Realized P&L
+$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.28K
Hit rate
85.7%
Resolved
12
Trades
137
lifetime
Volume
$46.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$339
Open exposure
$27.6K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 07:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
83% 50% +$1,584
Sports
10% 75% +$541
Other
7% 67% -$949
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,195 $4,498 97¢ $5.0K +$538 07-31 02:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,403 $4,453 42¢ $4.4K -$58 10-30 07:32
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +16,214 $3,010 16¢ $2.7K -$335 10-29 19:50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +26,793 $2,511 9¢ $2.5K +$21 10-29 19:45
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,292 $1,892 93¢ $2.1K +$240 09-19 02:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,425 -$1,531 78¢ $-1904 -$373 06-12 08:22
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +1,752 $1,500 97¢ $1.7K +$200 07-21 23:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,173 $1,428 59¢ $1.3K -$145 10-27 01:23
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1,236 $900 84¢ $1.0K +$144 08-12 06:56
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +947 $600 78¢ $734 +$134 10-10 02:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +779 $600 94¢ $729 +$129 05-08 18:41
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,019 $446 60¢ $606 +$161 09-25 19:25
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +23,077 $300 2¢ $427 +$127 10-11 22:43
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +411 $207 78¢ $323 +$116 10-06 20:28
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +867 $425 34¢ $299 -$126 10-19 23:37
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10,427 -$292 3¢ $-276 +$16 05-06 08:19
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +15,000 $150 2¢ $255 +$105 09-27 03:11
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,734 $187 1¢ $207 +$21 09-17 02:35
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -186 -$185 100¢ $-186 $0 10-05 02:47
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +263 $205 68¢ $179 -$26 09-26 22:43
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +18,755 $217 1¢ $178 -$39 10-30 01:17
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +237 $71 54¢ $127 +$56 09-26 22:17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -597 -$296 18¢ $-110 +$186 05-03 21:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +142 $72 72¢ $103 +$31 08-19 19:38
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,918 $60 1¢ $66 +$6 10-28 01:23
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes -292 -$150 18¢ $-54 +$96 06-01 05:49
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -601 -$70 2¢ $-15 +$56 06-09 04:03