Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$987

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 04-20 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

65% 40% -$110

Politics

27% 59% +$68

Crypto

4% 50% -$7

Sports

2% 33% -$3

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$280	201	201	+0	Yes	-$39	03-24 19:02
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	7	$105	551	551	+0	Yes	+$56	02-27 22:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$74	1,818	0	+1,818	Yes	-$74	03-01 13:30
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	5	$48	220	220	+0	Yes	+$7	03-03 19:48
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$34	1,420	0	+1,420	No	-$34	02-24 13:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$21	552	552	+0	No	-$19	03-28 18:46
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$20	20	20	+0	No	+$4	03-01 17:48
will israel strike 1 countries in february 2026	1	$20	53	0	+53	No	+$33	02-27 22:55
will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-10 09:47
will crude oil cl hit high 70 by end of march 696 795 574 483 322 319 847	5	$19	494	220	+274	Yes	-$6	03-02 07:09
another gta vi trailer released by march 31	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-28 19:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	04-20 20:26
will the sp 500 index lose at least 4 on any day in q1	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-28 19:25
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$1	04-20 20:27
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$1	04-20 20:27
will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	02-23 17:57
will frankenstein win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	02-23 17:58
bitcoin above 68k on february 27	3	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	02-25 11:24
will trump say major non nato ally in february	4	$17	22	0	+22	No	+$4	02-24 22:26
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$17	2,505	0	+2,505	No	-$17	02-28 08:48
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$12	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-01 17:48
will parker posey win best actress in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	3	$12	100	0	+100	No	-$12	02-23 18:10
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	3	$12	24	24	+0	No	-$7	03-28 18:45
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$11	100	0	+100	Yes	-$11	02-23 17:56
will trump say knucklehead or numskull or numbskull in february	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	02-23 17:38
highest temperature in london on february 25 2026 19c	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	-$9	02-25 10:49
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	02-23 17:56
will trump say karoline or leavitt during the state of the union address 485	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	02-23 17:36
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$8	30	0	+30	Yes	-$8	03-02 14:22
will trump say golden dome this week march 1	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	02-25 11:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-20 20:27:16	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xf681a0…
04-20 20:27:08	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xb53dc9…
04-20 20:26:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcc184a…
04-12 17:18:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xfbf399…
04-10 09:47:05	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in march 892	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8e59bd…
03-28 21:27:10	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2eb659…
03-28 19:26:30	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x452de8…
03-28 19:25:54	will the sp 500 index lose at least 4 on any day in q1	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x600c3b…
03-28 18:47:41	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc6d37b…
03-28 18:46:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	552	0¢	$1	0xfcf15a…
03-28 18:45:41	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0xcc170d…
03-24 19:02:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	201	60¢	$121	0xaeaf05…
03-12 22:33:29	nba 2025 26 spg leader andrew nembhard	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaa5008…
03-03 19:51:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0xb7ef45…
03-03 19:48:41	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	No	SELL	220	12¢	$27	0xc42e71…
03-02 19:47:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe79a05…
03-02 14:30:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x84b97e…
03-02 14:22:55	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x9bc259…
03-02 14:22:27	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	No	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xa263c4…
03-02 14:22:17	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x697afd…
03-02 07:09:31	will crude oil cl hit high 70 by end of march 696 795 574 483 322 319 847	No	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x2316c7…
03-02 06:57:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x301890…
03-02 06:57:05	will crude oil cl hit high 70 by end of march 696 795 574 483 322 319 847	No	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0xda1f07…
03-02 06:44:49	will crude oil cl hit high 70 by end of march 696 795 574 483 322 319 847	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xbf5c60…
03-02 00:03:13	will crude oil cl hit high 70 by end of march 696 795 574 483 322 319 847	No	SELL	220	3¢	$7	0x9612a7…
03-01 17:49:29	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	No	BUY	90	5¢	$4	0xe7e047…
03-01 17:48:43	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xaccf15…
03-01 17:48:33	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xb79020…
03-01 14:31:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$0	0x36167d…
03-01 14:24:09	israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x005e3d…
03-01 14:19:41	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5a400e…
03-01 14:19:39	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4634b4…
03-01 13:50:35	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x580e7f…
03-01 13:48:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9d1ed5…
03-01 13:48:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xc2053c…
03-01 13:48:17	israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xbdbae5…
03-01 13:40:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xdeb64f…
03-01 13:32:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdf7327…
03-01 13:31:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x1070f5…
03-01 13:30:45	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x7e67c6…
03-01 13:08:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$4	0x6f4085…
03-01 13:04:19	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	No	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xa5892d…
03-01 13:04:07	will crude oil cl hit high 70 by end of march 696 795 574 483 322 319 847	No	BUY	220	2¢	$5	0xad7299…
03-01 13:03:07	israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xe95354…
03-01 13:03:01	israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa7b639…
03-01 13:01:57	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	Yes	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0xd91b38…
03-01 12:59:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	289	3¢	$10	0x4a3511…
02-28 08:56:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,122	4¢	$46	0x97f6ef…
02-28 08:55:39	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xbbda4d…
02-28 08:48:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x6254d1…
02-28 08:48:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x2f7ddd…
02-28 08:42:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0xfeb6a9…
02-28 08:39:57	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x611b9b…
02-28 08:23:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0xd758f5…
02-27 22:55:05	will israel strike 1 countries in february 2026	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xfdcf16…
02-27 22:36:31	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	551	15¢	$80	0xa846ae…
02-27 00:01:02	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xeb2d48…
02-27 00:01:02	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd2fee9…
02-27 00:01:02	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9addef…
02-27 00:01:02	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x511f2b…
02-27 00:01:02	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x4d4540…
02-27 00:01:02	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x41e812…
02-27 00:01:02	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1ea56d…
02-27 00:01:02	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x06dffe…
02-27 00:01:00	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe173b7…
02-26 20:48:50	will bitcoin outperform silver in february 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc23d89…
02-26 20:48:34	will bitcoin outperform silver in february 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x079bd5…
02-26 20:47:46	french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2a1f29…
02-26 16:43:12	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x6fee83…
02-25 11:52:22	highest temperature in ankara on february 25 2026 7c	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5a2960…
02-25 11:28:28	will trump say transgender this week march 1	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa8c39b…
02-25 11:27:52	will trump say golden dome this week march 1	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xe81f63…
02-25 11:24:18	bitcoin above 68k on february 27	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x028bbf…
02-25 11:24:16	bitcoin above 68k on february 27	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x3abf64…
02-25 10:55:48	tsla above 420 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xce931c…
02-25 10:55:02	bitcoin above 68k on february 27	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x162cc1…
02-25 10:53:18	highest temperature in toronto on february 25 2026 1c	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xaeaf95…
02-25 10:49:32	highest temperature in london on february 25 2026 19c	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8cf60b…
02-24 22:26:22	will trump say major non nato ally in february	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6957da…
02-24 21:36:50	will trump say major non nato ally in february	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb9d2f7…
02-24 18:08:10	will mark ballas win the traitors us season 4	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0xa27a0b…
02-24 13:49:22	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0xc5e1e6…
02-24 13:28:06	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x900835…
02-24 13:13:50	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$6	0x569852…
02-24 13:11:46	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	106	6¢	$7	0x8e892c…
02-24 13:08:16	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2ad6eb…
02-24 12:59:08	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xf66d25…
02-24 12:59:00	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	304	2¢	$7	0x9d0263…
02-24 12:59:00	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9411eb…
02-24 12:59:00	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x41a8d8…
02-24 12:58:22	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x280892…
02-24 12:57:00	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0xa9e6f2…
02-24 12:51:42	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xdd08cc…
02-24 10:33:52	will trump say major non nato ally in february	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x7bd4d1…
02-23 18:11:22	will mark ballas win the traitors us season 4	Yes	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0xe0310e…
02-23 18:10:56	will parker posey win best actress in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xa5269c…
02-23 18:10:46	will parker posey win best actress in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0x638007…
02-23 18:10:46	will parker posey win best actress in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0x4fdd18…
02-23 18:10:24	will mark ballas win the traitors us season 4	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x45af57…
02-23 18:10:00	will mark ballas win the traitors us season 4	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xcfaef8…