Impossible-Stop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

+$137

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

924

Trades

17,709

lifetime

Volume

$77.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$45

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-09 01:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 57% -$828

Other

21% 64% -$301

Politics

2% 47% +$44

Sports

1% 44% -$53

Tech

0% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	+30	$17	84¢	$25	+$8	05-12 15:05
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	-220	-$154	4¢	$-8	+$146	05-20 17:20
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$9	24¢	$5	-$4	05-12 13:46
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	+30	$12	16¢	$5	-$8	05-12 13:35
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+100	$4	1¢	$1	-$3	04-28 12:55
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	+1	$0	95¢	$1	+$1	04-30 14:44
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-14 02:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	34	$1.6K	1,593	945	+648	Up	-$118	05-18 20:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:25 UTC	139	$1.4K	1,304	1,301	+3	Down	+$110	03-25 13:26
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova	13	$1.3K	1,504	1,504	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$28	04-29 19:11
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	28	$1.2K	1,052	589	+463	Down	-$15	04-29 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:40 UTC	172	$841	598	882	-284	Down	+$83	04-24 14:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	52	$813	1,264	296	+969	Down	-$3	04-29 19:31
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?	12	$789	1,000	200	+800	Down	+$3	04-28 18:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	16	$759	756	556	+200	Down	+$9	05-19 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:35 UTC	73	$640	1,254	0	+1,254	Up	-$13	03-23 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:55 UTC	124	$613	1,224	0	+1,224	Down	-$4	03-23 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:45 UTC	85	$569	1,108	0	+1,108	Up	-$13	03-23 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:50 UTC	56	$555	1,107	0	+1,107	Down	-$14	03-23 15:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	20	$543	754	307	+447	Yes	+$4	04-28 19:36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	14	$499	480	280	+200	Up	+$10	05-14 20:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:15 UTC	115	$499	984	0	+984	Down	-$12	03-23 16:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 14:00 UTC	84	$466	433	458	-26	Down	+$16	04-02 14:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	12	$455	354	354	+0	open	—	05-14 02:32
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	19	$439	947	100	+847	Down	+$3	05-18 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:25 UTC	93	$439	877	0	+877	Down	-$8	03-23 16:28
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	5	$391	200	200	+0	No	+$0	01-09 20:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:30 UTC	78	$388	761	0	+761	Up	-$11	03-23 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 17:15 UTC	44	$358	370	364	+6	Down	+$7	03-25 17:15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?	14	$346	703	8	+694	Up	+$3	04-28 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:10 UTC	43	$344	270	385	-115	Down	-$161	04-03 08:14
will miami florida win the 2026 college football national championship	8	$336	375	135	+240	No	+$82	01-10 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:35 UTC	62	$309	271	232	+39	Down	-$89	04-24 16:39
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$289	275	275	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 18:06
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	10	$289	457	36	+421	Yes	-$246	01-09 22:50
solana up or down february 19 11am et	51	$284	506	0	+506	Up	-$34	02-19 16:57
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	2	$280	500	500	+0	EDward Gaming	-$10	04-30 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 01:08:33	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	SELL	81	2¢	$2	0x39a273…
08-06 21:48:26	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x317e0c…
06-11 22:32:01	Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xaab219…
05-30 03:47:57	Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x3e1c24…
05-22 14:39:46	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x879aab…
05-20 23:13:42	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$18	0xdb4f63…
05-20 23:13:42	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xcfb271…
05-20 21:37:01	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd401f8…
05-20 20:52:34	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x10a447…
05-20 20:11:33	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3fc254…
05-20 19:30:35	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x4490c0…
05-20 18:49:27	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x1cd3f5…
05-20 18:08:23	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf0635b…
05-20 17:24:19	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x82ba7e…
05-20 17:20:30	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	70¢	$45	0x820205…
05-20 17:18:03	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x28f858…
05-20 17:16:05	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xebb9e4…
05-20 17:13:37	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x75b7c5…
05-20 17:13:33	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xa5abee…
05-20 16:39:59	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc4dd96…
05-20 15:55:44	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xea85f9…
05-20 14:25:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x2afef0…
05-19 20:33:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	73	89¢	$65	0xc23597…
05-19 20:33:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x4022a7…
05-19 18:58:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	93	95¢	$89	0x98bc2c…
05-19 18:57:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x1e8340…
05-19 18:48:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	128	95¢	$122	0xe966aa…
05-19 18:34:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x1e2c56…
05-19 18:34:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x9c5729…
05-19 18:29:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	197	89¢	$175	0x2de6bf…
05-19 18:26:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	231	16¢	$37	0x19b34e…
05-19 18:02:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x67d3db…
05-19 17:58:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x56b3f6…
05-19 17:56:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2be16e…
05-19 17:54:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x72eced…
05-19 17:44:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3211c9…
05-19 17:40:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xd62040…
05-19 17:05:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	61	76¢	$46	0x336662…
05-19 17:04:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	131	25¢	$33	0x37ba83…
05-19 17:04:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xc6b8a2…
05-19 16:59:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x70a1ed…
05-19 16:52:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x03f5dc…
05-19 16:49:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xd3e72f…
05-19 14:30:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x447f3b…
05-19 14:05:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x4100fb…
05-19 13:47:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8a41f8…
05-18 20:55:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbac92d…
05-18 20:55:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x6e38c3…
05-18 20:55:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdf0051…
05-18 20:55:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc343e3…
05-18 20:55:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9ea9b2…
05-18 20:55:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa846a1…
05-18 20:55:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x57f6a0…
05-18 20:55:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2fd68e…
05-18 20:55:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x32f7f2…
05-18 20:55:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xeb77be…
05-18 20:55:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xdf725f…
05-18 20:55:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7e64ce…
05-18 20:55:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6eb311…
05-18 20:55:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x53a37d…
05-18 20:21:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x263628…
05-18 20:19:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x19c92e…
05-18 20:19:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xca369e…
05-18 20:18:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x59c890…
05-18 20:18:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xd9b5cd…
05-18 20:17:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xdd0f71…
05-18 20:15:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x6ce2e2…
05-18 20:07:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xcf6788…
05-18 20:00:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2abebf…
05-18 19:55:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x332516…
05-18 19:51:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xcad8be…
05-18 19:45:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x801c3f…
05-18 19:41:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	No	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x3c563d…
05-18 19:41:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x885638…
05-18 19:40:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x58fcf4…
05-18 19:38:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbc354e…
05-18 19:32:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x695ca0…
05-18 19:24:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x86149e…
05-18 19:11:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x224f18…
05-18 19:10:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	54	8¢	$4	0xc84580…
05-18 19:03:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0xd419e0…
05-18 19:02:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x602027…
05-18 19:02:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x602027…
05-18 19:01:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xae1eba…
05-18 18:52:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa5a1d3…
05-18 18:43:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xfd819e…
05-18 18:38:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xdcf521…
05-18 18:24:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x89cd1a…
05-18 18:24:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	383	99¢	$379	0x89cd1a…
05-18 17:42:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x79e450…
05-18 17:41:29	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc08579…
05-18 17:06:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x9afaf3…
05-18 17:06:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x9afaf3…
05-18 17:01:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x9fe86e…
05-18 16:55:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x8b94b8…
05-18 16:32:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0xda8ee5…
05-18 16:32:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x094e8c…
05-18 16:30:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xfd5d4c…
05-18 16:24:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x792964…
05-18 16:20:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x4b44b1…