Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

16.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$107

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-20 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

82% 75% -$35

Crypto

9% 0% -$10

Sports

4% 0% -$2

Tech

3% — —

Other

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+16	$2	14¢	$2	+$0	10-15 17:06
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	+2	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	09-29 17:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	56¢	$1	+$0	10-05 19:30
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+11	$1	7¢	$1	$0	09-29 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 14:31:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x153dc8…
10-15 17:06:25	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x44950a…
10-15 17:04:01	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd4685c…
10-05 19:30:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5fd436…
10-02 13:57:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xf5325f…
09-29 19:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x96f496…
09-29 19:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9da9f7…
09-29 18:08:06	Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xae9ab6…
09-29 18:06:29	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x865926…
09-29 17:37:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x1ff64e…
09-29 17:33:51	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc1d31b…
09-29 17:30:02	Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7dfa51…
09-29 17:29:11	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeee075…
09-29 17:27:11	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x126821…
09-29 17:22:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7a5bd6…
09-29 17:22:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5bf109…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$72	104	+104	No	-$72	10-20 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$10	23	+23	Up	-$10	09-29 19:56
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$10	42	+42	No	+$32	09-29 18:06
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	1	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	09-29 18:08
Thunder vs. Rockets	1	$2	3	+3	Rockets	-$2	10-15 17:04
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$2	16	+16	open	—	10-15 17:06
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-29 17:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	09-29 17:33
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	09-29 17:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	10-05 19:30
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?	1	$1	11	+11	open	—	09-29 17:30
will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-29 17:27