Sturdy-Capitulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$264

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-07 07:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-29 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	9	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-21 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-24 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-24 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-20 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-28 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-22 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-21 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-25 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-25 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-21 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-27 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	5	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 07:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780816500	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x657cd3…
06-05 19:15:36	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8e8b61…
06-05 19:15:00	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x11e579…
06-04 08:25:01	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd2e19e…
06-04 08:24:52	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x47b52a…
06-02 23:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcd405f…
06-02 14:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x77f60c…
06-02 14:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xca9c1a…
06-02 10:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x05861c…
06-02 10:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xffc51e…
06-01 05:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbf4106…
06-01 05:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf4b9eb…
05-30 00:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2ebfd7…
05-30 00:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb374e5…
05-29 02:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe1261a…
05-29 02:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xcac577…
05-29 02:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc1c4b2…
05-29 02:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5ca77e…
05-28 09:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcf9a20…
05-28 09:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x55ae80…
05-28 09:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xeaa076…
05-28 09:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa7657b…
05-27 18:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf5c9dc…
05-27 18:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x35f3c5…
05-27 17:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x80dbf7…
05-27 17:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x27a15b…
05-27 05:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xce1da4…
05-27 01:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2eafcc…
05-27 01:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x039888…
05-27 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xedc5e0…
05-27 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x004507…
05-27 00:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfab236…
05-26 23:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x52ffd4…
05-26 23:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xed7ea8…
05-25 20:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x09bd87…
05-25 20:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xef2ffa…
05-25 20:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf508cc…
05-25 20:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7d90f6…
05-25 19:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1facf1…
05-25 19:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x60bb5f…
05-25 19:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1812a5…
05-25 19:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa3b0ce…
05-25 19:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9adde3…
05-25 17:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf5221a…
05-25 17:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb9429c…
05-25 15:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x81994b…
05-25 15:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x887eb6…
05-25 15:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x301825…
05-25 15:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4834b4…
05-25 02:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x847b0c…
05-25 02:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x09f91a…
05-25 01:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd53250…
05-25 01:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2e1088…
05-25 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf45726…
05-25 01:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xce4a3d…
05-25 01:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1f148b…
05-25 01:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x684ce5…
05-25 01:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9bc8d0…
05-25 01:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3996aa…
05-24 20:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7c0237…
05-24 20:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfb1dfd…
05-24 19:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2feef1…
05-24 19:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x21b33f…
05-24 10:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8cc681…
05-24 10:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x010f9d…
05-24 06:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9ce6b4…
05-24 06:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb1a305…
05-24 06:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x161479…
05-24 06:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9490b7…
05-24 06:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd9294f…
05-24 06:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x79a8ad…
05-24 06:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9d0938…
05-24 06:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x630e11…
05-24 01:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9cd79e…
05-24 01:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4d8225…
05-24 01:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x97444c…
05-24 01:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x017944…
05-23 23:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x52df4a…
05-23 23:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x321601…
05-23 21:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x990e38…
05-23 21:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3cdc52…
05-23 19:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa05f11…
05-23 19:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x85d674…
05-23 18:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe97603…
05-23 18:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x377ac3…
05-23 18:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x839b38…
05-23 18:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xce1fbc…
05-23 18:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x55319a…
05-23 17:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1ee6b8…
05-23 17:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2d2c54…
05-22 04:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfcfc56…
05-22 04:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x21278d…
05-22 04:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdbeb33…
05-22 04:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1894e3…
05-22 02:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x71a0e2…
05-22 02:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x5943ea…
05-22 02:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfd5ad4…
05-22 02:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb5a710…
05-21 20:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xc0159e…
05-21 20:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x03e308…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	71	$90.6K	3,541	06-07 07:20
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	71	$81.6K	13,002	06-07 07:19
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	71	$27.2K	7,319	06-07 07:19
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	71	$23.5K	4,657	06-07 07:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	71	$21.0K	6,847	06-07 07:19
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	71	$20.8K	743	06-07 07:12
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	71	$20.8K	6,672	06-07 07:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	71	$20.0K	3,878	06-07 07:19