Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$313

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

30.4%

Resolved

146

Trades

1,060

lifetime

Volume

$7.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-12 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

89% 34% -$216

Other

11% 67% -$94

Crypto

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Yes		+320	$29	11¢	$34	+$5	09-10 23:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	112	$611	5,272	4,681	+591	No	-$39	02-28 00:36
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	17	$520	934	749	+185	No	-$187	03-26 01:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	21	$429	828	828	+0	No	-$108	03-08 14:11
iran strike on israel by february 28	14	$412	383	283	+100	Yes	-$9	02-28 15:13
will iran close its airspace by february 28 2026	23	$372	477	477	+0	Yes	+$278	02-28 10:42
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	24	$334	925	975	-50	Yes	-$14	02-27 15:31
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	23	$328	775	775	+0	No	-$3	03-17 14:02
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	37	$309	807	807	+0	Yes	+$42	02-27 19:44
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$303	651	676	-25	No	-$77	03-08 19:03
will uae strike iran by march 31	16	$301	521	521	+0	No	-$7	03-08 22:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$250	150	150	+0	Yes	+$43	02-28 22:03
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	7	$228	209	209	+0	Yes	+$13	02-27 21:04
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$150	291	291	+0	No	-$26	03-11 15:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$147	152	152	+0	Yes	+$11	03-06 13:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$130	173	122	+52	No	-$14	03-18 12:54
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	8	$119	142	272	-130	No	+$57	03-03 12:44
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	56	$118	3,667	3,030	+637	No	-$13	02-24 00:55
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	9	$112	488	508	-20	No	-$48	03-14 21:54
will israel strike lebanon on february 22 2026	16	$108	104	104	+0	No	+$12	02-22 21:59
will israel strike lebanon on february 17 2026	31	$97	149	138	+10	No	-$32	02-17 21:56
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$89	66	66	+0	Yes	-$1	03-08 16:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$89	185	160	+25	Yes	-$5	03-08 19:02
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$82	110	110	+0	Yes	-$1	03-08 12:08
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	3	$78	43	43	+0	Yes	-$2	03-08 21:11
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?	1	$76	150	0	+150	Yes	+$74	02-28 00:33
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$68	220	101	+119	No	-$47	03-11 15:19
us strikes iraq by february 28	4	$65	124	124	+0	Yes	+$61	02-28 10:53
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	11	$65	133	133	+0	No	+$14	03-01 20:25
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	6	$57	215	215	+0	No	+$10	03-08 15:36
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	27	$57	1,733	1,317	+416	No	-$26	02-21 00:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 06:45:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x3233ab…
09-10 23:37:22	Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Yes	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0xfffc75…
09-10 22:04:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	170	16¢	$27	0x6874bb…
09-10 21:47:09	Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x9779b0…
09-10 21:47:06	Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x73eafd…
03-26 01:19:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	185	14¢	$26	0x830bf1…
03-20 15:09:15	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	290	23¢	$67	0x759e27…
03-18 12:54:51	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x672763…
03-18 12:54:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	52	31¢	$16	0x1e9863…
03-17 14:02:37	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	195	3¢	$6	0xdc0649…
03-17 14:02:31	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	179	9¢	$16	0x539c62…
03-17 14:02:23	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	352	14¢	$49	0x9e4496…
03-15 23:17:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xa0eda2…
03-14 21:54:49	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xd03aa6…
03-14 21:54:03	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$5	0x301f35…
03-14 16:01:13	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	Yes	SELL	122	5¢	$6	0x097d60…
03-13 23:53:41	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	Yes	SELL	264	8¢	$21	0x3c16a9…
03-11 18:30:35	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0x3660d6…
03-11 16:57:01	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	Yes	BUY	159	13¢	$21	0x4d76ab…
03-11 15:19:05	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	101	10¢	$10	0x3bb673…
03-11 15:18:53	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	111	23¢	$26	0x5f48e8…
03-11 15:18:43	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	179	17¢	$31	0xdc291c…
03-11 15:18:11	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	181	7¢	$13	0xac6623…
03-09 21:11:15	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	Yes	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0x05df98…
03-09 21:10:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	170	39¢	$66	0x3a90cb…
03-09 21:09:29	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x46406f…
03-09 21:08:43	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0x1211ee…
03-09 20:02:45	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x792099…
03-09 19:30:41	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	68	30¢	$20	0xea0b04…
03-09 17:16:17	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0x74981f…
03-09 12:37:05	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	90	29¢	$26	0x7c03ff…
03-09 11:25:09	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x84e260…
03-09 11:04:33	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x58bf11…
03-09 00:36:07	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x416924…
03-08 22:58:13	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x986898…
03-08 22:43:59	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	55	36¢	$20	0x537a0c…
03-08 22:03:45	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xa70bed…
03-08 21:47:09	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0xde82fd…
03-08 21:45:57	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8942f6…
03-08 21:45:57	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x6a5047…
03-08 21:17:19	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x62d58f…
03-08 21:11:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0xcc4ae3…
03-08 21:10:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x7efa45…
03-08 21:10:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x3d707e…
03-08 21:10:15	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	276	0¢	$1	0x4a8e20…
03-08 21:06:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xae1eb8…
03-08 20:51:05	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xf380de…
03-08 20:47:45	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x59615f…
03-08 20:45:45	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0xa50c6e…
03-08 20:40:45	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb5b7cd…
03-08 20:33:37	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x205702…
03-08 19:36:25	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xebe9be…
03-08 19:27:23	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$2	0x1e72db…
03-08 19:27:03	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	137	1¢	$2	0x6f6fdb…
03-08 19:21:03	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x1d3bd0…
03-08 19:16:57	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe4c049…
03-08 19:03:27	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xbc4da5…
03-08 19:03:15	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xceeafe…
03-08 19:03:05	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0x1d78b5…
03-08 19:02:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	53	23¢	$12	0x7db72a…
03-08 18:49:07	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x608b0a…
03-08 18:46:11	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x14d933…
03-08 18:43:21	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x9d9e0b…
03-08 18:43:05	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x340286…
03-08 18:42:49	Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x400ab6…
03-08 18:42:37	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x421a41…
03-08 18:42:21	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x282297…
03-08 18:42:07	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x7aefa9…
03-08 18:41:57	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xa1fe2d…
03-08 18:41:45	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xd248ad…
03-08 18:41:33	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xd6592d…
03-08 18:41:19	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x5bef16…
03-08 18:31:33	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	334	2¢	$7	0xfd1625…
03-08 18:30:45	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	146	10¢	$15	0x341a39…
03-08 18:30:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	107	27¢	$29	0x8d2020…
03-08 18:13:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4ab4d1…
03-08 18:13:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb0074f…
03-08 18:12:29	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	309	2¢	$6	0x960984…
03-08 18:08:05	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	563	2¢	$8	0x32478b…
03-08 18:07:31	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	563	2¢	$10	0xdb2245…
03-08 18:07:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x742960…
03-08 18:03:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x169773…
03-08 18:02:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	121	16¢	$20	0xef8711…
03-08 17:40:21	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xe50320…
03-08 16:35:33	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	96	54¢	$52	0x3d95b7…
03-08 16:34:53	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x16d655…
03-08 16:23:09	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	49	66¢	$33	0xf004ec…
03-08 15:36:15	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	83	15¢	$12	0xa8d67b…
03-08 15:35:39	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	55	35¢	$19	0xf459e8…
03-08 15:33:59	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x9c0080…
03-08 15:33:39	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0x3d49d7…
03-08 15:20:43	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x9836ec…
03-08 15:19:53	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x0aeea2…
03-08 15:11:59	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x72e60d…
03-08 15:11:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	47	32¢	$15	0x4f0029…
03-08 15:11:03	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	108	16¢	$17	0x3fd475…
03-08 14:58:27	will oman strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	190	3¢	$5	0xe103d7…
03-08 14:56:23	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	47	32¢	$15	0x972662…
03-08 14:54:33	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x182b23…
03-08 14:48:55	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x907c8d…