Noxious-Associate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.80K

Unrealized P&L

-$114

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

901

Trades

2,867

lifetime

Volume

$39.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 00:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 20% -$3,211

Other

15% 29% +$641

Sports

1% 0% -$232

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 26-November 1?	Yes	+200	$14	0¢	$1	-$13	10-28 10:06
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	+268	$55	0¢	$0	-$55	10-26 15:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	+224	$35	0¢	$0	-$35	10-26 15:50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	+100	$11	0¢	$0	-$11	10-28 15:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xrp reach 2pt5 january 5 11	13	$545	1,100	800	+300	No	+$189	01-06 18:19
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	13	$486	1,095	1,095	+0	No	+$58	07-29 12:22
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	15	$455	1,480	1,480	+0	No	-$46	02-11 17:53
uel gnk din6 2026 02 26 total 3pt5	4	$418	330	330	+0	Over	+$241	02-26 21:39
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	19	$389	877	877	+0	open	—	10-29 20:56
ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 total 4pt5	2	$377	320	320	+0	Over	+$262	02-25 19:51
xrp above 2pt2 on january 6	10	$377	600	600	+0	Yes	+$232	01-05 18:42
will solana dip to 80 february 2 8	10	$376	600	600	+0	Yes	+$302	02-05 15:28
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	22	$363	1,126	775	+351	No	+$21	07-27 09:24
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 total 4pt5	2	$353	280	280	+0	Over	+$207	02-24 19:55
uel lyo1 pao1 2026 01 29 total 3pt5	7	$343	310	310	+0	Over	+$163	01-29 21:25
will ethereum reach 2100 february 23 march 1	11	$341	391	391	+0	Yes	+$263	02-25 17:15
epl bur tot 2026 01 24 total 3pt5	4	$341	300	300	+0	Over	+$257	01-24 18:01
will xrp reach 2pt6 january 5 11	6	$312	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$194	01-05 23:02
epl tot cry 2026 03 05 total 4pt5	5	$288	300	300	+0	Under	+$204	03-05 20:59
ethereum above 3200 on january 5	7	$283	602	432	+170	No	+$45	01-05 16:12
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	2	$281	0	500	-500	Yes	-$219	01-31 17:16
ethereum above 3100 on january 2	9	$281	500	500	+0	Yes	+$199	01-02 16:42
will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$264	2,080	1,400	+680	No	-$68	02-07 06:42
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	12	$260	213	213	+0	Over	+$137	03-18 18:17
bitcoin above 92k on january 9	15	$259	970	471	+499	No	+$61	01-09 16:09
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	5	$250	360	360	+0	No	+$164	03-04 18:02
ethereum above 2000 on march 6	10	$230	300	300	+0	No	+$146	03-06 15:39
will ethereum reach 3500 january 12 18	5	$225	810	340	+470	No	+$74	01-16 12:02
bitcoin above 92k on january 12	1	$220	0	220	-220	Yes	$0	01-12 17:11
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	6	$219	210	210	+0	Yes	+$127	03-03 17:11
xrp above 1pt4 on february 5	3	$204	200	200	+0	No	+$170	02-05 15:17
bitcoin above 70k on february 11	2	$204	300	300	+0	No	+$114	02-07 02:51
bitcoin above 94k on january 5	11	$204	570	424	+146	No	+$87	01-05 16:10
ethereum above 3300 on january 14	5	$202	439	219	+220	Yes	+$301	01-13 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:27:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	104	8¢	$8	0xe59987…
10-29 21:23:19	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	53	27¢	$14	0x9867e2…
10-29 20:59:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4cee18…
10-29 20:57:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x20996c…
10-29 20:56:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	19¢	$57	0x80c5b1…
10-29 20:52:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xe690b0…
10-29 20:52:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x64ca83…
10-29 20:50:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x5cb667…
10-29 20:44:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0x0d1aba…
10-29 20:42:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	98	80¢	$78	0x52499f…
10-29 20:06:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$5	0x841ea1…
10-29 20:06:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	58	13¢	$8	0xbbe9b3…
10-29 20:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	99	11¢	$11	0xb465f2…
10-29 20:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x195509…
10-29 20:03:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x6361c7…
10-29 20:02:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x138e9d…
10-29 20:01:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	22¢	$27	0x1d9a34…
10-29 15:22:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x02602c…
10-29 15:21:55	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xdfa900…
10-29 15:20:34	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xe62f54…
10-29 15:19:46	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x12c20a…
10-29 15:19:26	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0xe9bb2f…
10-29 15:18:40	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	70	16¢	$12	0x531484…
10-29 15:16:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x7fd025…
10-29 15:16:11	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x75aaad…
10-29 15:15:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x3ebc9a…
10-29 14:39:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0x2d6f96…
10-29 10:42:01	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	89	10¢	$9	0xe935f2…
10-28 15:47:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	23¢	$26	0xb7b696…
10-28 15:02:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x8900ab…
10-28 15:02:08	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x268818…
10-28 11:03:25	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x98f9a1…
10-28 10:09:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0x3fe627…
10-28 10:06:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x1fa3c8…
10-28 10:06:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x5068fd…
10-28 03:29:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	336	23¢	$77	0x07b902…
10-28 00:07:09	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x7e5444…
10-27 21:42:51	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0x800545…
10-27 21:38:24	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xa45706…
10-27 21:37:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x8e219a…
10-27 21:34:08	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	114	2¢	$2	0xa3f412…
10-27 21:28:59	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xef3334…
10-27 21:28:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	23¢	$16	0x93b655…
10-26 17:47:39	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	24¢	$18	0x2487a9…
10-26 17:47:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xdacd54…
10-26 17:47:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x71a1cc…
10-26 17:46:51	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x9482e7…
10-26 17:46:29	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x867534…
10-26 15:58:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0xcc1986…
10-26 15:57:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x8ee56a…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3114a6…
10-26 15:50:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x4c4f50…
10-25 20:46:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xc5156d…
10-25 20:45:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa9a647…
10-25 12:14:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	90	17¢	$15	0x5cc011…
10-25 12:04:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	SELL	111	14¢	$16	0x09eab2…
10-25 12:00:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0xe8f42f…
10-25 11:52:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xaa4054…
10-23 20:12:41	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x431cac…
10-23 20:11:32	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x734f5c…
10-23 13:57:08	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$13	0x0eafa4…
10-22 11:50:08	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	160	8¢	$13	0x1a91e6…
10-22 11:48:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x69b8fe…
10-22 11:48:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	90	14¢	$13	0x0f0e89…
10-22 11:46:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	170	3¢	$5	0x345e35…
10-22 11:45:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb54384…
10-22 11:45:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe83c5a…
10-22 11:45:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9c2a25…
10-20 15:43:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3feb2c…
10-20 15:27:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x1f9623…
10-18 23:39:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	82	16¢	$13	0xe0349d…
10-18 22:43:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xc3fcfd…
10-18 22:41:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	147	6¢	$9	0x522a79…
10-18 22:36:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x0d7e68…
10-18 22:31:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	111	20¢	$22	0x088b41…
10-16 11:28:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x13e462…
10-15 15:20:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xd6bc01…
10-15 15:13:11	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	18	43¢	$7	0xbbe2b2…
10-15 15:12:10	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	28	46¢	$13	0x4757f1…
10-15 15:08:34	ethereum above 2400 on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x889bb1…
10-15 15:08:34	ethereum above 2400 on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	41	75¢	$31	0x856ed0…
10-15 15:08:34	ethereum above 2400 on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x28cd17…
10-15 15:03:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	75	45¢	$34	0x052bd0…
10-15 14:58:07	ethereum above 2400 on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x5d9524…
10-15 14:58:04	ethereum above 2400 on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0xea4ec2…
10-15 14:57:58	ethereum above 2400 on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x247b34…
10-15 14:56:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0xe4631e…
10-15 14:56:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6b6ad8…
10-15 13:44:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x984811…
10-15 13:44:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xbbeb5d…
10-15 13:43:56	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0fb2fd…
10-15 13:43:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa14e3e…
10-15 13:41:07	ethereum above 2400 on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd24de3…
10-15 13:39:34	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x4745e6…
10-15 13:37:47	will bitcoin reach 86k october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x34f660…
10-15 13:36:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc661cb…
10-15 13:35:58	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0c1535…
10-15 13:35:14	will bitcoin reach 86k october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	96	4¢	$4	0x41c695…
10-15 13:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x372926…
10-15 13:31:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$4	0x5089f1…