Few-Sophomore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$296

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$28.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-04-19

last 11-04 01:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

72% 71% -$391

Other

28% 82% +$687

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes		+16	$15	98¢	$16	+$1	11-04 01:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$5.8K	3,427	3,419	+8	Yes	-$3	04-23 08:08
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$4.6K	2,539	2,895	-356	Yes	+$584	06-21 21:42
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	1	$2.9K	3,415	0	+3,415	Yes	+$551	04-23 09:06
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?	9	$1.5K	975	975	+0	No	-$107	05-31 21:40
Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	10	$1.2K	952	952	+0	Yes	-$509	05-31 21:40
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	18	$1.0K	1,819	1,819	+0	No	-$995	05-17 20:46
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 2pt5	2	$993	747	747	+0	France	-$7	06-30 22:09
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	3	$983	945	308	+637	France	+$134	07-14 20:33
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$894	1,038	0	+1,038	Yes	+$144	10-29 13:57
Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$420	439	0	+439	Yes	+$19	10-29 11:39
Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?	5	$380	477	0	+477	Yes	+$97	09-06 20:17
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$367	404	404	+0	No	-$309	10-29 13:48
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	4	$352	383	0	+383	SPD	+$31	09-06 20:17
Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	6	$334	572	140	+432	Yes	+$144	09-20 19:19
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	1	$330	362	0	+362	Yes	+$32	10-05 04:58
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	1	$330	360	0	+360	No	+$30	10-05 04:59
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	1	$229	263	0	+263	Yes	+$34	10-25 23:11
Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$226	247	0	+247	Yes	+$21	10-28 08:01
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	3	$225	290	0	+290	Yes	+$65	09-13 21:10
Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?	1	$200	225	0	+225	Under	+$25	09-20 19:07
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$200	213	0	+213	Yes	+$13	10-29 09:49
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	3	$187	136	136	+0	Yes	-$1	09-20 20:41
Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$182	256	0	+256	Yes	+$74	10-28 08:07
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	3	$179	208	0	+208	Yes	+$29	10-04 21:21
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	2	$175	108	108	+0	Yes	-$25	05-17 20:46
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	2	$169	130	130	+0	Yes	-$31	05-31 21:40
Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	3	$160	223	107	+115	Yes	-$27	09-20 19:45
Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$159	90	90	+0	No	+$13	09-20 20:42
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	1	$151	184	0	+184	Yes	+$33	09-20 19:08
Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	2	$150	173	0	+173	Yes	+$23	09-13 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:21:06	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xe543bf…
10-29 13:57:14	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1,038	86¢	$894	0x01f702…
10-29 13:48:20	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	404	7¢	$29	0x5a1dda…
10-29 11:39:49	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	439	96¢	$420	0xc15e12…
10-29 09:49:29	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xb86273…
10-29 07:53:40	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb9614c…
10-29 07:52:41	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x8f2e44…
10-29 06:55:29	Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0xc3245d…
10-29 02:20:14	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x85e07e…
10-28 22:01:17	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x0f7ae9…
10-28 21:47:13	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x935f9c…
10-28 21:46:50	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x1d1a9d…
10-28 21:26:29	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xad6384…
10-28 20:40:29	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	62	91¢	$57	0x85ac85…
10-28 20:38:59	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0xf59c10…
10-28 20:37:40	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	404	84¢	$338	0xf610a4…
10-28 10:01:58	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xd0709a…
10-28 08:07:22	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	56	73¢	$41	0x17a045…
10-28 08:05:05	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	38	73¢	$28	0x570862…
10-28 08:04:04	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	162	70¢	$113	0xb6e048…
10-28 08:01:32	Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	124	91¢	$113	0x734d3e…
10-28 03:58:37	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xf397c9…
10-28 03:19:19	Will The Democrats win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x343f3a…
10-28 03:17:57	Will Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	123	92¢	$113	0x4d527a…
10-28 03:17:31	Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	123	92¢	$113	0x5428c7…
10-25 23:19:33	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0xf7e1fe…
10-25 23:17:35	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	119	72¢	$86	0xa21dfd…
10-25 23:11:15	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	263	87¢	$229	0x5f7931…
10-25 23:05:20	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	76	88¢	$67	0x19e332…
10-25 22:36:42	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	71	90¢	$64	0x46e719…
10-05 15:08:47	Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	96	93¢	$90	0x4f1984…
10-05 11:30:19	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	85	92¢	$78	0x5247c6…
10-05 09:06:50	Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x919883…
10-05 07:56:46	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x23c038…
10-05 05:53:53	Will Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	No	BUY	128	86¢	$110	0x0a7cd0…
10-05 05:53:38	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0x80dbd3…
10-05 05:53:01	Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	105	93¢	$97	0x28daa3…
10-05 04:59:49	Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc49ec1…
10-05 04:59:13	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	BUY	360	92¢	$330	0x1a0f6c…
10-05 04:58:43	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	362	91¢	$330	0xda810f…
10-05 04:56:13	Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	No	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x89d36c…
10-05 04:56:05	Will Renato Casagrande win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xa94a3d…
10-04 22:45:02	Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0xbbb4bd…
10-04 22:44:31	Will André Moura win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0x8e142f…
10-04 22:37:58	Will Renato Casagrande win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x304b46…
10-04 22:37:05	Will Coronel Hélio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x5c8dda…
10-04 22:33:17	Will Eduardo Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc14637…
10-04 22:32:38	Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	No	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x2dc468…
10-04 21:56:01	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x98905b…
10-04 21:45:49	Will Maguinha Malta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	No	BUY	98	74¢	$72	0x71d631…
10-04 21:43:53	Will Maguinha Malta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	No	BUY	52	73¢	$38	0x658ea4…
10-04 21:21:25	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xb6e858…
10-04 21:17:38	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	BUY	59	86¢	$51	0x9d4639…
10-04 21:16:10	Will Gleisi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xef326c…
10-04 21:15:59	Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0xa1667b…
10-04 21:05:44	Will the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6b6530…
10-04 20:59:49	Will Eduardo Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	No	BUY	116	90¢	$104	0xbce596…
10-04 20:57:55	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	BUY	128	86¢	$110	0xba8d28…
10-03 23:55:46	Will the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x571497…
09-20 20:42:07	Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0x78b7d2…
09-20 20:41:50	Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	136	68¢	$93	0x841d54…
09-20 20:31:16	Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	126	71¢	$89	0xfb5c58…
09-20 20:21:25	Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x6623cf…
09-20 20:07:44	Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	120	92¢	$111	0x183269…
09-20 19:45:22	Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$101	0x1cf21d…
09-20 19:39:58	Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0x741afd…
09-20 19:37:41	Will AfD win 23-25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	105	86¢	$90	0x2ad8d2…
09-20 19:19:52	Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	155	91¢	$140	0x68b00b…
09-20 19:19:16	Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x040119…
09-20 19:16:41	Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	90	81¢	$73	0x5b83e0…
09-20 19:15:31	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?	Under	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xf159e9…
09-20 19:14:31	Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xe5619c…
09-20 19:11:01	Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	88	68¢	$60	0xb4766f…
09-20 19:10:11	Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xe85fc8…
09-20 19:09:28	Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf14ba3…
09-20 19:08:29	Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	184	82¢	$151	0x458e7c…
09-20 19:07:14	Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?	Under	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x6499ea…
09-20 19:06:05	Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0xff857c…
09-20 19:05:02	Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	137	37¢	$50	0x1135ec…
09-20 19:04:01	Will CDU win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xb76b87…
09-20 19:03:37	Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	107	8¢	$9	0x46e38b…
09-20 19:03:20	Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	140	16¢	$23	0x83506b…
09-20 19:03:08	Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	273	2¢	$5	0x9b1625…
09-20 18:54:40	Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x029d73…
09-20 18:53:25	Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0x6baaae…
09-20 18:51:02	Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	199	19¢	$37	0xa23914…
09-20 18:18:34	Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x172eed…
09-20 18:17:28	Will CDU win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	125	15¢	$19	0x288510…
09-16 19:42:06	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0xa7c95e…
09-13 21:10:13	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xd7da2f…
09-13 21:08:10	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x83b418…
09-13 20:29:30	Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xd36a35…
09-13 20:27:42	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x925bfa…
09-13 20:16:48	Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	116	87¢	$100	0xdccf8c…
09-13 20:14:12	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xaeb4d2…
09-13 20:12:03	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd61e90…
09-13 20:11:58	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x3ace56…
09-13 20:09:28	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xd67652…
09-13 20:06:12	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x5358eb…
09-13 20:04:54	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x13ddd2…