Acrobatic-Tolerance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

3,081

Trades

3,562

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-30 11:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	2	$56	32	32	+0	Up	-$4	05-04 00:57
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	Down	-$2	05-10 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:30 UTC	3	$46	28	28	+0	Up	-$4	08-19 21:33
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	2	$45	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	06-01 02:42
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Down	-$1	05-08 01:57
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	Down	-$3	05-30 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:25 UTC	2	$40	43	0	+43	Down	+$3	08-21 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$39	23	23	+0	Up	-$5	05-29 00:28
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$39	21	21	+0	Up	-$1	05-07 01:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$39	21	21	+0	Up	-$3	05-31 01:28
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET	3	$39	49	46	+3	Up	+$21	04-26 21:56
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	-$2	05-10 00:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$38	21	21	+0	Up	-$4	05-31 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:30 UTC	2	$38	31	8	+23	Down	+$1	08-01 18:35
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	1	$36	36	0	+36	Down	+$0	05-09 22:55
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$36	23	23	+0	Down	-$8	05-28 23:58
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET	2	$36	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	06-01 02:42
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$36	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	04-29 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:05 UTC	2	$35	37	0	+37	Up	+$2	08-19 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:30 UTC	2	$35	38	0	+38	Down	+$3	08-12 12:31
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$35	18	18	+0	Down	-$1	05-12 02:29
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$35	20	20	+0	Down	-$1	05-11 02:43
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$32	22	22	+0	Up	-$12	05-28 20:11
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	-$8	05-07 22:12
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$32	20	20	+0	Down	-$4	05-06 23:11
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	3	$32	20	20	+0	Down	-$4	05-12 15:57
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$32	32	0	+32	Down	+$0	06-01 22:11
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$31	17	17	+0	Down	-$3	05-05 23:43
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	05-12 02:25
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$31	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	05-10 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x23e3a7…
10-30 10:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x53c1f9…
10-30 04:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x5611e0…
10-30 04:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe7398f…
10-30 02:23:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc0c89a…
10-30 01:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc9dfbb…
10-30 01:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7caf1e…
10-29 23:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfa2c8d…
10-29 23:01:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x46f6dd…
10-29 22:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x91a326…
10-29 19:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x4459e9…
10-29 15:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xad1e02…
10-29 15:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa1d953…
10-29 15:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xbacd28…
10-29 03:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c884f…
10-29 03:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xddcac0…
10-29 02:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0443d7…
10-29 02:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7a7504…
10-28 19:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x8714a5…
10-28 18:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x95696a…
10-28 15:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb23db6…
10-28 13:30:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x75b27a…
10-28 12:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xba9cc6…
10-28 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa3c1ea…
10-28 02:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x642ad2…
10-28 01:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xad1c58…
10-27 18:01:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x106586…
10-27 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x0c64bc…
10-27 14:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd63556…
10-26 23:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0ee551…
10-26 19:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb8cba8…
10-26 16:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x75be69…
10-26 15:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x440b36…
10-26 13:47:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x63ad9f…
10-26 13:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe3dffc…
10-26 04:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8cb10b…
10-26 01:41:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x00e79b…
10-25 23:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe1cfae…
10-25 23:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc52e59…
10-25 21:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x7e6339…
10-25 19:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5ccea4…
10-25 19:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfeb55c…
10-25 14:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfb5711…
10-25 14:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbbf0ac…
10-25 12:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x49223d…
10-25 04:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x793489…
10-25 04:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdd7bb7…
10-24 18:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc9117a…
10-24 16:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3d873a…
10-24 15:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x4c2f8e…
10-24 14:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x2bcc11…
10-24 14:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x71c283…
10-24 14:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xddbfc7…
10-24 14:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0af41b…
10-24 07:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x788c7d…
10-24 07:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x90ee49…
10-24 06:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6ce7f3…
10-24 04:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x071556…
10-24 03:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x70d209…
10-24 00:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x4f8783…
10-23 23:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xe3ce32…
10-23 16:31:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x349cb0…
10-23 16:01:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xd7bbf5…
10-23 15:27:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x4eaf58…
10-23 15:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x848b3f…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xf58744…
10-23 13:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x42dfb2…
10-23 13:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xc99b4b…
10-23 13:07:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x424397…
10-23 11:21:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd10f32…
10-23 10:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa80be2…
10-22 17:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdae5c3…
10-22 16:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa5f2dd…
10-22 14:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8105ba…
10-22 14:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9b8ae7…
10-22 12:01:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x649d5f…
10-22 11:21:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd20b94…
10-22 10:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x56ffc8…
10-22 10:26:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6c9eb6…
10-22 02:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfa2c0e…
10-22 00:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7fad0f…
10-22 00:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x694f65…
10-21 22:47:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x893e40…
10-21 22:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb5caaf…
10-21 19:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x139f57…
10-21 14:47:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0be400…
10-21 14:31:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb68c28…
10-21 13:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x63dbb0…
10-21 11:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xae1c41…
10-21 11:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4bd1a5…
10-21 00:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x89fb6e…
10-20 21:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x50424f…
10-20 17:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1ed2e0…
10-20 15:06:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbb0d4f…
10-20 14:42:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd85b52…
10-20 14:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9ed867…
10-20 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf71678…
10-20 02:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcbae74…
10-20 00:36:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1cb7bb…
10-19 22:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfe5cc7…