Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$446

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-25

last 10-28 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

50% 61% +$14

Other

39% 42% -$7

Tech

10% 25% -$4

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	+10	$6	100¢	$10	+$4	10-21 08:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$5	69¢	$7	+$2	10-20 07:00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+10	$6	63¢	$6	+$0	10-26 05:58
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	No	+9	$6	62¢	$6	$0	10-28 10:00
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	+9	$6	62¢	$6	$0	10-28 10:00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	+9	$6	60¢	$5	$0	10-27 04:42
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+6	$6	74¢	$4	-$1	10-21 14:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	1	$27	40	0	+40	No	-$27	07-26 05:34
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	1	$22	50	0	+50	No	-$22	08-03 16:47
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	1	$16	50	0	+50	Yes	+$34	08-03 16:47
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	1	$12	30	0	+30	No	-$12	09-02 11:58
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	1	$9	30	0	+30	No	-$9	09-02 11:58
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?	1	$9	37	0	+37	No	-$9	07-26 05:34
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	07-26 21:07
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?	2	$8	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	09-17 09:07
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	1	$7	20	0	+20	No	-$7	09-12 09:38
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	1	$7	21	0	+21	No	-$7	07-07 16:52
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	1	$7	20	0	+20	Yes	+$13	09-12 09:38
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	10-26 05:58
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	+$4	10-21 09:00
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$6	30	0	+30	open	—	10-21 11:00
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	10-21 08:00
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	+$4	10-18 11:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	1	$6	26	0	+26	No	-$6	10-11 07:00
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	10-28 07:00
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	10-28 09:00
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$6	37	0	+37	open	—	10-25 11:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	1	$6	21	0	+21	No	-$6	10-18 10:00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	10-28 07:00
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	10-04 13:24
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	10-21 09:00
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	1	$6	11	0	+11	No	+$5	10-24 06:00
Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	1	$6	11	0	+11	No	+$5	10-13 13:10
Will Jagrup Brar win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	1	$6	9	0	+9	No	+$3	10-21 10:00
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	10-28 10:00
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	10-28 09:00
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	1	$6	9	0	+9	No	+$3	10-25 12:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:00:14	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x99d1b0…
10-28 10:00:14	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x7f70b9…
10-28 09:00:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x350ff4…
10-28 09:00:14	Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xdea903…
10-28 08:00:17	Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xc221ff…
10-28 08:00:14	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x913769…
10-28 07:00:14	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xf1f3bb…
10-28 07:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xcb0f6e…
10-27 05:00:15	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd8fe45…
10-27 04:42:59	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x915725…
10-27 04:42:59	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x5f51f0…
10-26 09:00:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x46ef60…
10-26 05:58:03	Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x81cf4f…
10-26 05:58:03	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x29e290…
10-25 12:00:15	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x570ead…
10-25 12:00:15	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x10ceb4…
10-25 11:00:17	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9b27ab…
10-25 11:00:17	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0x94e2ce…
10-24 06:00:15	Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x13c2e4…
10-22 07:00:18	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x2d20b9…
10-21 14:00:14	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x37568b…
10-21 11:00:14	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xbd22a3…
10-21 10:00:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xab45c8…
10-21 10:00:15	Will Jagrup Brar win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xa81bee…
10-21 09:00:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x48ba22…
10-21 09:00:14	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x603202…
10-21 08:00:15	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa47cca…
10-21 08:00:14	Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x009c2f…
10-21 07:00:30	Will David Xie win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x1871a5…
10-20 07:00:13	Will Paul Choi win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbbf005…
10-20 07:00:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa092fd…
10-19 07:00:15	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xae5c59…
10-18 11:00:15	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x75c46d…
10-18 10:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x8eb15f…
10-18 10:00:14	Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x61c3c5…
10-18 07:00:15	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x95bb42…
10-16 07:00:15	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xda221c…
10-16 06:02:43	Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xce3d9f…
10-16 06:02:43	Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xba125a…
10-13 17:00:10	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbaa8d4…
10-13 13:10:16	Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x255875…
10-12 17:00:15	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0xef6d1f…
10-11 09:00:13	Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x69536c…
10-11 09:00:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x0018e2…
10-11 08:00:15	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x889cb7…
10-11 08:00:15	Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x4d52bf…
10-11 07:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x451b9a…
10-11 07:00:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x421537…
10-04 13:24:43	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xcde789…
10-04 13:24:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x4db0b3…
10-04 13:08:16	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x6628dc…
09-17 09:07:00	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xf4b051…
09-16 12:57:58	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x2a06c7…
09-12 09:38:04	Will USD be between 2.8M and 3.1M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xa725a7…
09-12 09:38:04	Will USD be at least 3.1M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x99cf70…
09-12 09:38:03	Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xaed1c2…
09-12 09:38:03	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9331bd…
09-12 09:38:03	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x6f5c93…
09-02 11:58:03	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xdcaa42…
09-02 11:58:03	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x6f20dc…
09-02 11:58:03	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x6a0cb5…
09-02 11:58:01	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x5fb420…
08-05 12:16:00	Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xcc624d…
08-05 12:16:00	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xa35e18…
08-05 12:16:00	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	51	9¢	$4	0x296413…
08-03 16:47:57	Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x707334…
08-03 16:47:56	Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x91b4ea…
07-26 21:07:57	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xead13c…
07-26 05:34:42	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?	Yes	BUY	37	23¢	$9	0xd72963…
07-26 05:34:42	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x8d4c50…
07-26 05:34:42	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x81ba81…
07-07 16:52:37	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x8a12ab…
06-25 12:42:17	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8f241d…