Phony-Thaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 06-02 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 80% -$25

Other

3% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$46	101	32	+69	Down	-$11	05-23 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-23 19:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 18:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$40	26	26	+0	Down	+$8	05-23 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$38	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	05-23 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$35	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 17:30
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$33	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 17:54
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 15:50
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$30	34	34	+0	Up	+$4	05-23 17:49
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	2	$29	27	27	+0	PARIVISION	-$4	05-23 15:36
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$28	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	05-23 15:40
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$25	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-31 12:09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$4	05-23 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	06-02 10:49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	06-02 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$21	38	38	+0	Up	+$5	05-23 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	06-02 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	06-02 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$20	42	0	+42	Down	-$20	05-23 19:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$17	26	2	+23	Up	-$15	05-23 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	05-23 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$16	12	7	+6	Up	+$1	05-23 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-23 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$14	32	32	+0	Up	-$12	05-31 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 11:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf19b56…
06-02 10:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x85f250…
06-02 10:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0x693c08…
06-02 10:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x253e0e…
06-02 10:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x93da0b…
06-02 10:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x96ca61…
06-02 10:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8bcd58…
06-02 10:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0b6c95…
06-02 10:34:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x61a588…
06-02 10:33:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x6e56a2…
06-02 07:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x101e47…
06-02 07:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xef4ccd…
06-02 07:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x375aa8…
06-02 07:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x32fbb0…
06-02 07:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x02077d…
05-31 12:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x9570fe…
05-31 12:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x621472…
05-31 12:09:45	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x900eae…
05-31 12:09:22	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x2f35df…
05-31 11:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7c3a0a…
05-31 11:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa72086…
05-31 11:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6aa3c4…
05-31 11:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa81ea5…
05-31 11:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3c4526…
05-31 10:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xfd280a…
05-31 10:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd23887…
05-31 10:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbbad2d…
05-31 10:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x66eb5c…
05-31 10:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc5dc3d…
05-31 10:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe503fa…
05-31 10:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3b25e7…
05-23 19:32:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	69	24¢	$16	0x6f3c76…
05-23 19:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	32	55¢	$18	0x47d893…
05-23 19:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xd1dcfc…
05-23 19:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	38	34¢	$13	0xd53b49…
05-23 19:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x049f5c…
05-23 19:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x407be3…
05-23 19:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbade45…
05-23 19:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x96d338…
05-23 19:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3db830…
05-23 18:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x913396…
05-23 18:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x56b6ac…
05-23 18:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x88967e…
05-23 18:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x835c37…
05-23 18:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x213889…
05-23 18:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x1529af…
05-23 18:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x9c810a…
05-23 18:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd9b78e…
05-23 18:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x919136…
05-23 18:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x8de3de…
05-23 18:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x75483c…
05-23 17:54:47	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xaf8a77…
05-23 17:54:26	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xcfe349…
05-23 17:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0x6ef236…
05-23 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xcdd369…
05-23 17:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0xa4e414…
05-23 17:43:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0xe71d1e…
05-23 17:42:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x156f2a…
05-23 17:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xd2caa1…
05-23 17:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x10354e…
05-23 17:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9a975d…
05-23 17:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1bd439…
05-23 17:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xf2a6ab…
05-23 17:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xbe66dc…
05-23 17:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1233a9…
05-23 17:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc9712f…
05-23 16:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0xee00c1…
05-23 16:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x0c48b4…
05-23 16:14:50	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xc2313d…
05-23 15:50:29	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x86ff21…
05-23 15:49:50	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x8110da…
05-23 15:45:28	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2c53c1…
05-23 15:45:01	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5e29c8…
05-23 15:40:07	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x3b6b64…
05-23 15:39:25	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x8b829e…
05-23 15:36:37	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	27	46¢	$12	0x95e389…
05-23 15:08:06	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0xf61002…
05-23 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$4	0x560586…
05-23 15:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x02db21…
05-23 14:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc974ea…
05-23 14:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c8c9b…
05-23 12:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf0306f…
05-23 12:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcc53ed…
05-23 11:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x77098a…
05-23 11:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xe19219…
05-23 11:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x852d29…
05-23 11:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa62d75…
05-23 11:06:39	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd87949…
05-23 11:06:17	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa9da24…
05-23 10:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb2b66f…
05-23 10:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2a7d4a…
05-23 10:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x13568b…
05-23 10:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x66030b…
05-23 10:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe5fdbb…
05-23 10:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2af078…
05-23 10:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3268fa…
05-23 09:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xdff1a0…
05-23 09:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5a6f0c…
05-23 09:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4c5573…
05-23 09:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x357603…