Solid-Noise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,058

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-15 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 15% $-40

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET	8	$28	105	97	+7	open	—	04-26 21:56
btc updown 5m 1773792000	3	$27	35	25	+10	open	—	03-18 00:05
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	5	$25	564	181	+383	open	—	05-11 20:48
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 2am et	9	$18	190	48	+142	open	—	04-24 06:57
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$17	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 11:00
btc updown 5m 1773933000	8	$17	30	29	+0	open	—	03-19 15:14
btc updown 5m 1773874800	6	$17	61	61	+0	open	—	03-18 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET	4	$16	50	47	+3	open	—	04-27 01:47
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET	8	$14	38	36	+2	open	—	04-26 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	4	$13	30	30	+0	open	—	04-29 17:29
btc updown 5m 1773937200	9	$12	63	19	+43	open	—	03-19 16:24
btc updown 5m 1773883800	8	$12	18	18	+0	open	—	03-19 01:34
btc updown 5m 1776684000	2	$11	17	16	+1	open	—	04-20 11:24
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	10	$11	772	8	+763	open	—	04-24 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	6	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 23:25
btc updown 5m 1773870300	8	$11	13	13	+0	open	—	03-18 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	7	$11	26	25	+2	open	—	04-27 02:38
btc updown 5m 1773936600	5	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-19 16:14
btc updown 5m 1773882300	7	$10	18	15	+2	open	—	03-19 01:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	7	$10	125	58	+67	Up	$-2	05-07 06:52
btc updown 5m 1773890400	6	$10	14	11	+3	open	—	03-19 03:24
btc updown 5m 1774813200	8	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-29 19:44
btc updown 5m 1773937500	6	$10	17	11	+6	open	—	03-19 16:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	3	$10	1,008	8	+1,000	open	—	04-29 16:18
btc updown 5m 1774811100	8	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	03-29 19:10
btc updown 5m 1774812000	6	$9	11	6	+4	open	—	03-29 19:24
btc updown 5m 1775951100	5	$9	13	12	+0	open	—	04-11 23:50
btc updown 5m 1773943800	5	$9	107	7	+100	open	—	03-19 18:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$9	19	12	+7	Up	$-1	05-05 18:04
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9AM ET	4	$9	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 22:00:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x83579b…
05-15 21:59:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xd69f55…
05-15 21:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x00fc43…
05-15 21:44:47	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xb92484…
05-15 21:43:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb8aef6…
05-13 06:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa87a3f…
05-13 06:10:46	Will Solana reach $110 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xb64820…
05-13 06:05:31	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x93cd36…
05-13 05:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x623845…
05-12 23:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x6a69a6…
05-12 23:46:09	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xba04c5…
05-12 23:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa6242c…
05-12 23:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xbf3e85…
05-12 23:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb32eba…
05-12 23:31:13	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xffdd08…
05-12 23:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xef3e0a…
05-12 23:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdc692d…
05-12 23:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x08dea6…
05-12 23:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x7c54f5…
05-12 23:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9541d7…
05-12 23:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x6f18d8…
05-12 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x463f69…
05-12 11:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x891b67…
05-12 11:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcc6b8d…
05-11 20:58:25	Will Solana reach $110 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1d0ab6…
05-11 20:54:47	Will Solana reach $100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfe940b…
05-11 20:52:56	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xcb53c8…
05-11 20:48:09	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2311e0…
05-11 20:48:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc8d3aa…
05-11 20:43:57	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x263d1a…
05-11 20:43:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xdfd7bd…
05-11 20:42:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x21a374…
05-11 20:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfa956f…
05-11 19:08:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6ebfae…
05-11 19:07:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	181	9¢	$17	0xa23e60…
05-11 12:55:59	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x2e09ac…
05-11 12:54:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xaf6974…
05-11 09:44:46	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5bcb95…
05-11 09:35:20	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0a93bf…
05-11 09:16:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7c6cad…
05-11 09:11:22	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6acf81…
05-11 08:44:49	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x118baf…
05-07 14:59:48	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x3a34ae…
05-07 14:57:31	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x19b681…
05-07 13:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa5ea70…
05-07 13:30:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xef06a5…
05-07 12:58:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x8b25ba…
05-07 12:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xffd3e7…
05-07 08:52:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdddff6…
05-07 08:38:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$1	0x161b5a…
05-07 07:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xb447e1…
05-07 07:51:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x28ed3c…
05-07 07:50:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xca0ebb…
05-07 07:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc07bec…
05-07 07:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x22faf0…
05-07 07:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa38302…
05-07 07:32:07	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6dc4d0…
05-07 07:29:24	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x40e390…
05-07 07:28:58	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5e995b…
05-07 07:26:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6b1dd3…
05-07 07:00:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x856b21…
05-07 06:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x48f4f8…
05-07 06:51:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xbe41d0…
05-07 06:51:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x127ebc…
05-07 06:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x476364…
05-07 06:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcecd90…
05-07 06:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x11fe20…
05-07 06:43:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x67c794…
05-06 03:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfba862…
05-06 03:51:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa809ad…
05-06 03:48:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xcc4ca0…
05-06 03:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8991d7…
05-06 03:40:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x42abee…
05-05 18:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd33abe…
05-05 18:04:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7d49ba…
05-05 18:03:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd43e47…
05-05 18:03:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x963dd9…
05-05 18:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd8a46f…
05-05 18:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x15f2a7…
05-05 18:01:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x37b124…
05-05 18:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x6828c2…
05-05 18:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4b2e61…
05-05 17:32:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xecffe3…
05-05 17:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x258cbe…
05-05 17:31:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xce0753…
05-05 17:22:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x794a60…
05-05 17:20:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3564a0…
05-05 17:16:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x276706…
05-05 17:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x71c6ba…
05-05 17:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x799d0d…
05-05 17:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd3b21b…
05-04 22:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3e8318…
05-04 22:48:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x56dce1…
05-04 22:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe234ac…
05-04 22:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x59f196…
05-04 22:10:38	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc5d05f…
05-04 22:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x865ad9…
05-04 22:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa87c2a…
05-04 22:03:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xf54b36…
05-04 22:01:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xde0d3e…