Gregarious-Autumn-Report — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

818 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$227

$5.54K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-31 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Other

100% 28% -$382

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?	18	$280	493	493	+0	Yes	+$59	06-03 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 5?	12	$245	472	472	+0	No	+$38	06-05 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?	5	$209	199	180	+20	Yes	+$140	06-04 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?	9	$195	1,398	1,398	+0	No	-$115	06-01 13:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 2?	8	$150	126	126	+0	Yes	+$6	06-02 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 4?	8	$139	526	78	+449	No	-$51	06-04 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?	5	$113	381	381	+0	No	-$27	06-02 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	4	$98	82	82	+0	Yes	+$58	05-31 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?	25	$98	231	231	+0	Yes	-$27	06-05 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?	11	$92	133	106	+27	Yes	+$38	05-30 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14?	6	$85	83	75	+8	Yes	+$51	06-14 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?	7	$75	83	83	-0	Yes	+$34	06-08 06:37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?	10	$71	319	0	+319	No	-$71	06-12 21:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 13?	14	$70	285	111	+174	No	-$30	06-12 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?	9	$64	53	53	+0	Yes	+$23	06-20 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 28?	2	$60	241	241	+0	No	+$40	07-28 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?	4	$57	49	44	+5	Yes	+$23	06-19 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1?	3	$55	1,172	1,172	+0	No	-$45	06-01 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 2?	12	$48	7,544	7,544	+0	No	-$33	06-02 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?	2	$43	54	54	+0	Yes	+$3	06-10 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	2	$40	155	0	+155	No	-$40	06-05 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	2	$40	31	31	+0	Yes	+$20	08-05 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14?	2	$39	50	50	+0	No	-$2	06-13 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 7?	8	$38	64	64	+0	No	-$3	06-07 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 27?	6	$38	37	33	+4	Yes	+$22	06-27 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	3	$38	27	27	+0	Yes	+$13	08-12 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?	6	$37	60	42	+18	No	-$13	05-27 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 18?	2	$37	100	100	+0	No	-$3	06-17 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?	4	$37	164	0	+164	No	-$37	06-20 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?	8	$36	75	75	+0	No	-$28	06-04 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xdfdece…
10-30 18:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3a8d46…
10-29 19:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xac0c27…
10-29 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0xfa5039…
10-28 18:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xaa5bbc…
10-27 18:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x870f6b…
10-26 18:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xb87dd2…
10-25 18:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xe46680…
10-24 18:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf25b70…
10-24 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xdcac7f…
10-23 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0x60b79c…
10-22 18:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x0f3041…
10-22 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x73fcaa…
10-21 18:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3dfa19…
10-21 04:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfd2d35…
10-20 18:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf48515…
10-19 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa80874…
10-18 18:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x187b79…
10-17 19:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xea309c…
10-16 18:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0f3b55…
10-15 18:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x11f3a0…
10-15 04:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x268982…
10-14 18:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd269d7…
10-13 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x46d3d7…
10-12 18:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4f5d55…
10-12 04:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9340d5…
10-11 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xf77ad0…
10-11 04:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x112352…
10-10 18:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x09f3da…
10-10 04:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x23ce38…
10-09 18:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xca9e6c…
10-09 04:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xbd6917…
10-08 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf951e6…
10-07 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf4178c…
10-07 04:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xbf6b75…
10-06 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9d8b2d…
10-06 04:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd78bbe…
10-05 04:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x32a282…
10-04 18:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xecc64d…
10-04 04:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xba1a57…
10-03 18:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x9423c9…
10-03 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x24bca0…
10-02 18:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x294234…
10-02 04:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x0dbac3…
10-01 18:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x61c761…
09-30 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x68c92f…
09-29 18:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x185e01…
09-29 04:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2e9740…
09-28 18:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x61e628…
09-27 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	137	2¢	$3	0x0ec519…
09-26 18:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xef4e95…
09-25 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x66c8a8…
09-25 04:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x368139…
09-24 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf2bed6…
09-24 04:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x5a557b…
09-23 18:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0096f4…
09-23 04:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xbdb163…
09-22 18:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x23f5a3…
09-22 04:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfe6e55…
09-21 18:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x127c81…
09-21 04:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x625a2f…
09-20 04:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7610ce…
09-20 04:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x17be71…
09-19 04:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6defb6…
09-19 04:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x35b8b2…
09-19 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x75fbf8…
09-18 23:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x868b0b…
09-18 04:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfcfda4…
09-18 04:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x46cd0f…
09-17 04:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0f003a…
09-16 04:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9ddcf7…
09-16 04:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x06764b…
09-16 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe21248…
09-15 23:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4e4488…
09-15 04:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9efa74…
09-15 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x366f96…
09-15 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x2e9748…
09-14 04:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x26ddd8…
09-14 04:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x0b650b…
09-14 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x5277fc…
09-13 23:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1c9859…
09-13 04:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x755186…
09-13 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcfc066…
09-12 23:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x65dff8…
09-12 04:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x33b813…
09-11 23:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x54f272…
09-11 04:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xc2355f…
09-11 04:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6fd9ef…
09-10 23:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4b7d02…
09-10 04:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x6396c6…
09-10 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5d33e1…
09-09 23:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x2d663d…
09-09 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf5c4d7…
09-09 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x443f83…
09-09 04:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x011033…
09-08 23:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x4b7a8c…
09-08 04:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xcbad31…
09-06 04:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xf71acf…
09-05 04:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xc380c5…
09-04 04:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0f1528…