Second-Expectancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

4 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$61

$61 lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down		+7	$6	84¢	$6	$-0	05-06 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up		+5	$5	90¢	$5	$-0	05-06 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x64bb2f…
05-06 01:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9df774…
05-05 00:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe0f58d…
05-04 20:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x2e6840…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Noisy-Death 0x2eb8…310f	3	$830	3	05-06 01:54
Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf	3	$787	7	05-06 01:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	3	$642	29	05-06 01:59
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	3	$519	47	05-06 01:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$32	40	+40	Up	+$8	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-06 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 01:54