Substantial-Sibling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

322

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$3.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 90% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-14 18:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-28 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:10
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:47
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-22 10:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:22
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:48
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:42
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:22
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:52
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7e5e54…
11-13 07:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd48f3b…
11-12 08:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x14f6d4…
11-11 08:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8a9156…
11-08 11:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d8489…
11-07 10:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdb03c0…
11-06 09:58:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6623b7…
11-05 00:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x04c1ad…
11-04 04:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb097eb…
11-03 17:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ee1cc…
11-03 07:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x706d1c…
11-02 09:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd4fdf…
10-31 17:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x778aaa…
10-31 04:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x521b9e…
10-30 08:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b32c2…
10-29 15:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfdc64e…
10-29 06:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2ba910…
10-28 04:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc3aeab…
10-27 15:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x847cb5…
10-27 07:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcd60c9…
10-26 04:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbf4914…
10-24 06:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcfa6e3…
10-22 09:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8137f7…
10-20 04:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1c707…
10-19 06:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9d4aeb…
10-18 05:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x151410…
10-17 07:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd8b562…
10-16 04:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5b13f6…
10-15 05:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1a790c…
10-14 06:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x307065…
10-13 13:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe2cdda…
10-13 01:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x04dc08…
10-12 01:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8241dc…
10-11 01:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4a669…
10-08 04:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x99cb4b…
10-07 08:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x93da32…
10-06 14:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50177e…
10-06 05:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6255c5…
10-04 07:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc42ed2…
10-03 00:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ebf74…
10-02 07:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43c6b7…
10-02 03:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb74ec…
10-01 05:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93aaa7…
09-30 07:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b3826…
09-29 06:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01b15b…
09-28 07:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83ea86…
09-27 10:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96d57e…
09-26 08:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63278f…
09-25 01:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfc6f23…
09-24 01:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ee80c…
09-23 05:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70cf04…
09-22 01:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99440a…
09-21 06:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9a884…
09-20 02:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b2907…
09-19 05:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2cfd7…
09-18 09:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44d6a7…
09-18 01:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaca7df…
09-17 00:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50bd0f…
09-16 07:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9135fe…
09-15 23:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c772d…
09-15 01:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf853c…
09-14 00:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x487826…
09-13 12:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x349000…
09-12 03:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x578eb1…
09-11 01:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a6ff2…
09-10 01:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ea306…
09-09 00:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a9bd8…
09-08 01:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x910076…
09-07 13:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x311bff…
09-07 01:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dde63…
09-06 17:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69ae62…
09-06 01:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a3a9f…
09-05 08:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x463aeb…
09-04 08:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x472050…
09-03 01:06:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38c55c…
09-02 11:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x613d22…
09-01 01:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefc18c…
08-30 00:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ba1cd…
08-29 05:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28522c…
08-28 01:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x539c18…
08-27 01:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9a7ce…
08-26 01:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d9ad2…
08-25 01:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe61be2…
08-24 07:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60890a…
08-23 01:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71a825…
08-22 01:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f8181…
08-21 01:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc21885…
08-20 05:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x341598…
08-19 00:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5820e7…
08-18 00:09:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09170c…
08-17 05:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7eac41…
08-16 01:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07fc17…
08-15 01:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x277769…
08-14 01:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x629c4f…
08-13 00:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe17fd4…
08-12 00:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc92611…
08-11 00:12:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fb422…
08-10 00:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46c877…
08-09 00:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99137b…
08-08 00:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6948c3…