Dark-Analysis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-24 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 56% $-7

Politics

15% — —

Sports

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1771368300	1	$1.9K	3,700	0	+3,700	open	—	02-17 21:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	8	$465	58,106	58,106	+0	open	—	05-06 12:48
us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	3	$440	3,093	3,093	+0	open	—	02-17 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	05-05 15:22
bitcoin above 60k on february 26	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	02-26 08:57
bitcoin above 60k on february 27	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	02-27 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-06 18:33
ufc bre7 abd8 2026 04 04	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-03 18:19
ufc man13 tom15 2026 04 04	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-03 18:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on february 27	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-27 11:16
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-24 16:38
ufc tre3 aza3 2026 04 04	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-03 18:42
cs2 bbp ursa 2026 03 19	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	03-19 14:42
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 16:34
ufc ale35 ste35 2026 04 04	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-03 18:30
ufc jos60 rob21 2026 04 04	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-03 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$7	14	0	+14	Down	$-7	05-06 18:28
bitcoin up or down on march 9	3	$6	10	5	+5	open	—	03-09 09:43
eth updown 5m 1773048900	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	03-09 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	05-06 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-06 18:29
btc updown 5m 1773172800	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-10 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-06 18:27
btc updown 5m 1773172500	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-10 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-06 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-06 18:25
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-19 14:35
btc updown 5m 1772095800	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-26 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-06 18:25
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-08 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 16:38:04	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x00f4d0…
05-06 18:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1ce024…
05-06 18:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0c32c3…
05-06 18:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x7aa054…
05-06 18:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb88991…
05-06 18:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x695ab6…
05-06 18:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x88acef…
05-06 18:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4fa472…
05-06 18:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0782d5…
05-06 12:48:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	14,653	0¢	$59	0x138069…
05-06 12:48:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	11,000	0¢	$44	0x3c0b93…
05-06 12:48:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	12,000	0¢	$48	0xc712a5…
05-06 12:47:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15,600	0¢	$62	0x6851ef…
05-06 12:46:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	15,700	0¢	$63	0x66f38e…
05-06 12:45:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15,753	0¢	$63	0xb83362…
05-06 12:45:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	15,753	0¢	$63	0x5466c7…
05-06 12:44:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15,753	0¢	$63	0xc6960d…
05-05 15:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7cc7ff…
05-04 16:34:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x817408…
05-04 16:34:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf5ef16…
05-04 16:33:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x92945e…
05-04 16:29:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2aa71d…
04-03 18:47:03	val bbl1 pcfic 2026 04 03	Pcific Esports	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd217de…
04-03 18:42:13	ufc tre3 aza3 2026 04 04	Azamat Bekoev	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x9ca1ab…
04-03 18:37:03	ufc jos60 rob21 2026 04 04	Jose Delano	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x7a471b…
04-03 18:30:53	ufc ale35 ste35 2026 04 04	Alessandro Costa	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd157f5…
04-03 18:23:09	ufc man13 tom15 2026 04 04	Tommy McMillen	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xfba378…
04-03 18:19:45	ufc bre7 abd8 2026 04 04	Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdea602…
03-19 14:42:05	cs2 bbp ursa 2026 03 19	Bebop	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x061851…
03-19 14:35:57	cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	Louisville Cardinals	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x963493…
03-12 18:21:55	eth updown 5m 1773339600	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xa627b3…
03-12 18:21:09	eth updown 5m 1773339600	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x05431e…
03-10 19:52:35	btc updown 5m 1773172800	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x63e0df…
03-10 19:51:49	btc updown 5m 1773172500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ada66…
03-09 09:48:29	eth updown 5m 1773049800	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x8ea837…
03-09 09:47:09	eth updown 5m 1773049500	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3478e3…
03-09 09:43:57	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xac904c…
03-09 09:40:49	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xbf4fb4…
03-09 09:40:31	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa231ac…
03-09 09:36:27	eth updown 5m 1773048900	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x42457f…
03-09 09:33:51	btc updown 15m 1773048600	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x1889a2…
03-08 20:40:51	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x53a7b0…
02-27 11:16:43	bitcoin above 60k on february 27	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x209c8b…
02-27 11:16:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on february 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x044311…
02-26 08:57:48	bitcoin above 60k on february 26	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf7b670…
02-26 08:52:10	eth updown 5m 1772095800	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x45e6c0…
02-26 08:51:22	btc updown 5m 1772095800	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x778347…
02-26 08:50:52	btc updown 5m 1772095800	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa61e9b…
02-17 21:33:43	eth updown 15m 1771368300	Down	BUY	3,700	50¢	$1,850	0x7a7c91…
02-17 20:11:31	us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	Yes	SELL	3,053	5¢	$158	0x42b7c7…
02-17 19:56:01	us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x02d760…
02-17 19:41:27	us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3,093	9¢	$278	0x018302…