Mountainous-Perception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

590

Trades

1,749

lifetime

Volume

$5.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 08-19 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$42

Politics

0% 0% $0

Other

0% 33% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes		-5	-$2	13¢	$-1	+$1	05-12 22:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	13	$59	40	25	+15	Up	+$6	05-16 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	17	$53	40	40	+0	Up	-$10	05-16 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	12	$53	35	25	+10	Down	+$7	05-16 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	9	$50	45	29	+17	Up	$0	05-15 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	11	$49	30	25	+5	Up	+$6	05-16 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	12	$49	35	20	+15	Up	+$6	05-16 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	10	$47	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	05-16 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	10	$42	35	15	+20	Up	+$8	05-16 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	12	$42	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	05-24 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	10	$41	26	20	+6	Down	+$5	05-16 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	12	$40	35	25	+10	Down	+$1	05-19 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	16	$40	40	36	+4	Down	-$23	05-16 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	13	$40	35	30	+5	Down	-$10	05-19 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	11	$40	34	26	+8	Down	$0	05-24 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	8	$37	25	15	+10	Down	+$3	05-16 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$36	15	25	-10	Up	+$3	05-17 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	15	$35	80	40	+40	Down	$0	05-15 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	10	$35	25	20	+5	Up	-$1	05-19 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	9	$35	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	05-18 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	7	$34	27	20	+7	Up	-$5	05-18 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	13	$34	30	25	+5	Down	+$14	05-15 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	12	$33	30	15	+15	Up	-$6	05-15 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	10	$33	29	23	+6	Up	-$1	05-15 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	7	$32	34	34	+0	Down	-$4	05-15 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	12	$32	35	25	+10	Up	-$1	05-16 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	7	$32	30	5	+25	Down	+$3	05-16 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	8	$32	20	15	+5	Up	+$3	05-16 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	7	$31	28	28	+0	Down	+$2	05-15 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	5	$31	31	11	+20	Down	-$9	05-15 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$30	17	17	+0	Up	+$0	05-18 04:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 22:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xff67bf…
08-19 21:51:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x912ce3…
08-19 21:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4f15fb…
08-19 21:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0142e2…
08-19 21:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3e9ea4…
08-19 21:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xca38f8…
08-19 21:28:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3f947b…
08-19 21:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xd7c50f…
08-19 21:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x600b4f…
08-19 21:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x89dad1…
08-19 21:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0d120f…
08-19 21:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x71c4df…
08-19 21:03:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x280016…
08-19 20:56:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xd936ed…
08-19 20:56:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4bf7ae…
08-19 20:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xeb9116…
08-19 20:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x603268…
08-15 22:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x640642…
08-15 22:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6e1b9c…
08-15 22:41:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x48d6fc…
08-15 22:39:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x3a2cf5…
08-15 22:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdcf217…
08-15 22:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8e963c…
08-15 22:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf363cf…
08-15 22:27:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x827812…
08-15 22:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x7915e4…
08-15 22:19:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x54f51d…
08-14 15:48:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x0616b2…
08-14 15:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa3c25d…
08-14 15:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x1c3a99…
08-14 15:45:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6233ee…
08-14 15:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x50b225…
08-14 15:35:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbbc293…
08-14 15:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x01fd2f…
08-14 15:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa1b798…
08-14 15:31:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x955b69…
08-14 15:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7223d2…
08-14 15:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x716d1f…
08-14 15:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe7b37b…
08-14 15:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xead59a…
08-14 15:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x98972d…
08-14 15:25:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9510a5…
08-13 16:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3c5dbf…
08-13 16:12:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5fee21…
08-13 16:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbd70c7…
08-13 16:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd4deb8…
08-13 16:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfac6e5…
08-13 16:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xf249b3…
08-13 16:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa9835d…
08-12 22:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x1d9ce3…
08-12 22:36:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x595069…
08-12 22:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x802e3b…
08-12 22:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc6b095…
08-12 22:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x74a3d0…
08-12 22:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x016670…
08-12 22:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x4fe8bc…
08-12 22:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xec2f84…
08-12 22:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9b5de7…
08-12 22:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x259871…
08-12 22:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd88eb7…
08-12 22:09:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1d539b…
08-12 22:08:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0b425b…
08-12 22:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd080a5…
08-12 22:02:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x38eb69…
08-12 22:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x90e96b…
08-12 22:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x9e01ae…
08-12 22:00:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6dc2ea…
08-12 21:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6810e1…
08-12 21:58:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2ca31f…
08-12 21:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x26c31f…
08-12 21:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xe37ac0…
08-12 21:46:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6f8ee5…
08-12 18:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4e9787…
08-12 17:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8c99f1…
08-12 17:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbe20f4…
08-12 17:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x241202…
08-12 17:35:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4cf2f6…
08-12 17:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xeb80c3…
08-12 17:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x41fb88…
08-12 17:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x02c6c9…
08-12 17:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5592f2…
08-12 17:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf55f05…
08-12 17:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb7bba4…
08-12 17:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x67b2e1…
08-12 15:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xae3777…
08-12 15:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd23245…
08-12 15:08:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x6e52ed…
08-12 15:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5ac59d…
08-12 14:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x04e6dd…
08-12 14:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ae4da…
08-12 14:45:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x25c3ff…
08-12 14:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x51a8f9…
08-12 14:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x25ac61…
08-12 14:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x15702d…
08-12 14:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb1f954…
08-12 14:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x21684d…
08-12 14:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7ab5ea…
08-12 14:13:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3b114c…
08-12 14:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1d01bc…
08-12 14:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x70146c…