Keen-Gas — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

308

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$31.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$221

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-15 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 97% +$16

Other

46% 96% +$25

Sports

7% 100% +$6

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+236	$215	94¢	$221	+$6	10-15 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	13	$721	431	293	+138	Yes	+$1	04-12 17:05
Madrid Open, Qualification: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	9	$662	341	341	+0	Alina Charaeva	$0	04-20 09:39
mlb lad oak 2026 06 29	5	$496	252	252	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$1	06-30 04:06
bun dor aug 2026 03 14 dor	16	$488	250	250	+0	Yes	+$3	03-14 16:01
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	4	$391	197	197	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$2	04-20 18:24
mlb nym tor 2026 07 01	3	$300	150	150	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$0	07-01 22:04
spl ahl dam 2026 04 04 ahl	7	$281	189	95	+94	Yes	+$1	04-04 17:55
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?	5	$265	136	136	+0	Yes	+$1	05-31 17:15
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-17?	7	$260	232	232	+0	Yes	+$42	05-17 14:25
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	4	$249	126	126	+0	Yes	+$2	02-07 16:57
cwbb sfl ecar 2026 02 04	2	$245	123	123	+0	East Carolina Pirates	+$1	02-04 23:19
will the price of xrp be between 2pt40 2pt50 on january 26	3	$244	122	122	+0	No	+$0	01-26 02:36
cwbb ekent queen 2026 01 31	2	$243	122	122	+0	Eastern Kentucky Colonels	+$1	01-31 09:39
por spo cds 2026 04 03 spo	5	$235	120	120	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 21:28
solana above 120 on february 24	3	$232	116	116	+0	No	+$0	02-25 09:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 19	2	$230	115	115	+0	No	$0	01-19 05:56
solana above 60 on april 4	5	$230	115	115	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 17:01
cwbb ekent cark 2026 01 10	2	$227	114	114	+0	Eastern Kentucky Colonels	+$1	01-11 00:38
will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt70 on january 14	2	$224	112	112	+0	No	$0	01-13 23:04
cbb stetsn cark 2026 01 03	2	$218	109	109	+0	Central Arkansas Bears	+$0	01-03 23:27
Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on October 13?	1	$215	215	0	+215	No	+$0	10-11 06:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$215	236	0	+236	open	—	10-15 14:45
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-10-10?	2	$215	215	0	+215	Yes	+$0	10-10 15:42
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-10-10?	3	$214	214	0	+214	Yes	+$0	10-10 13:33
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on September 26?	1	$213	213	0	+213	No	+$0	09-25 19:18
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27?	3	$212	213	0	+213	Yes	+$1	09-27 17:48
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 b04	5	$210	150	150	+0	No	+$0	03-14 15:49
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 4?	1	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	08-01 21:11
Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 16?	1	$204	204	0	+204	No	+$0	07-14 19:48
ethereum above 2100 on july 2 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-01 22:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 14:45:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	236	91¢	$215	0x976ad3…
10-11 06:13:45	Will the price of Solana be greater than $170 on October 13?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x0202a0…
10-10 15:42:13	Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa69fd7…
10-10 15:38:42	Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x26092a…
10-10 13:33:12	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x9c5f00…
10-10 13:05:18	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x4ab872…
10-10 13:03:54	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xd33255…
10-08 18:30:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xd48184…
10-08 18:30:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe2c83a…
10-07 06:29:30	Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on October 8?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x44605c…
10-07 06:28:27	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x11a4f8…
10-07 06:27:48	Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on October 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcf932b…
10-07 06:27:36	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on October 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x32c7b4…
10-07 06:27:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on October 8?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xc32653…
10-04 21:15:14	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8ec8dc…
10-04 21:14:53	Will "My Child Has My Doctor's Face" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd7bcab…
10-04 21:12:56	Will "Outside: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xa2f74d…
10-01 18:07:56	Will StoryReel: Drama Shorts & TV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xa56561…
10-01 18:07:39	Will Momo: AI Photo & Video Maker be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x929935…
10-01 18:07:30	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x12c166…
09-29 15:42:18	Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on October 1?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x44f5e3…
09-27 17:48:44	Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xbc186a…
09-27 17:47:36	Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0xe570d6…
09-27 17:47:06	Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a028b…
09-25 19:18:02	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on September 26?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x22483e…
09-22 07:27:46	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xcdaf83…
09-22 07:27:36	Will "The One That Got Away - Katy Perry" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8e21c7…
09-22 07:27:19	Will "Ain't in LA - ADELA" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x96d63c…
09-20 10:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x412339…
09-20 10:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x137263…
09-18 07:24:54	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 19?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1f3179…
09-15 20:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 17?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x4561f9…
09-15 19:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5313ca…
09-14 04:15:27	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,900 on September 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe56ee3…
09-14 04:09:27	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 14?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x742862…
09-11 15:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 13?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x674393…
09-11 15:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x2ef364…
09-11 15:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x4f09cf…
09-09 02:30:03	Will Pocket God be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2187c2…
09-09 02:27:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 10?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xb232c2…
09-06 17:16:30	Will "The Prince of Egypt" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xce3791…
09-06 17:13:27	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x442dd2…
09-04 17:18:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on September 5?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xc7ced6…
09-04 17:18:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on September 5?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x982739…
09-02 18:30:48	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 4?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xff67fa…
09-02 18:30:19	Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 4?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x7d3c49…
08-29 17:09:31	ethereum above 2000 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0xc8b52c…
08-27 17:45:37	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0xdded64…
08-25 16:35:24	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x1a5c8b…
08-23 19:31:36	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 25?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xdc6a85…
08-22 03:45:12	ethereum above 1700 on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x9a0512…
08-22 03:41:27	xrp above 0pt8 on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x97699a…
08-22 03:41:19	xrp above 0pt9 on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x41c375…
08-22 03:40:33	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on August 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xac8137…
08-22 03:40:22	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 23?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4d20b1…
08-22 03:38:18	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x445f40…
08-20 03:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on August 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x927217…
08-20 02:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4ffff6…
08-17 19:14:57	ethereum above 2300 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x1b1847…
08-17 19:12:58	Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x1e1239…
08-15 18:10:24	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 17?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x4f4faa…
08-15 18:09:45	xrp above 0pt7 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xdfeee8…
08-15 18:09:27	xrp above 0pt6 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcd8f6e…
08-13 11:01:54	solana above 110 on august 15 2026	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x9c2fc2…
08-10 09:51:15	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 12?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x81b3b3…
08-10 09:50:00	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf310be…
08-10 09:48:19	xrp above 1pt5 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x089d2f…
08-07 11:55:03	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 9?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5d1b38…
08-05 06:54:59	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 6?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd5b858…
08-05 06:54:27	xrp above 0pt7 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x1af97d…
08-05 06:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x606ff3…
08-05 06:52:36	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on August 6?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xa2d398…
08-01 21:11:56	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 4?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xbef05a…
07-30 04:29:39	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x056cc3…
07-27 21:15:39	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 29?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9337b2…
07-27 21:15:10	xrp above 0pt8 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x79d65f…
07-27 21:15:00	xrp above 0pt7 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xd3bbb2…
07-25 21:10:57	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on July 27?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x707f49…
07-25 21:10:30	solana above 50 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x5b3408…
07-23 17:01:40	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 25?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x95a082…
07-21 17:41:07	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 23?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x211f5e…
07-21 17:40:45	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.70 on July 23?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x1b6154…
07-18 08:36:40	Will "Old Henry" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8c0cdd…
07-18 08:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa7cb81…
07-18 08:32:55	xrp above 0pt8 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x0d61db…
07-18 08:32:43	xrp above 0pt7 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x44bae6…
07-14 19:48:13	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 16?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xcbac8e…
07-12 16:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x1b2bb1…
07-09 18:18:04	aapl above 280 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xba0d25…
07-09 18:14:01	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.70 on July 11?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xa1704d…
07-07 19:21:11	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on July 9?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xef2143…
07-06 01:43:10	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 7?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x931ec1…
07-06 01:42:50	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on July 7?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x71c31b…
07-03 22:50:22	xrp above 0pt7 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xe34dc7…
07-03 22:49:29	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 5?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x6181b7…
07-03 22:49:17	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on July 5?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x7b30c9…
07-03 04:39:17	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26a6a4…
07-03 04:39:07	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ee0f4…
07-02 16:34:28	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9d71f5…
07-01 22:07:22	ethereum above 2100 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3ee5d3…