Ruddy-Hiring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.64K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$673

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-31 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

93% 100% +$3,642

Sports

5% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.5K	3,333	3,333	+0	Yes	+$3,130	05-09 06:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$3.5K	2,021	2,021	+0	No	+$512	05-03 15:03
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$3.4K	1,933	1,933	+0	open	—	04-11 17:02
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$3.1K	4,300	4,300	+0	open	—	04-16 12:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$3.0K	1,919	1,919	+0	open	—	05-31 20:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,695	1,695	+0	open	—	04-26 19:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,731	1,731	+0	open	—	04-26 19:50
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	3	$2.4K	2,544	1,478	+1,066	open	—	04-26 19:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,493	1,493	+0	open	—	05-12 15:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,298	1,298	+0	open	—	04-26 17:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,471	1,471	+0	open	—	05-03 15:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,323	1,323	+0	open	—	05-03 15:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,148	1,148	+0	open	—	04-25 14:59
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$1.6K	1,072	1,072	+0	open	—	04-29 09:51
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.5K	2,799	2,799	+0	open	—	04-18 15:13
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	2	$1.5K	915	915	+0	open	—	04-29 09:51
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.4K	990	990	+0	open	—	03-31 10:02
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.4K	2,631	2,631	+0	open	—	04-18 15:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.3K	1,935	0	+1,935	open	—	03-31 14:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$1.1K	6,988	0	+6,988	open	—	03-24 20:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$1.1K	986	1,815	-830	open	—	05-25 18:57
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$822	487	487	+0	open	—	04-13 07:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$676	1,450	0	+1,450	open	—	04-20 09:39
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	2	$634	1,156	1,156	+0	open	—	04-15 16:18
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$604	1,065	1,065	+0	open	—	04-20 06:13
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$494	294	294	+0	open	—	05-20 14:07
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$449	857	857	+0	open	—	04-11 23:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$444	517	0	+517	open	—	04-20 14:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$425	1,950	0	+1,950	open	—	04-19 22:55
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$367	1,354	1,354	+0	open	—	04-21 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 20:48:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	425	99¢	$423	0xb36c72…
05-25 18:58:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0x8ffe68…
05-25 18:57:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	365	10¢	$38	0x9019bd…
05-24 17:42:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	465	22¢	$101	0x554ffe…
05-21 09:26:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	368	80¢	$294	0x3e7f78…
05-20 14:07:19	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0x642b6b…
05-18 21:36:08	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	168	27¢	$45	0xf66c02…
05-18 21:35:45	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xfa6ebf…
05-18 21:35:14	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	173	36¢	$62	0x76afd9…
05-18 21:34:44	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xd23025…
05-18 21:32:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	986	37¢	$365	0x3e4db3…
05-13 14:55:37	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,667	9¢	$150	0xc8c5df…
05-12 15:38:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,494	83¢	$1,240	0xc670c5…
05-12 15:38:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,493	88¢	$1,314	0x61807f…
05-09 06:56:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,333	100¢	$3,330	0x662ae2…
05-07 22:31:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,494	67¢	$1,000	0xb7e9e1…
05-07 22:31:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x62be1d…
05-04 21:12:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,333	6¢	$200	0x3878f9…
05-04 18:14:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,765	17¢	$300	0xcb5350…
05-04 18:13:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	986	61¢	$600	0xf20623…
05-03 15:03:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,471	82¢	$1,206	0x940e8c…
05-03 15:03:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,323	86¢	$1,137	0xb46989…
05-03 15:03:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	2,021	99¢	$1,992	0x071474…
04-29 10:01:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	527	91¢	$480	0x84bb95…
04-29 10:01:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,323	76¢	$1,000	0x04a820…
04-29 09:59:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x5a2cb0…
04-29 09:51:56	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	SELL	915	87¢	$798	0xab0134…
04-29 09:51:44	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	1,072	79¢	$848	0xd718a0…
04-29 02:13:14	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	1,072	75¢	$800	0xa0f640…
04-29 02:12:56	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	915	76¢	$700	0x469eb1…
04-27 15:19:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x35a9f8…
04-26 19:50:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1,695	97¢	$1,649	0x145ff8…
04-26 19:50:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1,731	99¢	$1,714	0xb1a568…
04-26 19:25:36	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	1,051	80¢	$841	0xbe6670…
04-26 19:13:46	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	SELL	1,478	37¢	$547	0x498992…
04-26 17:36:20	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x58eb04…
04-26 17:25:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,298	100¢	$1,296	0x266813…
04-25 15:11:52	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?	Yes	SELL	898	0¢	$2	0xb5f216…
04-25 15:02:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,695	64¢	$1,080	0xf6b972…
04-25 14:59:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,148	94¢	$1,079	0x5430c6…
04-25 12:54:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,298	77¢	$1,000	0x5e6b09…
04-25 12:54:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,731	58¢	$1,000	0x405219…
04-21 22:11:42	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,354	3¢	$42	0xec3eec…
04-20 14:14:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	517	86¢	$444	0xd39259…
04-20 09:39:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	194	53¢	$104	0x2dbc9e…
04-20 06:13:20	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,065	10¢	$104	0x3f2130…
04-19 22:55:22	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	1,950	22¢	$425	0xcfd5fa…
04-18 15:49:38	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,631	16¢	$415	0x0b1224…
04-18 15:39:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	1,256	46¢	$572	0x45e4a2…
04-18 15:20:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,148	61¢	$700	0x250732…
04-18 15:13:42	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,799	18¢	$504	0x31b881…
04-16 12:32:30	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,631	38¢	$1,000	0xa68063…
04-16 12:23:10	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,799	36¢	$1,000	0xd2bb49…
04-16 12:22:00	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,300	64¢	$2,756	0x5b1f74…
04-15 16:18:06	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	Yes	SELL	1,156	1¢	$12	0x980a8a…
04-13 18:29:33	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	Yes	BUY	1,156	54¢	$622	0x451068…
04-13 07:56:37	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,065	47¢	$500	0x9e26b8…
04-13 07:50:33	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	487	97¢	$472	0x7db3a1…
04-13 06:59:25	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,076	0¢	$1	0x54cbb1…
04-12 12:44:41	Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10,377	3¢	$300	0xb25d54…
04-12 12:41:13	Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10,108	3¢	$300	0xbc2b8b…
04-11 23:06:11	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	857	29¢	$249	0x1debe3…
04-11 22:41:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,354	24¢	$325	0x3ca99a…
04-11 17:37:19	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	857	23¢	$200	0x952a45…
04-11 17:34:49	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,076	5¢	$50	0x6a49c6…
04-11 17:25:25	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	487	72¢	$350	0x4f9329…
04-11 17:23:51	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,092	7¢	$300	0x3a2a48…
04-11 17:23:11	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?	Yes	BUY	898	16¢	$140	0x3034d2…
04-11 17:02:31	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	1,933	99¢	$1,919	0xeafdbd…
04-09 19:56:01	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	1,933	78¢	$1,500	0x495da8…
04-02 17:21:59	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	972	4¢	$40	0xb9e7be…
04-02 17:21:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	167	36¢	$60	0x6a3479…
03-31 14:00:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	850	62¢	$527	0xe7ca8a…
03-31 10:02:41	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	990	53¢	$527	0x820bf7…
03-30 10:51:28	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,085	72¢	$781	0x2945df…
03-29 15:41:12	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x1a6c16…
03-28 21:19:36	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	990	91¢	$900	0x76ba20…
03-24 20:52:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	6,988	16¢	$1,118	0x514612…