Needy-Subject — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

596

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-18 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 78% -$75

Other

9% 100% +$63

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$500	555	0	+555	Up	-$500	05-16 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	18	$469	2,229	1,181	+1,048	Up	+$69	05-13 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	36	$438	397	397	+0	Down	+$38	05-08 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	29	$438	396	396	+0	Down	+$38	05-08 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	30	$431	385	385	+0	Down	+$31	05-09 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	21	$420	0	700	-700	Up	+$70	05-16 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$400	450	0	+450	Down	+$50	05-16 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	28	$360	0	600	-600	Down	+$60	05-09 00:02
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	2	$328	179	179	+0	Yes	+$28	05-16 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	11	$308	0	560	-560	Down	+$28	05-15 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	14	$306	285	285	+0	Down	+$149	05-13 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	19	$291	293	293	+0	Down	+$91	05-13 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	18	$262	270	270	+0	Up	+$62	05-15 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	11	$260	0	400	-400	Down	+$60	05-08 23:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$233	235	0	+235	Up	+$2	05-15 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	8	$216	233	132	+101	Down	+$17	05-13 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$213	161	161	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	24	$210	0	350	-350	Down	-$140	05-09 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	28	$198	0	360	-360	Up	+$18	05-15 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	16	$195	0	355	-355	Down	+$18	05-09 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$193	166	166	+0	Up	+$53	05-05 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	14	$183	0	305	-305	Down	-$57	05-09 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	10	$178	0	296	-296	Down	+$30	05-09 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	24	$172	0	312	-312	Up	-$108	05-15 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	23	$170	211	200	+11	Up	-$17	05-15 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$165	163	58	+105	Up	+$10	05-08 17:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$141	106	104	+2	Yes	+$7	04-23 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$122	130	130	+0	Up	+$62	05-08 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$120	0	200	-200	Down	+$20	05-09 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	10	$120	0	200	-200	Down	+$20	05-09 10:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 18:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	130	60¢	$78	0xc725a7…
05-18 18:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x0827eb…
05-18 18:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x803600…
05-16 18:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	555	90¢	$500	0x1344f8…
05-16 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xebe2d3…
05-16 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xbee248…
05-16 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x0f41ed…
05-16 18:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	44	60¢	$26	0x8dfadb…
05-16 18:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	450	89¢	$400	0x3ce501…
05-16 18:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	156	60¢	$93	0x86392a…
05-16 18:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	182	60¢	$109	0x4fc669…
05-16 18:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0xdc6a77…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe4337a…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd372d4…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x8bbac0…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x848975…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x815b30…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x587419…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x2a3c38…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x22f308…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x0a001d…
05-16 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x0413f6…
05-16 18:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x988071…
05-16 18:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0x90dee0…
05-16 18:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	56	60¢	$34	0x7eabf0…
05-16 18:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x5162d7…
05-16 18:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x01952e…
05-16 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0x1c5833…
05-16 18:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x2ec60f…
05-16 18:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	132	60¢	$79	0x88d7e2…
05-16 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0xacdbdf…
05-16 18:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xa81d5c…
05-16 18:02:57	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	179	100¢	$178	0xd3c28c…
05-16 08:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xa3c126…
05-16 08:17:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x16eaf7…
05-16 08:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xcbc0c9…
05-15 18:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x05c6ad…
05-15 18:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3e9415…
05-15 18:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe0d561…
05-15 18:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8d6dc7…
05-15 18:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x723041…
05-15 18:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x2fe840…
05-15 18:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xfd3bd4…
05-15 18:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x004d7a…
05-15 18:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x351845…
05-15 18:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xf5eb62…
05-15 18:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xc90f03…
05-15 18:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x76ce7b…
05-15 18:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x72b3f1…
05-15 18:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xd4240f…
05-15 18:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xa371db…
05-15 18:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xed99f4…
05-15 18:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xa60cc2…
05-15 18:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x58b2cf…
05-15 18:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x7ca985…
05-15 18:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x6b0a49…
05-15 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	63	60¢	$38	0xccbeb8…
05-15 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xc3e3db…
05-15 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0xa22aed…
05-15 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x8a7517…
05-15 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x167aac…
05-15 18:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x0b8bd3…
05-15 17:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	55¢	$10	0x9e022d…
05-15 17:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0xe75aa8…
05-15 17:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xc1c591…
05-15 17:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x87db81…
05-15 17:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x556dfc…
05-15 17:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x35cb32…
05-15 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xd36bd9…
05-15 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xbf21d1…
05-15 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xb9bbc8…
05-15 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x4afea2…
05-15 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x42a821…
05-15 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3a98fc…
05-15 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x36a19e…
05-15 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x014616…
05-15 17:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xfbf8ee…
05-15 17:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3ae555…
05-15 17:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x6f6ff0…
05-15 17:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x618714…
05-15 17:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0x478c74…
05-15 17:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x77cb8c…
05-15 17:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf44355…
05-15 17:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xae265c…
05-15 17:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x5b9184…
05-15 17:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x2b18c2…
05-15 17:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	60	55¢	$33	0x481f11…
05-15 17:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x5c38de…
05-15 17:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x1f9882…
05-15 17:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x07afde…
05-15 17:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xd59913…
05-15 17:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xc50a37…
05-15 17:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xbab389…
05-15 17:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x93952d…
05-15 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xdf6226…
05-15 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x46645d…
05-15 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x16c913…
05-15 17:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	142	55¢	$78	0x6a5c6f…
05-15 17:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x1b7b18…
05-15 17:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x83d1b8…