Distorted-Component — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

801

lifetime

Volume

$6.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-20 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$10

Other

7% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xagusd up or down on july 10 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-10 20:31
tsla up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:32
googl up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:42
msft up or down on april 2 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-02 19:10
xrp up or down on march 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-24 15:14
open up or down on april 2 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-02 19:10
solana up or down on july 20 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-20 15:14
ng up or down on june 17 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-17 20:10
Solana Up or Down on May 10?	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-10 15:10
msft up or down on april 7 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-07 19:18
xrp up or down on march 31 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-31 15:13
solana up or down on july 18 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-18 15:54
abnb up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:12
spy up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:12
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	06-02 20:34
hood up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:12
bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-19 15:10
open up or down on march 25 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-25 19:39
coin up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:12
ethereum up or down on april 3 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-03 15:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-13 20:29
rut up or down on april 2 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-02 19:10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 11?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-11 20:12
xrp up or down on april 4 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-04 15:31
solana up or down on july 4 2026	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	07-04 15:11
wti up or down on april 9 2026	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-09 20:15
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	1	$19	20	+20	Up	+$1	05-10 15:10
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-16 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	1	$19	20	+20	Up	+$1	05-09 15:22
ethereum up or down on july 5 2026	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	07-05 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:14:33	solana up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x74341b…
07-20 06:53:19	solana up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x890291…
07-20 06:50:40	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x01930c…
07-20 06:50:10	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9865a3…
07-19 23:12:06	xrp updown 15m 1784502000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc57a1f…
07-19 20:59:45	eth updown 15m 1784493900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd90a8c…
07-19 20:57:06	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd31e38…
07-19 15:59:27	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xadd1c7…
07-19 15:10:42	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x37a4a0…
07-19 12:55:01	solana up or down july 19 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbd4bdf…
07-19 10:29:01	eth updown 15m 1784456100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x798e12…
07-19 10:28:58	btc updown 15m 1784456100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70ce5a…
07-19 07:43:36	btc updown 15m 1784446200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e133b…
07-19 05:58:45	sol updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b0fcd…
07-19 05:58:40	xrp updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9b631a…
07-19 05:58:39	sol updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a335d…
07-19 05:58:37	eth updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc5cca…
07-19 05:58:37	xrp updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x48bded…
07-19 05:58:34	btc updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5bddf…
07-19 05:58:34	eth updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d10b6…
07-19 05:58:33	btc updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x008018…
07-19 04:50:24	xrp up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2067bf…
07-19 04:42:10	eth updown 15m 1784435400	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x83dac3…
07-19 04:42:06	btc updown 15m 1784435400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf9af5d…
07-19 01:27:45	xrp updown 15m 1784423700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc97f6b…
07-19 01:13:42	eth updown 15m 1784422800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x046f53…
07-18 22:55:33	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3f0dfd…
07-18 22:28:00	btc updown 15m 1784412900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1d5e0…
07-18 18:51:52	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa8f0de…
07-18 16:57:57	eth updown 15m 1784393100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3878d…
07-18 16:57:52	xrp updown 15m 1784393100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3bc6d5…
07-18 15:54:37	btc updown 4h 1784376000	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb486d6…
07-18 15:54:36	solana up or down on july 18 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6363bd…
07-18 12:12:46	btc updown 15m 1784376000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb398fb…
07-18 12:12:45	eth updown 15m 1784376000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaed080…
07-18 12:12:42	sol updown 15m 1784376000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbccd28…
07-18 10:13:10	xrp updown 15m 1784368800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8cf657…
07-18 04:29:12	sol updown 15m 1784348100	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc9e002…
07-17 17:52:03	solana up or down july 17 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb09d95…
07-17 15:51:55	xrp updown 4h 1784289600	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x689998…
07-17 14:54:31	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9daebc…
07-17 09:50:37	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x321309…
07-17 09:50:33	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc8d01a…
07-17 08:57:24	sol updown 15m 1784277900	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdb01ad…
07-17 08:57:19	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c3b33…
07-17 06:14:24	doge updown 15m 1784268000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf6e54…
07-17 02:58:34	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa29eb4…
07-17 02:58:07	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb01f2d…
07-16 23:53:23	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xedd868…
07-16 21:58:14	btc updown 15m 1784238300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4a186…
07-16 21:54:37	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbeb96b…
07-16 21:50:08	solana up or down july 16 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc1364e…
07-16 12:57:22	btc updown 15m 1784205900	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa240a1…
07-15 23:57:19	eth updown 15m 1784159100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x63dc44…
07-15 21:53:58	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x15b45a…
07-15 20:27:56	eth updown 15m 1784146500	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x582df4…
07-15 12:27:55	btc updown 15m 1784117700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5642bd…
07-15 10:43:53	eth updown 15m 1784111400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fcb92…
07-15 05:42:41	eth updown 15m 1784093400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x90b691…
07-14 23:53:25	xrp up or down july 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcc534b…
07-14 23:53:22	solana up or down july 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xda2b01…
07-14 19:57:58	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c46b9…
07-14 17:52:20	xrp up or down july 14 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8f5e90…
07-14 14:42:41	eth updown 15m 1784039400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4f46ad…
07-14 08:13:22	sol updown 15m 1784016000	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc03b7e…
07-14 03:50:59	xrp updown 4h 1783987200	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x305ff9…
07-14 03:50:58	eth updown 4h 1783987200	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x76049d…
07-13 22:12:14	btc updown 15m 1783980000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x593efc…
07-13 19:50:35	ethereum up or down july 13 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7092ee…
07-13 19:50:34	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfbe51f…
07-13 15:27:07	sol updown 15m 1783955700	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x75cb03…
07-13 11:50:05	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x36f48c…
07-13 07:58:59	btc updown 15m 1783928700	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x00c5e6…
07-13 01:12:28	eth updown 15m 1783904400	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa3d61…
07-12 19:57:22	btc updown 4h 1783872000	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x178359…
07-12 19:57:17	solana up or down july 12 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13af7a…
07-12 18:53:49	ethereum up or down july 12 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0142b6…
07-12 18:53:46	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9fac2a…
07-12 18:50:08	solana up or down july 12 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb96430…
07-12 14:29:34	btc updown 15m 1783865700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x03cb6c…
07-12 12:53:19	xrp up or down july 12 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x349116…
07-12 12:28:13	btc updown 15m 1783858500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x968fc2…
07-12 11:57:05	sol updown 15m 1783856700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9a2146…
07-12 08:54:34	solana up or down july 12 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa66368…
07-12 05:51:11	solana up or down july 12 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x025438…
07-12 04:42:23	eth updown 15m 1783830600	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x10a75b…
07-12 03:51:40	xrp up or down july 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee82db…
07-12 02:57:38	sol updown 15m 1783824300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1beb62…
07-12 02:57:35	ethereum up or down july 11 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x445a66…
07-12 00:28:23	btc updown 15m 1783815300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5d755…
07-12 00:28:20	xrp updown 15m 1783815300	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6b33b8…
07-12 00:13:32	sol updown 15m 1783814400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7553d4…
07-11 21:12:22	xrp updown 15m 1783803600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x707959…
07-11 19:50:52	xrp up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0a5a1f…
07-11 19:50:50	ethereum up or down july 11 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3f170c…
07-11 18:27:17	sol updown 15m 1783793700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2ce48…
07-11 16:42:49	xrp updown 15m 1783787400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5dfba…
07-11 15:51:19	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc954a…
07-11 09:59:13	btc updown 15m 1783763100	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbe3e25…
07-11 08:12:49	eth updown 15m 1783756800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4d6b37…