Variable-Eleventh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$742

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-22 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-126

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$101	200	0	+200	Up	$-12	05-12 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$101	106	0	+106	Up	+$0	05-12 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$90	93	0	+93	Up	+$0	05-13 12:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$90	93	0	+93	Down	+$0	05-13 09:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$89	90	0	+90	Down	+$1	05-12 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	8	$40	81	0	+81	Up	$-40	05-12 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	4	$38	302	0	+302	Up	$-38	05-12 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$33	283	0	+283	Down	$-33	05-12 21:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 17:26
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 17:24
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 18:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-11 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 14:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$8	11	10	+1	open	—	05-21 17:42
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-21 16:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$8	50	0	+50	Down	$-8	05-12 20:35
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 22:31
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-21 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 18:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 21:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x26362d…
05-21 19:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x4854d3…
05-21 18:09:18	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x6f0366…
05-21 18:04:38	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x22f603…
05-21 17:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xf33bd2…
05-21 17:40:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xc57d0f…
05-21 17:26:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcc67d0…
05-21 17:24:41	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xff2257…
05-21 17:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x758db7…
05-21 17:16:08	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x585fe9…
05-21 16:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6aba26…
05-21 16:53:28	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x3c799b…
05-21 14:10:22	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xe2bf5e…
05-21 13:45:54	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xcf107e…
05-21 13:45:54	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2891ca…
05-19 20:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x3e03a4…
05-19 20:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x7a741f…
05-19 15:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x2f5245…
05-19 15:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x905e0b…
05-19 14:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x669e7d…
05-19 11:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9f0a73…
05-18 22:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x329f1b…
05-18 22:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x992e8b…
05-18 21:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x644a9e…
05-18 21:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x495adc…
05-18 21:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7fff82…
05-13 15:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x106980…
05-13 15:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfe36e6…
05-13 15:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x40cab4…
05-13 14:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x86f33b…
05-13 12:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x98ffab…
05-13 12:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xbe3866…
05-13 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x19c3cd…
05-13 11:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdb2823…
05-13 11:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xab6937…
05-13 11:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x03f256…
05-13 11:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4ff02b…
05-13 10:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xed7605…
05-13 10:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x392e56…
05-13 10:07:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x80f9f0…
05-13 09:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x3b1005…
05-13 09:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc2d365…
05-12 22:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xe986af…
05-12 22:14:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	89	98¢	$88	0x6d32e9…
05-12 22:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0xae32f7…
05-12 21:42:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	231	12¢	$27	0xaf5727…
05-12 21:39:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0xc9903d…
05-12 21:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x2fe154…
05-12 21:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	55	10¢	$6	0xc678b9…
05-12 21:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	121	17¢	$20	0xaff1e4…
05-12 21:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x3ab835…
05-12 20:35:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xaef34d…
05-12 20:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb3c587…
05-12 20:25:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x43087b…
05-12 18:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xd323bb…
05-12 18:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x180eb9…
05-12 18:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x5ac50d…
05-12 18:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x45eb32…
05-12 18:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xc76446…
05-12 18:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x085c0b…
05-12 17:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x58e4be…
05-12 17:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x90a954…
05-12 17:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf81903…
05-12 17:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x105e24…
05-12 17:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xb57ae2…
05-12 17:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7df058…
05-12 17:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x2a334d…
05-12 17:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x819587…
05-11 20:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xadf57a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	40	$21.0K	5,462	05-22 21:28
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	40	$12.0K	1,915	05-22 21:29
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	40	$10.4K	696	05-22 21:27
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	40	$6.07K	664	05-22 21:28
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	40	$2.86K	638	05-22 21:27
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	39	$52.2K	1,587	05-22 21:28
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	39	$42.3K	2,171	05-22 21:28
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	39	$16.1K	5,576	05-22 21:29