Distorted-Component — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

477

lifetime

Volume

$4.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-10 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 100% +$10

Other

9% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
msft up or down on april 2 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-02 19:10
Solana Up or Down on May 10?	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-10 15:10
xrp up or down on march 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-24 15:14
open up or down on april 2 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-02 19:10
tsla up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:32
googl up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:42
xrp up or down on march 31 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-31 15:13
msft up or down on april 7 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-07 19:18
abnb up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:12
spy up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:12
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	06-02 20:34
hood up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:12
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-13 20:29
rut up or down on april 2 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-02 19:10
ethereum up or down on april 3 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-03 15:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 11?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-11 20:12
coin up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 19:12
open up or down on march 25 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-25 19:39
xrp up or down on april 4 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-04 15:31
wti up or down on april 9 2026	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-09 20:15
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	1	$19	20	+20	Up	+$1	05-10 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	1	$19	20	+20	Up	+$1	05-09 15:22
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-16 15:23
btc updown 4h 1775160000	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-02 23:54
xrp updown 4h 1774022400	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	03-20 19:52
btc updown 4h 1776153600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-14 11:52
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-25 15:54
eth updown 4h 1774296000	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	03-23 23:51
btc updown 4h 1775548800	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-07 11:51
xrp updown 4h 1774296000	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	03-23 23:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:12:37	eth updown 15m 1781060400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb5655…
06-10 03:12:36	btc updown 15m 1781060400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb6244…
06-10 00:54:04	xrp up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x25aed8…
06-09 19:58:34	eth updown 15m 1781034300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7e422…
06-09 12:43:40	sol updown 15m 1781008200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa43eb1…
06-04 21:13:46	eth updown 15m 1780606800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9b09b…
06-04 21:13:45	btc updown 15m 1780606800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c0dbd…
06-04 06:52:39	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2d0941…
06-04 02:12:24	sol updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x65b1a2…
06-04 02:12:18	eth updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x39e4ea…
06-03 18:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa268f0…
06-03 16:42:46	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x513367…
06-03 06:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90d5f3…
06-03 06:44:21	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x057109…
06-02 21:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbe75d9…
06-02 20:42:39	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x46a13e…
06-02 20:42:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x93b027…
06-02 20:34:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf80e10…
06-02 19:57:07	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed5368…
06-02 16:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2c1856…
06-02 11:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b38c0…
06-02 09:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa73178…
06-02 09:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa981c8…
06-02 08:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0xe55f78…
06-02 08:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0c1b09…
06-02 08:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15346c…
06-02 01:58:16	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x055050…
06-01 20:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb18908…
06-01 20:32:08	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xad98c5…
06-01 16:50:08	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x899df6…
06-01 16:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe11c15…
06-01 09:53:59	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x49eb6a…
05-31 23:51:00	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90714a…
05-31 23:50:56	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd3a685…
05-31 18:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6deb5e…
05-31 13:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb837b8…
05-31 02:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3eb8d3…
05-31 01:54:14	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbe1d0a…
05-31 01:27:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4b9ef4…
05-30 23:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x067758…
05-30 16:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x743b9e…
05-30 16:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b0b10…
05-30 16:43:22	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd4862…
05-28 12:51:08	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e2fb0…
05-28 10:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc6a8e…
05-28 10:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x364647…
05-28 03:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x512c9a…
05-28 00:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8756b2…
05-27 22:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x09a0f0…
05-27 15:52:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x52b563…
05-27 10:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83d2d4…
05-27 04:50:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x848aa8…
05-27 04:50:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x445f40…
05-27 04:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeccbeb…
05-26 23:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e306e…
05-26 23:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x121238…
05-26 20:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xece0ea…
05-26 17:57:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x58164e…
05-26 16:56:04	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x305ee6…
05-26 09:43:54	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7102c9…
05-26 06:12:34	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x902d1d…
05-26 04:50:47	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7dcdf5…
05-25 23:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc54ded…
05-25 19:50:42	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x44ebc3…
05-25 19:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x10de1a…
05-25 14:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbdff21…
05-14 09:42:48	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2a8047…
05-14 07:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7e9a49…
05-14 05:57:22	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x17b12b…
05-14 05:52:19	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc5c5eb…
05-14 02:51:26	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb17d27…
05-14 02:51:22	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbf3a7e…
05-13 20:29:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xda16e0…
05-13 09:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x010acc…
05-13 09:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x124888…
05-13 07:14:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x568ff1…
05-12 23:50:12	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0744c0…
05-12 23:50:10	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1728be…
05-12 23:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x16194b…
05-12 23:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b1090…
05-12 21:56:46	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x633c18…
05-12 20:50:44	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x364079…
05-12 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe76473…
05-12 19:50:45	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb9fc1e…
05-12 19:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc5b9ad…
05-12 16:57:56	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc0d040…
05-12 10:57:43	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbbda0e…
05-12 08:50:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa3afd8…
05-12 02:57:17	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x625861…
05-12 02:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbb7ad…
05-12 01:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeb35d0…
05-11 21:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd9d62b…
05-11 20:12:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x518eae…
05-11 18:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x998662…
05-11 16:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xacf879…
05-11 11:27:33	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdfada2…
05-11 07:51:09	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf153c2…
05-11 01:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf52141…
05-11 01:53:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x64f89c…
05-10 21:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6dfd29…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	360	$72.9K	6,848	06-02 21:49
Sweet-Convection 0xc0ff…136b	272	$4.79K	1,011	06-10 03:00
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	254	$63.1K	3,946	06-10 03:04
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	245	$205.6K	44,970	06-10 00:59
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	234	$24.2K	2,635	06-10 03:00
Funny-Credential 0x0dfa…c0e3	216	$31.1K	261	04-25 03:48
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	216	$640	273	06-04 05:01
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	205	$14.2K	3,990	06-10 00:52