Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-02 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-18

Politics

27% 100% +$24

Tech

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+160	$80	42¢	$66	$-14	06-05 13:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$977	600	599	+1	open	—	04-24 06:21
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$352	216	216	+0	open	—	04-24 03:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$342	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 03:21
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	4	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 11:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$242	0	243	-243	open	—	07-02 16:07
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$219	300	0	+300	open	—	04-03 12:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$126	300	0	+300	open	—	01-06 07:36
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	1	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	04-19 13:41
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$80	160	0	+160	open	—	06-05 13:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$76	100	0	+100	No	+$24	05-04 11:51
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	05-04 11:55
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$18	30	0	+30	No	$-18	05-04 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 16:07:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$242	0x3227ee…
06-05 13:59:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	158	50¢	$79	0xded4c6…
06-05 13:59:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x18df1d…
05-15 11:34:44	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xf036a1…
05-04 11:57:52	Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xf8c5d0…
05-04 11:55:38	Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x0fedb0…
05-04 11:51:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x29427f…
05-04 11:50:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x350bc3…
05-04 11:50:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x6e8084…
05-04 11:50:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	28	76¢	$22	0xe59feb…
04-24 06:21:40	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	599	95¢	$569	0x02e133…
04-24 03:22:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	216	94¢	$202	0xaddab6…
04-24 03:21:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x163ee7…
04-22 07:28:44	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	60¢	$94	0xe605af…
04-21 16:52:14	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	60¢	$22	0xfbd95a…
04-21 12:48:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xf3b95e…
04-21 12:25:32	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0c16c4…
04-20 13:56:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	216	70¢	$150	0x09823b…
04-19 18:08:48	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	68¢	$66	0x5a38b6…
04-19 17:49:10	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x66481d…
04-19 16:48:08	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$19	0xbe9f77…
04-19 16:48:04	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	68¢	$75	0x7793d9…
04-19 16:48:02	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	68¢	$122	0x1384ea…
04-19 16:47:56	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	68¢	$22	0x3150c9…
04-19 14:10:58	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	68¢	$37	0xd60e4a…
04-19 14:10:58	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0x6d903f…
04-19 14:10:58	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x28ad30…
04-19 13:41:34	spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x37169d…
04-03 12:08:07	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0x84445e…
04-03 12:05:59	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x2eb879…
04-03 11:31:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	52	73¢	$38	0x82164f…
01-06 07:36:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x186f32…