Slight-Bakery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

302

Trades

445

lifetime

Volume

$833

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-25 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 61% -$39

Politics

10% 80% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	03-09 16:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-23 09:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:50 UTC	7	$20	43	0	+43	Up	-$20	03-12 06:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 15:10 UTC	14	$15	126	17	+110	Up	+$1	04-15 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:55 UTC	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	03-11 00:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:40 UTC	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	03-11 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 03:35 UTC	3	$11	22	0	+22	Down	+$12	03-12 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:05 UTC	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-11 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:00 UTC	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	03-11 01:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:25 UTC	5	$10	35	0	+35	Down	-$10	03-12 04:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	-$10	02-28 01:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:35 UTC	2	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	03-11 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:30 UTC	2	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	03-11 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:30 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	03-11 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 18:40 UTC	3	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	03-10 18:44
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	02-28 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 21:20 UTC	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	03-11 21:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:35 UTC	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	03-09 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:00 UTC	2	$10	12	0	+12	Down	-$10	03-10 19:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 15:15 UTC	10	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	04-15 15:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:50 UTC	2	$8	14	0	+14	Down	+$6	03-10 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 08:30 UTC	2	$7	16	0	+16	Down	-$7	03-12 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:20 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	03-10 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:15 UTC	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	03-10 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:35 UTC	1	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$2	03-10 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 01:15 UTC	2	$6	10	10	+0	Up	-$4	03-11 01:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 01:25 UTC	6	$5	10	9	+0	Down	-$1	04-18 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:45 UTC	2	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$5	03-10 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:40 UTC	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	-$5	03-11 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 17:48:19	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x681ffb…
05-25 17:09:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbef40d…
05-25 16:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0f119d…
05-25 15:18:24	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x20de2d…
05-25 11:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$3	0xbbc26b…
05-25 11:23:47	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x82516a…
05-25 10:53:23	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xb53990…
05-25 09:28:36	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9ec8a7…
05-25 07:58:18	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xe4dcd2…
05-25 06:19:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xf9b40d…
05-25 06:08:19	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xb93658…
05-25 04:58:45	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x3de4ac…
05-25 04:33:35	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xa6a25b…
05-25 04:19:23	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9fc275…
05-25 04:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x34e15e…
05-25 03:08:48	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xda7684…
05-25 03:04:22	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa1e959…
05-25 01:04:33	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcf644f…
05-25 00:09:23	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1b3fce…
05-24 19:48:19	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe13087…
05-24 18:58:46	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfe7750…
05-24 16:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x46e2c7…
05-24 16:03:30	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5f513e…
05-24 14:49:25	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2846e0…
05-24 14:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfaa4a7…
05-24 11:43:24	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x3366ed…
05-24 11:08:29	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x5fb0ef…
05-24 10:48:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2c289b…
05-24 09:13:25	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb18399…
05-24 07:54:21	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc39b52…
05-24 07:03:18	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x752375…
05-24 06:28:18	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xedac58…
05-24 06:18:29	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xda1955…
05-24 04:18:29	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x90de33…
05-24 03:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd5105f…
05-24 01:58:40	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcb05bc…
05-24 01:28:44	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x22caf7…
05-23 23:59:19	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x97396f…
05-23 23:28:29	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb5bd63…
05-23 21:33:46	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x684fd4…
05-23 21:33:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x5b9763…
05-23 19:08:29	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x951cbe…
05-23 17:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb3d12a…
05-23 16:03:40	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbe2bc1…
05-23 15:39:32	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x76aa7b…
05-23 15:38:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa9090d…
05-23 15:23:44	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbc7056…
05-23 14:38:44	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x010940…
05-23 14:18:29	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xabcdf7…
05-23 13:54:27	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x17125f…
05-23 10:48:33	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1aaae1…
05-23 10:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4ad792…
05-23 10:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfe10c8…
05-23 09:44:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe27678…
05-23 09:44:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0xa74b7d…
05-23 09:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7d63e0…
05-23 09:13:31	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x96bbcc…
05-23 07:38:42	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0323b2…
05-23 07:38:23	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb640d4…
05-23 07:23:37	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x30c204…
05-23 07:09:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbeb30e…
05-23 06:28:23	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe37463…
05-23 05:53:49	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x18d1e2…
05-23 03:12:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x97e4d9…
05-22 01:36:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0d404f…
05-17 22:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x762257…
05-17 22:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x88b45e…
05-06 02:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc9021…
05-06 02:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x500d98…
05-06 02:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xba90b0…
05-06 02:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8c8463…
05-06 00:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x309732…
05-06 00:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9e72cf…
05-04 01:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x42594c…
05-04 00:28:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1d5963…
05-04 00:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x72790c…
05-03 22:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3865fe…
05-03 21:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x068b02…
05-03 21:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3e72e2…
05-03 20:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0x7745af…
05-03 20:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8a3563…
05-03 20:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x088a31…
05-03 19:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x72cc6d…
05-03 16:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x174e46…
05-02 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x26c652…
05-02 21:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb98873…
05-02 21:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6db5df…
04-22 10:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4047b3…
04-22 10:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8d5f30…
04-20 11:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x883925…
04-20 09:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd12000…
04-20 09:41:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xbdcb00…
04-20 09:40:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc19bdb…
04-20 09:33:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x25f14b…
04-20 08:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x3e0325…
04-20 08:35:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7ba5c8…
04-20 08:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x4d759e…
04-20 08:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x09852b…
04-20 07:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x9f870f…
04-20 07:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7f93a0…