Exotic-Inhibitor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

160

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$132.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$221

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-22 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 74% -$4,177

Politics

45% 61% -$455

Other

2% 75% +$46

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	136	$27.6K	16,093	16,093	+0	No	+$124	04-16 02:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	18	$11.2K	6,516	6,516	+0	No	-$838	04-23 04:42
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	17	$8.2K	4,917	4,917	+0	No	+$255	04-13 21:04
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	25	$3.3K	2,877	2,877	+0	Yes	+$97	04-16 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 23:15 UTC	20	$2.9K	1,499	1,497	+2	Down	+$30	04-23 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$2.6K	2,609	0	+2,609	Up	+$59	04-25 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$2.5K	2,552	0	+2,552	Up	+$26	04-25 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$2.5K	2,531	0	+2,531	Down	+$64	04-25 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$2.4K	2,475	0	+2,475	Down	+$112	04-25 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$2.3K	2,365	0	+2,365	Up	+$24	04-25 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$2.3K	2,327	0	+2,327	Up	+$23	04-25 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$2.2K	2,206	0	+2,206	Up	+$22	04-25 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 22:20 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,049	+4	Down	+$52	04-23 22:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	39	$2.0K	1,903	1,903	+0	No	-$215	04-19 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:05 UTC	1	$1.9K	1,921	0	+1,921	Down	+$19	04-24 05:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	12	$1.6K	1,431	1,431	-0	No	+$4	04-21 01:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$1.4K	989	989	+0	No	+$12	04-18 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1.1K	1,150	0	+1,150	Down	+$46	04-25 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$1.1K	1,093	0	+1,093	Up	+$33	04-25 19:15
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4pm et	10	$1.1K	1,141	1,096	+45	Up	+$17	04-23 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 22:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,135	0	+1,135	Down	-$1,000	04-23 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$1000	2,363	0	+2,363	Up	-$1,000	04-25 15:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,014	0	+1,014	Up	+$14	04-25 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$1000	1,155	0	+1,155	Up	+$155	04-25 14:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$1000	1,011	0	+1,011	Down	+$11	04-25 14:45
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$1000	1,025	0	+1,025	Up	-$1,000	04-25 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$950	959	0	+959	Up	+$10	04-25 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$924	934	0	+934	Down	+$9	04-25 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$904	926	0	+926	Up	+$22	04-25 20:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$900	600	600	+0	No	+$0	04-17 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 23:42:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	856	32¢	$278	0xfb8baf…
05-22 23:38:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	856	31¢	$265	0xbf3b49…
05-22 12:31:59	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0x3e80c4…
05-16 22:31:21	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	31¢	$50	0x131e28…
05-16 22:30:02	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xefeecb…
05-16 22:12:06	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,679	0¢	$13	0x69fe59…
05-16 22:11:15	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x04da73…
05-16 22:11:10	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,429	1¢	$10	0xc6a0ef…
05-16 21:32:31	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xc4924a…
05-16 20:36:27	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,750	1¢	$30	0xa23552…
05-10 21:44:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,080	8¢	$86	0x534554…
05-10 20:54:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x196c4d…
05-10 19:21:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x0fbf67…
05-10 18:02:25	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0x095cf1…
04-25 23:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	596	50¢	$297	0x7c6e04…
04-25 23:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	142	8¢	$11	0x775436…
04-25 23:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x6d5f14…
04-25 23:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	248	98¢	$244	0xb84726…
04-25 22:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	950	70¢	$663	0x5f15fe…
04-25 22:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	665	97¢	$646	0x3f37d6…
04-25 22:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	647	99¢	$640	0xb5d7a9…
04-25 22:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5,773	1¢	$58	0x916f8c…
04-25 22:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,556	29¢	$449	0xfbea16…
04-25 21:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	507	99¢	$502	0xab0186…
04-25 21:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x903e42…
04-25 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	211	78¢	$164	0xd5077f…
04-25 21:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x01c766…
04-25 21:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	934	99¢	$924	0xfb4e70…
04-25 20:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	926	98¢	$904	0x8736b7…
04-25 20:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	907	96¢	$871	0x0b43e6…
04-25 20:33:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	63	37¢	$24	0xba4e98…
04-25 20:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0xb12c02…
04-25 20:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x5c9479…
04-25 20:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0xe72030…
04-25 20:23:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	117	56¢	$65	0x35ea71…
04-25 20:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x0120aa…
04-25 20:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	959	99¢	$950	0x6d37e7…
04-25 20:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	138	46¢	$63	0x0f6db3…
04-25 20:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x670c88…
04-25 20:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	146	5¢	$7	0x5ba78c…
04-25 20:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xa82444…
04-25 19:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	145	34¢	$50	0x13eb9a…
04-25 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	174	94¢	$163	0x48d54f…
04-25 19:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	180	56¢	$100	0x2550d1…
04-25 19:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	223	11¢	$25	0xa691d4…
04-25 19:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xe16a05…
04-25 19:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,150	96¢	$1,104	0x7b1747…
04-25 19:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,014	99¢	$1,000	0xc57c20…
04-25 19:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,093	97¢	$1,061	0xbae531…
04-25 15:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,956	35¢	$689	0x566143…
04-25 15:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	406	77¢	$311	0x445e4f…
04-25 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,155	87¢	$1,000	0x8697d7…
04-25 14:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0xdc05c4…
04-25 14:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,025	98¢	$1,000	0xf45e11…
04-25 14:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0xbfd504…
04-25 13:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xa308a9…
04-25 13:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	619	97¢	$600	0x919806…
04-25 12:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	607	99¢	$600	0x9af3d6…
04-25 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	632	95¢	$600	0xda7d23…
04-25 11:19:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	656	91¢	$600	0x83f291…
04-25 11:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	660	91¢	$600	0x294864…
04-25 02:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xdcb770…
04-25 02:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	698	86¢	$600	0xf1dd33…
04-25 02:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	641	94¢	$600	0x353ba1…
04-25 02:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2,609	98¢	$2,550	0x0ab7e0…
04-25 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0xbf0b98…
04-25 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,411	99¢	$2,387	0x365dc8…
04-25 02:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,303	98¢	$1,276	0xc4672b…
04-25 02:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,228	97¢	$1,191	0x9acbb2…
04-25 01:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2,475	95¢	$2,363	0x2a5d9d…
04-25 01:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2,365	99¢	$2,342	0x30f5cd…
04-25 01:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	617	97¢	$600	0xcb92d0…
04-25 01:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2,327	99¢	$2,304	0x075caf…
04-25 01:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	619	97¢	$600	0xa5766b…
04-25 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	624	96¢	$600	0xb919fa…
04-25 01:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	629	95¢	$600	0xe8f139…
04-25 01:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	613	98¢	$600	0xd9f525…
04-25 00:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	617	97¢	$600	0x514066…
04-25 00:39:54	BNB Up or Down - April 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xf4c344…
04-25 00:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2,206	99¢	$2,184	0x6bbd70…
04-24 23:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	608	99¢	$600	0x3afc42…
04-24 23:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x35d2d7…
04-24 23:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x4cc665…
04-24 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	670	90¢	$600	0x64a375…
04-24 23:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	614	98¢	$600	0xaed3b2…
04-24 23:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	273	99¢	$270	0xbe3ba9…
04-24 23:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	613	98¢	$600	0x456553…
04-24 22:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	246	81¢	$200	0x54d7b3…
04-24 22:55:02	BNB Up or Down - April 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd1483c…
04-24 22:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0xaa49e3…
04-24 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x287ae4…
04-24 21:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	308	98¢	$300	0x5e6c91…
04-24 21:39:56	BNB Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	139	24¢	$34	0x43d729…
04-24 21:39:44	BNB Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xf619e3…
04-24 21:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	311	96¢	$300	0x4360bc…
04-24 21:19:32	BNB Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x694d8f…
04-24 20:59:58	BNB Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x97d524…
04-24 20:55:00	BNB Up or Down - April 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x914aa3…
04-24 20:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	338	89¢	$300	0x093077…
04-24 20:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0xcc88de…