Adorable-Dredger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

106

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$3.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

78% 74% +$1,654

Crypto

18% 100% +$10

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp giustin henning 2026 03 11	1	$545	0	1,160	-1,160	Lorenzo Giustino	+$545	03-11 04:39
atp erhard mar 2026 03 09	1	$475	1,080	0	+1,080	Andrej Martin	+$605	03-09 10:29
atp olivier collari 2026 03 11	1	$281	0	540	-540	Genaro Alberto Olivieri	+$281	03-11 11:17
atp schwaer napolit 2026 03 09	1	$207	470	0	+470	Stefano Napolitano	+$263	03-09 10:31
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$207	104	104	+0	No	+$0	01-27 12:01
atp bernet dostani 2026 03 09	1	$92	0	318	-318	Stefan Dostanic	+$92	03-09 10:35
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	9	$90	123	50	+73	Yes	-$105	01-27 14:30
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 80 99	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	03-22 15:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-06 13:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-26 15:08
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	03-12 10:09
la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	07-23 07:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 15:17
ethereum above 2500 on april 7	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-06 13:35
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 15:17
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-22 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	07-06 15:29
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	2	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-23 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	3	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 07:55
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	07-23 07:46
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	1	$22	50	0	+50	No	-$22	01-27 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?	2	$22	17	17	+0	No	$0	07-23 07:45
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	2	$22	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-23 07:34
Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	07-23 08:00
Will White House post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-11 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 24?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-24 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on June 26?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 26?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:46
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 7	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-06 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:25:54	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4ccfa6…
10-27 15:25:51	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbabb7f…
10-08 22:45:51	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8d01c2…
10-08 12:48:47	Will White House post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec396c…
10-08 12:48:41	Will White House post 40-59 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x508a8d…
09-26 14:48:56	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x83a603…
09-11 14:28:34	Will White House post 60-79 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x610b28…
09-11 14:28:27	Will White House post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f62c6…
09-11 14:28:21	Will White House post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8c3889…
08-22 07:26:18	Will White House post 80-99 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5fa561…
08-22 07:26:06	Will White House post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x411d1a…
08-16 15:24:27	solana above 40 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5496f8…
08-16 15:24:15	solana above 120 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa21771…
08-16 15:24:07	solana above 130 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x16624b…
08-16 15:24:01	solana above 30 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf01439…
08-16 15:23:51	solana above 110 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x011a6c…
08-16 15:23:46	solana above 120 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x99ad83…
07-23 08:32:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x7a7f4b…
07-23 08:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0xb02792…
07-23 08:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7ad4e4…
07-23 08:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xf37883…
07-23 08:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0x8cdf39…
07-23 08:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3ba6ff…
07-23 08:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xa8cb4a…
07-23 08:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 24?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x4fe568…
07-23 08:00:07	Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x1895db…
07-23 08:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xefbf22…
07-23 07:59:31	Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2bb57e…
07-23 07:59:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe695ad…
07-23 07:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0xa0123d…
07-23 07:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x2a1224…
07-23 07:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xd9a60d…
07-23 07:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x4a8a39…
07-23 07:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xcb8998…
07-23 07:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xe47cf9…
07-23 07:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x181d9f…
07-23 07:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x0565d3…
07-23 07:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x18452c…
07-23 07:47:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xd017e3…
07-23 07:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x2477de…
07-23 07:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xf029dc…
07-23 07:46:07	Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x598918…
07-23 07:45:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?	No	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xbc896b…
07-23 07:45:37	Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x185bca…
07-23 07:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?	No	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0xad707a…
07-23 07:44:57	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x0d94a1…
07-23 07:44:31	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3a2cbb…
07-23 07:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x9aa868…
07-23 07:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?	No	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0xe78a34…
07-23 07:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x47ff29…
07-23 07:43:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc2f80c…
07-23 07:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 24?	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x119843…
07-23 07:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x30e590…
07-23 07:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7b4b8b…
07-23 07:36:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x841c16…
07-23 07:34:48	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x8ba2fd…
07-23 07:34:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x19b530…
07-23 07:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x698109…
07-23 07:32:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0xa7449c…
07-23 07:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$4	0x670bee…
07-23 07:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb45f32…
07-23 07:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x393ad3…
07-23 07:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xeec81a…
07-23 07:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x21aaed…
07-23 07:20:36	Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x5873ef…
07-23 07:20:13	Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x34c399…
07-23 07:18:43	will warsh say predecessor during july press conference 20260720204109037	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x29ee27…
07-23 07:18:06	will warsh say predecessor during july press conference 20260720204109037	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xb856eb…
07-23 07:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x1858c3…
07-23 07:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xdb017e…
07-23 07:15:25	Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xf06935…
07-23 07:09:21	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xfd1856…
07-23 07:08:03	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x54c794…
07-23 07:00:21	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc79adf…
07-23 06:59:57	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x66c493…
07-23 06:46:27	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	82¢	$13	0x86a9d9…
07-23 06:46:03	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0x8f3af8…
07-06 15:29:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc9a437…
07-06 15:29:23	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x02f3be…
07-06 15:29:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcb0b41…
07-06 15:29:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d702c…
07-06 15:28:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3fd99a…
06-25 12:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7af576…
06-25 12:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x910c3d…
06-25 12:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 5°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x77204a…
06-25 12:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa60a9e…
06-25 12:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xde2a06…
06-25 12:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2d4ef1…
06-08 14:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x659f9f…
06-08 14:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe789cb…
06-08 14:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb05d46…
06-08 14:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5ec99b…
06-08 14:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x42634c…
06-08 14:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x71cae7…
06-08 14:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4720da…
06-08 14:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x84f5ac…
05-27 15:18:02	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x246bd1…
05-27 15:17:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfe7767…
05-27 15:17:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe04f23…
05-27 15:17:27	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdec615…