Bumpy-Owl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

1,843

Trades

145,803

lifetime

Volume

$1.65M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-28 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Other

100% 19% +$38,376

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 0% -$8

Politics

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	17	$63.9K	60,528	17,685	+42,842	No	+$251	02-17 11:31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	18	$62.6K	66,667	7,039	+59,629	No	+$62	04-30 12:40
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	147	$54.2K	63,976	3,928	+60,048	Yes	+$7,937	04-14 17:36
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	9	$53.0K	53,041	0	+53,041	No	+$68	03-21 13:14
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	2	$50.0K	50,000	3,000	+47,000	No	+$55	03-13 12:49
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	52	$50.0K	50,000	3,000	+47,000	No	+$53	03-13 07:08
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	53	$47.9K	55,187	12,187	+43,000	No	+$143	02-13 06:47
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	160	$46.9K	50,767	0	+50,767	No	+$126	03-24 12:26
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	64	$45.2K	47,261	500	+46,761	No	+$335	02-27 08:20
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	100	$44.0K	45,895	1,189	+44,706	No	-$22	02-20 06:54
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	91	$43.7K	54,167	4,429	+49,738	No	+$288	02-20 11:55
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	116	$42.5K	50,783	3,639	+47,144	No	-$40	02-10 12:52
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	274	$41.4K	64,677	30,249	+34,428	No	+$1,257	03-03 14:14
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	47	$41.3K	49,179	12,179	+37,000	No	+$75	02-10 05:04
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	55	$40.4K	40,480	0	+40,480	No	+$40	04-20 09:58
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	79	$34.7K	35,768	2,454	+33,314	No	+$785	03-31 10:35
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	53	$33.5K	50,618	13,611	+37,007	No	+$866	02-07 05:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	12	$28.8K	28,894	0	+28,894	No	+$52	08-28 09:32
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	102	$25.6K	33,848	528	+33,320	No	+$664	04-07 08:38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	113	$23.1K	28,902	24,084	+4,818	Yes	+$6,860	05-22 13:48
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	27	$20.8K	20,500	500	+20,000	No	+$115	01-24 16:49
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	105	$20.3K	23,833	6,131	+17,702	No	+$87	01-16 06:11
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 140 164	20	$19.9K	19,890	0	+19,890	No	+$20	01-17 12:29
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	5	$19.7K	23,001	6,287	+16,714	No	-$13	06-06 06:31
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	156	$16.4K	20,387	7,491	+12,896	No	+$77	01-13 08:52
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 65 89	15	$15.2K	16,113	999	+15,113	No	+$74	01-21 12:15
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	11	$15.2K	16,294	4,364	+11,930	No	-$16	01-09 08:24
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 440 459	18	$13.3K	20,478	12,778	+7,700	No	-$198	01-02 08:14
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	169	$10.4K	19,094	4,112	+14,982	Yes	+$279	02-17 14:13
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 0 19	15	$9.6K	6,282	3,282	+3,000	No	+$3	01-13 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 09:32:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0xb16aa0…
08-28 09:31:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x482254…
08-28 09:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4,735	100¢	$4,726	0x3c0154…
08-28 09:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xab00a6…
08-28 09:30:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xa16975…
08-28 09:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xf588d2…
08-28 09:28:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xa39741…
08-28 08:03:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb7e6f0…
08-28 07:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2,438	100¢	$2,433	0x39d1f4…
08-28 06:35:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xa42d5f…
08-28 06:05:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,106	0x1a3ea6…
08-28 05:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	8,561	100¢	$8,553	0x130f50…
08-28 05:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5,894	100¢	$5,888	0x884a3d…
08-06 02:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	578	0¢	$2	0xa36359…
08-06 02:34:54	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0xc6564f…
07-30 03:46:11	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xb3f525…
07-28 05:38:16	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd41ab2…
07-28 05:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x624ce9…
07-24 09:24:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,230	100¢	$1,229	0x7436de…
07-24 08:15:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	4,345	100¢	$4,341	0x8be7cf…
07-22 12:57:57	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	520	0¢	$1	0x5dee6f…
07-22 12:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x3a3835…
07-22 12:54:28	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,145	0¢	$3	0xda45ca…
07-22 12:54:12	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0xe94463…
07-22 12:53:58	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	1¢	$1	0x089f90…
07-22 09:54:36	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	538	0¢	$1	0x2bcec7…
07-22 09:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	439	0¢	$2	0x37ea26…
07-21 07:19:16	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x5ffc8e…
07-17 16:39:40	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x23f06a…
07-17 02:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	4¢	$8	0x78ae91…
07-09 02:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x4a3712…
07-09 02:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xd74aa8…
07-09 02:09:40	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0xc8e6a9…
07-08 13:07:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x7c0c69…
07-08 13:07:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	334	0¢	$1	0x638daf…
07-08 03:22:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x7675cc…
07-07 23:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xdee8cf…
07-07 23:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	4¢	$6	0xa5fff1…
07-07 12:33:55	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe08f8d…
07-07 12:23:22	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0xd15b1a…
07-07 02:53:28	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xb4e11c…
07-07 02:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x294fcf…
07-06 12:49:29	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4fa71a…
07-06 12:47:11	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	505	0¢	$1	0x426ea8…
07-05 07:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	4¢	$3	0x058954…
07-05 07:49:29	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	335	24¢	$80	0xde6563…
07-05 04:43:20	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	22¢	$15	0xb3a46c…
07-05 04:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	22¢	$21	0x18d5d5…
07-05 04:39:40	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	22¢	$20	0xdc6418…
07-05 04:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	22¢	$21	0xd02a80…
07-05 04:37:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	22¢	$20	0x5286ee…
07-05 04:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x7f6833…
07-05 04:35:35	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xeebf05…
07-05 04:34:16	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	22¢	$21	0x0741c8…
07-05 04:32:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0xb1e563…
07-05 02:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x936883…
07-04 12:24:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$7	0xf81c53…
07-04 12:24:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$3	0x6ee6bb…
07-04 11:33:53	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	3¢	$6	0xd0f5b4…
07-04 06:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	341	3¢	$11	0xd95113…
07-04 05:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0xfb5a6f…
07-04 05:41:59	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	3¢	$6	0x143fff…
07-04 04:20:58	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x4bb118…
07-04 04:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	616	0¢	$2	0xca2a69…
07-04 03:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xbf6faa…
07-04 03:23:50	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xf6f51f…
07-04 02:17:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	2¢	$2	0x7c18bf…
07-04 02:17:47	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x1b4ac3…
07-04 02:12:38	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xa8420e…
07-02 02:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0x769cf8…
07-02 02:03:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0xaa31c1…
07-02 02:02:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xe928a5…
07-02 02:01:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0xd934d6…
07-02 01:59:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	0¢	$0	0xe867e9…
07-02 01:58:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	0¢	$0	0xfcfa50…
07-02 01:52:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x54d383…
07-02 01:49:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xdcaba0…
07-02 01:49:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0x5e580f…
07-02 01:47:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x3836ad…
07-02 01:46:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0x3682b7…
07-02 01:40:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x95ea71…
07-02 01:36:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0x32392b…
07-02 01:36:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x1e2d2d…
07-02 01:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0xa58413…
07-02 01:28:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x4d41b7…
07-02 01:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xcf6f77…
07-02 01:25:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0x157d40…
07-02 01:24:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0xe0c436…
07-02 01:21:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	0¢	$0	0x833ada…
07-02 01:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x20889d…
07-02 01:11:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0xd28517…
07-02 01:09:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0x3aeaf0…
07-02 01:07:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x5a5108…
07-02 01:06:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	0¢	$0	0xd79978…
07-02 01:04:49	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	0¢	$0	0x416b45…
07-02 01:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x1e01f1…
07-02 01:03:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	0¢	$0	0x0b64a9…
07-02 01:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	0¢	$0	0x728290…
07-02 00:56:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0xf4bbae…
07-02 00:56:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0x84f5bc…