Tempting-Change — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$552

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

1,122

Trades

1,932

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 09-27 07:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

89% 51% -$262

Crypto

9% 58% -$89

Politics

1% 42% -$131

Sports

0% 33% -$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	8	$1.1K	752	740	+13	Yes	+$123	04-07 15:38
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	2	$396	259	259	+0	Yes	+$96	06-19 23:56
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	2	$236	357	357	+0	No	+$136	06-20 21:18
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	3	$204	401	401	+0	No	-$196	06-19 21:02
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	8	$193	197	197	+0	Yes	+$101	02-20 18:23
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	4	$191	392	392	+0	No	-$184	06-21 20:51
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	4	$180	284	0	+284	No	-$180	07-12 02:19
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	3	$180	122	122	+0	Yes	+$40	06-20 21:30
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	11	$173	120	128	-8	Yes	+$38	04-14 16:00
fif mex bel 2026 03 31 bel	2	$160	348	0	+348	No	-$160	04-01 01:31
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	2	$151	104	104	+0	Yes	+$51	07-06 20:59
fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 btts	1	$150	312	0	+312	No	-$150	06-19 21:51
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	7	$145	273	273	+0	No	-$145	07-19 21:13
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-15?	6	$145	105	105	+0	Yes	+$63	08-16 02:15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?	9	$134	225	0	+225	No	-$134	07-31 18:52
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	3	$131	104	104	+0	Yes	+$31	06-22 01:26
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	3	$128	118	118	+0	Yes	+$8	06-18 20:51
Will England win on 2026-09-26?	5	$122	258	104	+154	No	+$2	09-26 20:22
ethereum up or down february 13 1pm et	8	$121	66	66	+0	Down	+$3	02-13 19:02
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	2	$120	228	0	+228	No	-$120	06-18 15:54
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?	6	$119	88	87	+0	Yes	+$49	08-20 01:37
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	9	$114	169	0	+169	No	+$55	04-13 14:48
fif mex bel 2026 03 31 draw	4	$109	189	118	+71	Yes	+$80	04-01 02:49
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	11	$109	77	76	+1	No	+$11	04-14 15:58
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?	2	$108	105	105	+0	Yes	+$29	08-15 21:38
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	3	$104	189	0	+189	Yes	+$85	07-01 19:45
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	4	$102	68	68	+0	Yes	+$22	06-20 05:01
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	2	$102	216	216	+0	No	-$58	06-21 17:47
bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	2	$101	609	0	+609	Up	-$101	07-21 02:43
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	1	$100	169	0	+169	No	-$100	07-06 19:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 07:06:05	Will Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x913289…
09-27 03:42:48	Norway vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb2826b…
09-27 02:22:18	Will CDP Junior FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x6da87b…
09-27 02:21:51	Will Sint Maarten vs. Belize end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x917094…
09-27 02:20:20	Will Mexico win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x0db9f0…
09-27 01:55:18	fif col mex 2026 09 26 btts	Yes	SELL	29	56¢	$16	0x74ff6a…
09-26 22:28:32	fif col mex 2026 09 26 btts	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xaf78bf…
09-26 20:55:09	Will Mexico win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6a0438…
09-26 20:50:03	Will Chile win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x20c228…
09-26 20:40:45	Will Albania vs. Belarus end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x1583bc…
09-26 20:22:47	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe00883…
09-26 20:22:29	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x385db4…
09-26 20:16:24	Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x775c93…
09-26 20:16:21	Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x1fc836…
09-26 19:54:50	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	104	60¢	$62	0xd07a71…
09-26 19:33:41	England vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xe7aa98…
09-26 18:34:09	England vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x329a30…
09-26 18:33:41	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	196	28¢	$55	0x159c0b…
09-26 18:33:29	Will North Macedonia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x814c83…
09-26 18:33:20	Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x826a92…
09-26 18:33:12	Will Slovakia vs. Moldova end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x7653e4…
09-26 18:23:12	Will Albania vs. Belarus end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x99e325…
09-26 18:13:09	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x62557e…
09-15 10:31:25	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x493449…
09-14 14:35:15	Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x8e0d58…
09-13 00:44:54	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x773d77…
09-13 00:44:48	Will Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf3593d…
09-09 19:07:54	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4492e1…
09-01 02:04:16	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xa09c2f…
08-31 16:18:27	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xca40d6…
08-30 14:50:30	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xfa2250…
08-30 02:42:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf25522…
08-29 03:50:37	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xef8caa…
08-29 03:49:33	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd913e9…
08-29 03:48:36	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfc5a6f…
08-29 03:47:27	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8614e6…
08-26 20:34:42	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xccde16…
08-26 14:25:06	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x298feb…
08-26 14:23:12	Will Qizilqum Zarafshon vs. PFC Nasaf end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf41ed9…
08-26 14:04:34	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x09ffa9…
08-26 14:04:13	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x356fb0…
08-23 16:43:45	Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x2a8b4b…
08-23 15:26:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x6bf3c4…
08-23 15:24:37	Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x37b90d…
08-23 15:23:06	Will Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x70a8bf…
08-23 15:21:52	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x229498…
08-23 15:21:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa04f21…
08-23 05:52:45	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb24bc4…
08-22 07:52:49	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x93b81b…
08-22 07:44:58	lal esp rea 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9c1114…
08-22 07:44:15	gsc bvb bmu 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0cc5c9…
08-22 07:42:43	Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe168e6…
08-22 07:32:33	Will Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf9c5f2…
08-22 07:32:18	Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5e1619…
08-22 07:30:37	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x528f06…
08-22 06:53:13	Will Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x755d4a…
08-22 06:51:33	Will FC Juárez vs. CF América end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x924d85…
08-22 02:32:09	Will Puntarenas FC vs. AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9c3fcb…
08-22 02:31:45	Will FC Juárez vs. CF América end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x35b682…
08-22 02:21:25	epl bre tot 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x661e90…
08-22 02:20:30	Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x51b270…
08-22 02:19:00	Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x0c430a…
08-22 02:16:10	Will Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x3301f5…
08-22 02:14:07	Will Audax CS Italiano vs. CD Unión La Calera end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7837bc…
08-22 01:30:18	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1c88e9…
08-21 19:33:48	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x4e3acc…
08-21 19:33:16	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x860645…
08-21 14:35:25	Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6adac4…
08-21 14:32:37	dfb st1 fra 2026 08 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2b83ca…
08-21 14:31:52	Will Wadi Degla SC vs. ZED FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x94111a…
08-21 02:44:19	Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6a8613…
08-20 20:19:30	Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xc0ff20…
08-20 20:11:37	Will CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xa472a6…
08-20 19:57:31	Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Bradford City AFC end in a draw?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3b845c…
08-20 17:04:40	Will Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xe0f3d9…
08-20 13:33:58	uzb1 bun kkd 2026 08 20 btts	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xba68d3…
08-20 13:29:19	Will Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xfdd0f7…
08-20 13:26:19	Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-08-20?	Yes	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0x8fcc76…
08-20 13:26:04	Will FK Kokand 1912 win on 2026-08-20?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x74b588…
08-20 11:19:37	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfa3b7b…
08-20 04:26:34	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	35	90¢	$32	0x8654c5…
08-20 04:07:00	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0xf3c028…
08-20 04:06:07	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x488e41…
08-20 02:41:27	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9baf40…
08-20 02:37:34	mls col laf 2026 08 19 btts	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0182f8…
08-20 02:37:01	Will Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa76150…
08-20 02:36:39	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xd2ff1e…
08-20 02:35:03	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc572e9…
08-20 01:41:06	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x69d89c…
08-20 01:37:19	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc5c0f1…
08-20 01:37:19	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xc16539…
08-20 01:37:18	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0xaa1055…
08-20 01:37:18	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x386ca6…
08-20 01:37:13	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe075fb…
08-20 01:35:45	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	47	10¢	$5	0x62bce4…
08-20 01:35:45	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x2b42e7…
08-20 01:35:36	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xaf2b18…
08-19 23:35:36	Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	83	35¢	$29	0x157a77…
08-19 23:35:12	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0xc4a3e2…
08-19 23:34:27	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3024dc…