Dangerous-Stepfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-07 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 43% $-15

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$400	1,116	0	+1,116	Up	$-400	05-05 12:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$300	869	0	+869	Up	$-300	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	6	$238	359	231	+129	Up	$-32	05-07 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$155	169	169	+0	Down	+$37	05-07 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$143	209	0	+209	Up	+$65	05-05 10:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$106	205	205	+0	Down	+$16	05-07 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$100	255	0	+255	Up	+$155	05-05 11:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$100	259	0	+259	Up	+$159	05-05 11:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$100	330	0	+330	Up	$-100	05-05 12:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$100	300	0	+300	Up	+$200	05-05 11:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$100	335	0	+335	Up	+$235	05-05 12:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$100	379	0	+379	Down	$-100	05-05 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$100	244	0	+244	Up	+$144	05-05 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$100	189	0	+189	Up	+$89	05-05 11:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	2	$77	368	0	+368	Up	$-77	05-05 11:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$55	116	0	+116	Down	$-55	05-07 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$51	151	0	+151	Down	$-51	05-07 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$45	51	51	+0	Down	+$12	05-07 15:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$35	281	0	+281	Down	$-35	05-05 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$29	282	137	+145	Down	$-26	05-07 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$28	22	22	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$27	34	34	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 15:13
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$25	92	0	+92	Up	+$67	05-05 10:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$25	303	0	+303	Up	$-25	05-05 10:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$25	84	0	+84	Up	$-25	05-05 10:47
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$25	440	0	+440	Up	$-25	05-05 10:29
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$25	103	0	+103	Down	$-25	05-05 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$25	147	0	+147	Down	$-25	05-05 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$25	74	0	+74	Down	+$49	05-05 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$25	61	0	+61	Down	$-25	05-05 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 16:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x4e7842…
05-07 16:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	99	41¢	$41	0x93565a…
05-07 16:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	117	43¢	$50	0x6f28d4…
05-07 16:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	117	42¢	$49	0x1773e3…
05-07 16:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	114	46¢	$53	0xb69a67…
05-07 16:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x4e16e6…
05-07 16:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x5c0abe…
05-07 16:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x3e3fd5…
05-07 16:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0x0cadff…
05-07 16:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x16632f…
05-07 16:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	151	34¢	$51	0x84dd9b…
05-07 15:57:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	116	47¢	$55	0x97fd82…
05-07 15:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	205	30¢	$61	0x0962cd…
05-07 15:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	205	22¢	$45	0x19ccb0…
05-07 15:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	86	54¢	$47	0xb107c5…
05-07 15:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xc0a752…
05-07 15:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0x787412…
05-07 15:53:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xc52e39…
05-07 15:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0xfaebfd…
05-07 15:47:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xff8a84…
05-07 15:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0xea008d…
05-07 15:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x6717fa…
05-07 15:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	55	30¢	$16	0xe676b6…
05-07 15:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x225025…
05-07 15:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0xb05aaa…
05-07 15:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x756cf4…
05-07 15:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	23	59¢	$13	0x6c56d9…
05-07 15:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8c11a6…
05-07 15:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x61dcee…
05-07 15:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	137	1¢	$1	0xaca052…
05-07 15:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	137	19¢	$26	0x063029…
05-07 15:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	51	56¢	$29	0x2bf90e…
05-07 15:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0xe7aa8b…
05-07 15:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0x1f7e2b…
05-07 15:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x978749…
05-07 15:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0x716ac8…
05-07 15:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	21¢	$5	0xeba2b2…
05-07 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xad8e1b…
05-07 15:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xd08f83…
05-07 15:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xef7c6e…
05-07 15:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x789a3a…
05-07 15:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x71a7fe…
05-07 15:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe764fb…
05-07 14:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0xbbdf54…
05-07 14:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x8b4c38…
05-05 12:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6181a6…
05-05 12:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	833	34¢	$280	0xef660b…
05-05 12:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	283	42¢	$120	0x1e654f…
05-05 12:21:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	744	33¢	$247	0x905bfd…
05-05 12:21:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	125	43¢	$53	0x346949…
05-05 12:16:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	330	30¢	$100	0x7c6b07…
05-05 12:05:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	335	30¢	$100	0xa54aa5…
05-05 12:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	277	4¢	$10	0x85bf0c…
05-05 12:03:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	81	30¢	$24	0xf69b61…
05-05 11:54:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0x9aa5f2…
05-05 11:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x979343…
05-05 11:46:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	177	14¢	$25	0xa9200d…
05-05 11:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	192	27¢	$52	0x60dd18…
05-05 11:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5ea2fe…
05-05 11:40:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x127dbc…
05-05 11:40:48	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$1	0x6e7f7d…
05-05 11:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0x48c4d5…
05-05 11:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x85326d…
05-05 11:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	178	14¢	$25	0xdca352…
05-05 11:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x701e9a…
05-05 11:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfb7148…
05-05 11:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x7dde65…
05-05 11:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x8f13f9…
05-05 11:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0xa03176…
05-05 10:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0x9b13f9…
05-05 10:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	379	26¢	$100	0x8b2a83…
05-05 10:47:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0xd83400…
05-05 10:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x79882a…
05-05 10:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	169	2¢	$3	0x5abc25…
05-05 10:36:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xf5049d…
05-05 10:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	59¢	$23	0xe770ef…
05-05 10:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	168	71¢	$120	0x9814e8…
05-05 10:29:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	440	6¢	$25	0x650bd4…
05-05 10:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	303	8¢	$25	0x020e1d…
05-05 10:04:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	92	27¢	$25	0xd362ee…
05-05 09:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	113	22¢	$25	0x2f0aa3…
05-05 09:51:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x1a0a29…
05-05 09:48:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	182	14¢	$25	0xcc7ab6…
05-05 09:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xd50610…
05-05 09:41:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2afd71…
05-05 09:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x808a14…
05-05 09:36:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0xa1b2d5…
05-05 09:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x5f4e49…
04-28 06:35:34	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf07095…
04-26 09:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xaf0aba…
04-26 09:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xab889a…
04-26 09:02:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb41a46…
04-26 09:01:16	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1e35b6…
04-26 09:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xce4881…
04-26 08:58:22	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xac6c14…
04-26 08:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb87200…
04-26 08:52:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x584ae0…
04-26 08:52:12	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x3d7361…
04-26 08:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf428d5…
04-26 08:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1a4273…