Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

617

lifetime

Volume

$72.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-15

last 11-02 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Tech

44% 71% -$12,244

Other

44% 68% +$1,236

Crypto

12% 46% -$214

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	56	$8.6K	12,208	836	+11,372	No	-$8,562	10-23 15:18
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	27	$6.5K	7,749	7,749	+0	No	-$6,451	10-23 06:16
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	35	$3.5K	4,733	0	+4,733	Yes	+$1,190	10-20 16:15
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	25	$3.4K	4,426	0	+4,426	No	+$998	10-16 15:04
will the next claude haiku model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1400 by june 30 2027	5	$3.4K	3,854	0	+3,854	Yes	+$475	10-14 12:56
Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	39	$3.2K	3,317	657	+2,660	Yes	-$105	10-17 08:07
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	3	$2.5K	2,596	0	+2,596	No	+$138	09-22 18:48
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?	26	$2.4K	2,533	1,051	+1,482	Yes	-$414	10-16 13:15
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	9	$2.2K	2,693	0	+2,693	Yes	+$485	09-16 10:31
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	10	$1.9K	2,136	0	+2,136	Yes	+$202	10-13 15:01
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,187	1,187	+0	open	—	10-13 14:15
next deepseek pro released by november 30 2026 853	27	$1.7K	2,719	0	+2,719	open	—	10-15 02:46
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	13	$1.6K	1,840	0	+1,840	Yes	+$277	10-12 13:20
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	6	$1.5K	1,347	1,347	+0	No	-$792	10-01 06:04
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	12	$1.3K	2,223	2,223	+0	open	—	11-02 05:01
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	14	$1.2K	1,448	0	+1,448	No	+$205	09-30 18:57
Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 12, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,239	0	+1,239	Yes	+$20	10-12 17:15
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	17	$1.2K	3,071	3,071	+0	No	-$154	10-13 16:31
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	6	$1.0K	1,104	0	+1,104	Yes	+$61	10-12 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$1.0K	1,153	1,153	+0	Up	+$476	09-21 18:09
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	7	$887	907	907	+0	Yes	-$179	10-20 20:08
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	5	$852	966	0	+966	Yes	+$114	10-07 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 17:40 UTC	5	$730	754	754	+0	Down	+$59	09-21 17:43
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	7	$711	1,577	1,577	+0	open	—	10-13 14:33
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$651	955	0	+955	No	+$304	10-19 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 17:55 UTC	2	$644	470	470	+0	Up	+$221	09-21 17:57
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	2	$637	740	0	+740	Yes	+$103	09-22 16:51
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?	2	$608	354	354	+0	open	—	10-21 14:40
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	2	$587	595	595	+0	open	—	10-13 14:52
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	16	$583	735	127	+608	No	+$17	10-25 13:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:01:25	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	1,577	19¢	$298	0x05c5a5…
11-01 15:00:46	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	349	23¢	$79	0x3c58a9…
10-31 16:08:27	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	224	26¢	$58	0x8779bc…
10-29 13:35:38	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	308	15¢	$47	0x192417…
10-29 13:35:14	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	275	65¢	$179	0xd33a80…
10-29 07:08:14	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	505	37¢	$187	0xaeea54…
10-26 19:10:18	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x61ea9c…
10-25 17:50:18	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	62	41¢	$26	0xd23ebf…
10-25 13:41:48	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	90¢	$95	0xfa3395…
10-23 15:18:50	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf28f0a…
10-23 15:13:41	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa27b9f…
10-23 12:44:50	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0xf1cd2a…
10-23 12:30:42	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	65¢	$29	0x099354…
10-23 11:18:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x0fc4e7…
10-23 10:29:54	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x60821f…
10-23 09:13:17	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf390f9…
10-23 08:48:44	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	505	0¢	$2	0xebeba9…
10-23 06:16:05	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7,749	0¢	$21	0x7c83f5…
10-22 23:29:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	738	66¢	$487	0x481d1b…
10-22 23:29:18	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	66¢	$110	0xa88391…
10-22 10:47:32	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x905a60…
10-22 05:49:47	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x50fc72…
10-21 16:12:05	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	330	60¢	$198	0x5f8c72…
10-21 15:52:50	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	91¢	$171	0xffcee7…
10-21 15:52:36	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	321	90¢	$290	0x205fc6…
10-21 14:40:18	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	354	96¢	$338	0xa8cc86…
10-21 12:06:56	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	403	67¢	$270	0xd70126…
10-20 20:08:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	674	39¢	$263	0x17c534…
10-20 16:23:30	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	64	69¢	$44	0x877088…
10-20 16:15:11	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	65	73¢	$47	0x125236…
10-20 16:02:06	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	232	39¢	$91	0x24df65…
10-20 14:47:17	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbd61d3…
10-19 13:58:33	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0d792e…
10-19 13:58:29	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	67¢	$44	0xc3959c…
10-19 13:45:30	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x304ed6…
10-19 13:44:39	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	206	84¢	$174	0x61047e…
10-19 13:42:35	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	648	50¢	$321	0x8c9567…
10-19 13:42:05	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	248	87¢	$216	0x2efa84…
10-19 13:41:18	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	289	94¢	$272	0xc0c3fe…
10-19 13:40:38	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	88	98¢	$87	0x5925b3…
10-19 05:32:42	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xf41746…
10-18 15:56:27	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	478	65¢	$313	0xa861f8…
10-18 04:59:09	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	596	86¢	$514	0xbcc799…
10-18 04:59:02	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	688	71¢	$486	0xeb169e…
10-17 13:54:50	Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb8ce43…
10-17 13:54:17	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	209	86¢	$180	0x98ffe6…
10-17 13:53:12	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	88¢	$61	0x03392b…
10-17 13:52:39	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	640	42¢	$272	0x3dd95c…
10-17 13:52:26	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	120	80¢	$96	0xee1616…
10-17 13:52:14	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	104	78¢	$81	0x8e0d98…
10-17 13:52:05	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x2c9e90…
10-17 13:51:59	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	210	86¢	$180	0xc021c4…
10-17 13:51:14	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,266	71¢	$1,611	0xb42abd…
10-17 13:49:39	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xe18466…
10-17 13:49:29	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	220	85¢	$186	0xbcd638…
10-17 08:07:02	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x05265c…
10-17 08:06:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	73¢	$34	0xac4c21…
10-17 07:43:32	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x27b6a6…
10-17 07:41:05	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x5a0d28…
10-16 22:08:03	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xba2110…
10-16 22:07:56	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xc5b6b2…
10-16 22:07:47	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$113	0x08bb6c…
10-16 15:07:03	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x5b59b7…
10-16 15:06:55	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe1c030…
10-16 15:06:40	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	71	77¢	$55	0x0eaf23…
10-16 15:04:04	Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x0b95bf…
10-16 14:40:33	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	224	71¢	$159	0x0788d8…
10-16 14:24:51	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x316e09…
10-16 13:45:33	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	95¢	$115	0x2ae4a4…
10-16 13:26:34	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x532f06…
10-16 13:25:00	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x6a14c5…
10-16 13:23:39	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x48ac89…
10-16 13:19:33	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x56b29e…
10-16 13:19:24	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5a1455…
10-16 13:19:19	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	95¢	$129	0xa9c0f4…
10-16 13:15:57	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1b8cbd…
10-16 13:15:54	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0x1c673e…
10-16 13:15:21	Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	96¢	$216	0xc65a53…
10-16 13:14:45	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	311	93¢	$289	0xe86808…
10-16 13:04:06	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfa05e9…
10-16 12:51:48	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x45b051…
10-16 12:25:06	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	93¢	$340	0x5583a9…
10-16 12:24:16	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0x955e81…
10-16 04:10:27	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	46¢	$26	0x00217b…
10-16 04:10:27	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0x00217b…
10-16 03:51:42	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc646e9…
10-16 03:27:40	Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x422d7b…
10-16 03:27:36	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	95¢	$135	0x94dcf2…
10-16 03:26:31	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xcc4945…
10-16 03:24:22	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x449dd8…
10-16 03:23:51	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xf0dcf7…
10-15 17:37:35	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xc7619e…
10-15 16:57:40	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$13	0xcf5803…
10-15 16:57:02	Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x0e8a0e…
10-15 16:56:37	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x974787…
10-15 16:29:11	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	89¢	$141	0xf60c52…
10-15 16:19:23	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xcfd91e…
10-15 16:17:59	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x0a8fc9…
10-15 16:17:58	Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	90¢	$109	0x5af414…
10-15 16:17:29	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	287	72¢	$206	0x0afdc1…