fa83…
06-19 11:28:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x29f7b3…
06-19 11:28:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb976e6…
06-19 11:14:29	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4f4ca4…
06-19 11:14:04	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9f1afe…
06-19 11:13:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8dba18…
06-19 10:58:31	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13b6c2…
06-19 10:58:29	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45fa06…
06-19 10:58:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x73c9c9…
06-19 10:58:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47f16b…
06-19 10:44:23	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa4020c…
06-19 10:43:29	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd382da…
06-19 10:43:26	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4f003c…
06-19 10:43:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5457c…
06-19 10:13:44	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe100fe…
06-19 10:13:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x870e9d…
06-19 09:59:28	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x284546…
06-19 09:59:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x74994b…
06-19 09:58:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3724da…
06-19 09:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x812576…
06-19 09:43:59	Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe939bc…
06-19 09:43:37	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x725364…
06-19 09:29:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0129f0…
06-19 09:13:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc42d30…
06-19 09:13:31	XRP Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x958b15…
06-19 09:13:29	Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcaf29…