Shimmering-Somebody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$388

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

892

Trades

2,056

lifetime

Volume

$31.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-29 04:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 68% -$394

Other

3% 88% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 06:30 UTC	6	$460	273	272	+1	Up	+$12	02-09 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:45 UTC	10	$398	220	220	+1	Up	+$12	02-09 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 02:15 UTC	4	$312	219	112	+107	Up	+$4	02-09 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:15 UTC	5	$299	160	160	+0	Up	+$7	02-09 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 06:45 UTC	3	$296	211	107	+104	Up	+$3	01-15 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:00 UTC	7	$295	221	219	+2	Up	-$2	02-09 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:45 UTC	12	$291	184	182	+2	Up	+$14	02-08 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:00 UTC	3	$275	150	149	+0	Up	+$6	02-09 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 08:45 UTC	6	$265	192	189	+2	Up	+$9	02-09 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 06:00 UTC	7	$255	164	113	+51	Down	+$4	02-10 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 00:45 UTC	11	$248	161	160	+1	Up	+$1	02-27 00:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 07:45 UTC	4	$243	147	146	+1	Up	+$4	01-15 07:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 10:00 UTC	12	$239	218	218	+0	Down	-$1	01-01 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 07:15 UTC	4	$238	195	194	+1	Up	+$11	01-15 07:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 03:00 UTC	3	$219	115	115	+0	Up	+$2	02-09 03:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 02:45 UTC	4	$216	111	111	+0	Down	+$2	02-09 02:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 04:00 UTC	6	$209	117	117	+0	Down	+$8	02-02 04:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 00:30 UTC	2	$207	109	109	+0	Down	+$7	02-27 00:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 10?	3	$191	97	97	+0	No	-$1	08-10 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 08:45 UTC	9	$188	134	112	+22	Up	+$11	02-10 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 05:45 UTC	6	$187	188	30	+158	Up	+$2	02-10 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 09:00 UTC	5	$183	204	202	+2	Down	-$95	01-15 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 10:45 UTC	3	$183	197	16	+181	Down	$0	02-10 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 07:40 UTC	3	$177	125	63	+61	Down	+$3	04-15 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 10:15 UTC	4	$177	191	0	+191	Up	-$1	02-10 10:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 11:45 UTC	2	$174	90	90	+0	Up	+$2	01-16 11:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 08:00 UTC	2	$166	173	0	+173	Down	-$17	02-10 08:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 09:00 UTC	7	$166	91	91	+0	Up	+$6	02-10 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 23:30 UTC	3	$164	88	88	+0	Down	+$5	02-08 23:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 04:30 UTC	4	$163	123	123	+1	Down	+$0	01-18 04:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 04:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa1bb1f…
09-28 01:48:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x689935…
08-28 02:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x838303…
08-28 02:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc1bc06…
08-28 01:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x2e8df4…
08-28 01:57:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x007754…
08-27 13:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfedefc…
08-27 13:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd04eec…
08-27 12:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf085ea…
08-27 12:48:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xdee4a4…
08-27 12:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad6058…
08-27 12:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5dbf42…
08-27 06:27:55	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	SELL	120	23¢	$28	0x272c04…
08-26 22:21:27	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0x2bc250…
08-26 22:21:27	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	58	75¢	$44	0x195bd0…
08-26 22:21:27	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x16238c…
08-26 22:21:04	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	26	75¢	$20	0x64d279…
08-26 22:20:36	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x284e90…
08-26 11:31:49	bitcoin up or down on august 26 2026	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xd991b8…
08-25 20:46:43	bitcoin up or down on august 26 2026	Down	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x8a2ad0…
08-25 20:45:07	bitcoin up or down on august 26 2026	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x5afcb8…
08-25 09:48:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x6a0096…
08-25 08:13:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x9fbc6b…
08-25 08:12:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x497d12…
08-25 08:12:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa78522…
08-25 06:57:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	16	46¢	$8	0x2b7daa…
08-25 06:36:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9f0398…
08-24 05:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0ef0e5…
08-24 02:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4d5803…
08-12 02:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x61643a…
08-10 13:30:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 10?	No	SELL	97	97¢	$95	0xf62f8f…
08-10 12:49:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x7ae3dc…
08-10 12:32:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 10?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0x5d5ee0…
08-10 12:31:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 10?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2608ef…
08-10 12:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x5cdb4d…
08-10 12:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe03f35…
08-10 12:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x01e474…
08-10 12:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	41	83¢	$34	0x454cd4…
08-10 12:16:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x201e07…
08-10 12:16:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0a6f9d…
08-10 12:13:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x06a70e…
08-10 06:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 10?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xebcd72…
08-10 06:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 10?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb00061…
08-10 06:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8cd44e…
08-10 06:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 10?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2ffa9a…
08-10 06:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 10?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x25994b…
08-10 06:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 10?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x457b0b…
08-10 06:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 10?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x225198…
08-10 04:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 10?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xa0eaa0…
08-10 02:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb89fb3…
08-10 02:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23fda4…
08-10 02:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xff1eac…
08-09 06:48:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x987455…
08-09 06:28:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xf93d4c…
08-09 06:28:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x5caab2…
08-09 06:28:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xeeb3cb…
08-09 02:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd8ba6…
08-09 02:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b5463…
08-09 02:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa4575…
08-09 02:44:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0xb18511…
08-09 00:04:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x169382…
08-07 10:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xeabd69…
08-07 10:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x507a25…
08-07 10:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x809245…
08-07 10:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2a8815…
08-07 08:56:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	44	25¢	$11	0xf1637b…
08-07 08:49:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	44	25¢	$11	0xac5ccc…
08-07 08:44:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x59da5e…
08-07 08:27:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xfdc66a…
08-07 03:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?	No	SELL	12	61¢	$8	0xe07eb6…
08-07 01:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7573af…
08-07 01:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x97159e…
08-07 01:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee8d92…
08-07 01:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4cfb15…
08-07 01:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd229c6…
08-07 01:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x67e107…
08-07 01:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 7?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6d803d…
08-07 01:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x392f1c…
08-06 12:21:44	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xe5ef2e…
08-06 12:19:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe946c0…
08-06 08:55:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x93b498…
08-06 08:52:48	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f6f18…
08-06 08:44:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x22fe48…
08-06 08:43:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xdb9b13…
08-06 08:31:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	64¢	$12	0x4a6756…
08-06 07:18:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc6dd26…
08-06 07:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x1cf8ad…
08-03 04:59:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0x917b56…
08-03 04:48:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x4d74d2…
08-02 07:31:41	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x83a9b7…
08-02 07:31:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x3042d2…
08-02 04:17:11	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4b518c…
08-02 01:27:41	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x91f4c5…
08-02 00:50:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	24	44¢	$11	0xd2e468…
08-02 00:15:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6843fc…
08-01 23:38:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa76f90…
08-01 14:09:06	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x331c64…
08-01 14:08:32	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x470b7d…
08-01 14:08:08	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x213d05…
08-01 14:07:06	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xf9a3a3…