Steep-Dissonance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$230

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

372

Trades

774

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-05 23:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 50% -$237

Sports

27% 45% +$159

Other

9% 14% -$152

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	14	$135	265	0	+265	Down	-$135	06-16 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:35 UTC	5	$103	78	78	+0	Up	+$23	06-16 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$89	60	60	+0	Down	+$29	05-22 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 09:00 UTC	4	$74	59	59	+0	Up	+$14	06-15 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$72	50	50	+0	Down	+$22	06-15 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$71	80	60	+20	Down	-$9	05-22 17:53
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$61	42	42	+0	Athletics	+$21	05-22 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	5	$56	56	40	+16	Down	+$12	06-01 03:42
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$50	30	30	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$10	05-22 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$49	40	40	+0	Down	+$9	05-19 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$48	38	38	+0	Up	+$8	05-20 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$48	35	35	+0	Up	+$13	06-15 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$44	30	30	+0	Up	+$14	05-19 05:35
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	5	$44	40	40	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$4	05-20 01:37
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	9	$43	209	0	+209	Justin Gaethje	+$166	06-15 04:36
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$43	28	28	+0	Texas Rangers	+$13	05-20 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$42	86	0	+86	Down	-$42	06-16 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$41	83	0	+83	Up	-$41	06-16 01:00
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$40	80	0	+80	Milwaukee Brewers	-$40	05-22 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	8	$38	34	29	+5	Up	+$6	06-15 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$35	24	24	+0	Up	+$11	06-01 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$34	36	24	+11	Down	+$10	05-22 22:43
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	3	$34	24	24	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$14	05-23 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$32	24	24	+0	Up	+$12	05-19 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	Up	+$12	05-19 04:09
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	1	$30	94	0	+94	No	-$30	07-05 23:22
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	3	$30	19	19	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$8	05-20 01:37
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$30	20	20	+0	Texas Rangers	+$10	05-20 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-19 06:20
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$29	19	19	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$9	05-20 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 23:22:20	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xf4162c…
07-05 20:57:59	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xfc02a4…
07-05 19:24:44	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x68ebb9…
07-03 22:04:37	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x02963d…
06-30 21:48:28	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	43	22¢	$10	0x571bd1…
06-30 21:44:44	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd8c66d…
06-30 00:50:23	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xff6073…
06-28 02:13:37	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xe109cb…
06-28 01:34:19	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2cf2f4…
06-28 00:14:31	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x0e10fc…
06-27 22:07:52	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xca81ef…
06-27 22:07:41	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	48	14¢	$7	0x2e3cbc…
06-27 22:06:47	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3c1c1a…
06-27 21:43:53	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x9f8db6…
06-26 17:53:44	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0xe7a6c5…
06-24 23:08:28	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0bd2c8…
06-24 22:55:04	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe0543d…
06-24 22:54:02	Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 3 Haiti?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x19ab0e…
06-24 22:52:10	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x947bf6…
06-21 01:41:23	ufc ion nav 2026 06 20 stirling win by ko tko	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77f46c…
06-21 01:38:10	ufc ion nav 2026 06 20	Ion Cutelaba	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xc79af3…
06-21 01:22:59	ufc chr15 hyd 2026 06 20	Christian Rodriguez	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe9df2c…
06-21 01:10:28	ufc chr15 hyd 2026 06 20 rodriguez win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe83f64…
06-21 01:09:58	ufc chr15 hyd 2026 06 20	Christian Rodriguez	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5705bd…
06-21 00:50:13	ufc mel2 mur2 2026 06 20	Melsik Baghdasaryan	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x068ec8…
06-20 21:54:43	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x3d4178…
06-20 01:00:05	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x374a37…
06-20 00:59:46	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x1c5430…
06-20 00:42:11	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0xc7df47…
06-20 00:41:59	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x11edba…
06-16 01:12:03	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x009c64…
06-16 01:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x333166…
06-16 01:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x995319…
06-16 01:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb6656c…
06-16 01:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa88b3d…
06-16 01:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe846d0…
06-16 01:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb2f6dd…
06-16 01:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x868476…
06-16 01:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xceac27…
06-16 01:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8be474…
06-16 01:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x70781f…
06-16 01:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3af66e…
06-16 01:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe84cd5…
06-16 01:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa9256f…
06-16 01:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x531848…
06-16 01:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x32a60d…
06-16 00:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x077d76…
06-16 00:57:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x377aa5…
06-16 00:57:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd35f4c…
06-16 00:57:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x48e51d…
06-16 00:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x80410c…
06-16 00:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xad20f1…
06-16 00:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4b8f41…
06-16 00:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6917c5…
06-16 00:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2821a8…
06-16 00:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2b4e90…
06-16 00:51:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe6fa97…
06-16 00:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1b5683…
06-16 00:49:21	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xa9a53b…
06-16 00:47:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x3fc995…
06-16 00:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd119e9…
06-16 00:40:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x387676…
06-16 00:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x701284…
06-16 00:37:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	78	80¢	$63	0xcfcd3e…
06-16 00:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e4abd…
06-16 00:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa28e17…
06-16 00:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x83a940…
06-16 00:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x14215b…
06-16 00:31:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x20b300…
06-16 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5f5d29…
06-16 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5b2f7e…
06-16 00:10:48	Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x11571b…
06-15 23:37:15	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x31df4a…
06-15 23:37:01	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x789a47…
06-15 23:18:34	Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xda4f66…
06-15 23:10:39	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x6fadad…
06-15 23:09:33	Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x877794…
06-15 23:09:21	Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4f0032…
06-15 22:56:18	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x451e09…
06-15 22:45:27	Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 1 Uruguay?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x2e6277…
06-15 22:31:57	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x858ea1…
06-15 22:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x592e44…
06-15 22:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x7bed9f…
06-15 22:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x458830…
06-15 22:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe2bffc…
06-15 22:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd40a42…
06-15 22:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb80e3c…
06-15 22:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1633ac…
06-15 22:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcd269f…
06-15 22:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6a04da…
06-15 22:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x32db01…
06-15 22:01:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb1c05…
06-15 21:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x0f031e…
06-15 21:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe98d49…
06-15 21:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x229d45…
06-15 21:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x277499…
06-15 21:21:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9cf80f…
06-15 21:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd2d303…
06-15 20:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x78091f…
06-15 20:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x39c7ad…