Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.19K

Unrealized P&L

+$721

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$36.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

$7.44K

8 positions

First seen

2026-08-26

last 11-11 00:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

58% 73% -$3,552

Other

27% 38% -$1,635

Sports

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+5,300	$3,233	76¢	$4.1K	+$822	09-30 20:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+8,000	$1,454	18¢	$1.5K	-$2	11-05 07:41
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+4,200	$616	14¢	$567	-$49	10-24 17:28
Will Alice Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	+500	$455	97¢	$487	+$32	11-10 04:25
Will Alice Huang be arrested by March 31, 2027?	No	+412	$354	92¢	$377	+$23	11-10 04:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+1,500	$90	20¢	$292	+$202	10-21 11:36
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,500	$514	6¢	$210	-$304	11-05 11:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$6	34¢	$3	-$3	09-19 06:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	16	$6.5K	6,086	2,486	+3,600	No	-$3,245	10-22 15:16
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	10	$3.2K	5,300	0	+5,300	open	—	09-30 20:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$2.6K	3,200	0	+3,200	Yes	+$590	10-14 12:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$2.5K	2,800	0	+2,800	Yes	+$268	10-15 04:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	21	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	11-11 00:48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$2.0K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$176	10-22 01:07
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	8	$1.8K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	-$1,814	10-28 00:48
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$1.7K	6,000	4,500	+1,500	open	—	10-21 11:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$1.6K	2,689	0	+2,689	Yes	+$1,125	09-29 13:35
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	34	$1.5K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$1,510	10-26 06:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	13	$1.5K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	11-05 07:41
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	3	$1.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	10-22 15:19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	9	$1.2K	1,700	0	+1,700	No	-$1,227	10-03 14:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$1.2K	870	870	+0	open	—	10-09 18:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	66	$1.1K	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	10-27 02:20
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	4	$616	4,200	0	+4,200	open	—	10-24 17:28
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	1	$600	1,017	0	+1,017	No	+$417	09-29 14:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	11	$514	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	11-05 11:15
Will Alice Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026?	1	$455	500	0	+500	open	—	11-10 04:25
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	1	$406	700	0	+700	Yes	+$294	09-28 16:10
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	9	$394	4,299	0	+4,299	No	-$394	08-28 06:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$379	620	0	+620	Yes	+$241	09-29 13:51
Will Alice Huang be arrested by March 31, 2027?	1	$354	412	0	+412	open	—	11-10 04:29
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$346	560	0	+560	No	+$214	09-29 12:04
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	12	$323	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$323	10-12 11:52
cnn politico or ms now unbanned from white house by september 30	3	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	09-24 05:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	09-19 06:33
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	+$5	09-19 04:36
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	09-19 07:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	10	0	+10	No	-$3	09-19 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 00:48:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	380	87¢	$331	0x1044eb…
11-10 04:29:54	Will Alice Huang be arrested by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	412	86¢	$354	0xbc109c…
11-10 04:25:03	Will Alice Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x185f17…
11-10 00:54:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xbc4397…
11-10 00:54:01	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	179	65¢	$116	0x06d243…
11-10 00:48:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	201	65¢	$131	0xbee1fc…
11-10 00:37:06	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	55	65¢	$36	0x3d2ba5…
11-10 00:35:49	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	1,177	65¢	$765	0xc54a33…
11-05 19:00:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x8fbe40…
11-05 18:59:48	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf064b…
11-05 18:58:16	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	89	50¢	$44	0xc3cf37…
11-05 18:55:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0x19b0ba…
11-05 18:54:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	196	50¢	$98	0xa7ad81…
11-05 18:53:43	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	51	50¢	$25	0x8a6aac…
11-05 18:52:46	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb4eb85…
11-05 18:47:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x6416c3…
11-05 18:45:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x5f6b17…
11-05 18:31:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc3c8f7…
11-05 18:28:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0xfdfb5f…
11-05 18:22:40	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	109	50¢	$54	0x90bf9a…
11-05 18:18:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	325	50¢	$162	0x0382e3…
11-05 18:16:46	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xfa4c7d…
11-05 18:15:10	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe89474…
11-05 11:15:10	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0xf7bdc0…
11-05 07:41:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$37	0x875791…
11-05 01:03:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	9¢	$15	0x8bd4da…
11-04 15:49:13	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	71	19¢	$13	0x1ac48c…
11-04 09:55:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x478974…
11-04 09:55:01	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	129	19¢	$24	0xd8bb3b…
11-03 05:32:13	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	7¢	$23	0x0319e9…
10-31 03:13:30	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,500	20¢	$308	0xfa951c…
10-30 03:08:48	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,500	18¢	$445	0xdd9602…
10-29 14:36:32	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$88	0x515976…
10-29 14:35:41	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	400	18¢	$70	0x452ed4…
10-29 13:24:02	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x684eaa…
10-29 13:16:53	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	18¢	$30	0xecf4bd…
10-29 13:15:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x07edeb…
10-29 08:06:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$173	0x298782…
10-29 07:15:40	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,230	17¢	$212	0xb29b8e…
10-28 00:48:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0xca3b21…
10-28 00:47:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x802b8f…
10-27 06:21:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x00f779…
10-27 06:18:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	59	72¢	$42	0x8af461…
10-27 06:18:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	540	72¢	$389	0x058c41…
10-27 06:17:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x2054eb…
10-27 06:16:45	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x5ade3e…
10-27 06:16:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,200	72¢	$864	0xb5923b…
10-27 02:20:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	677	55¢	$369	0x88e943…
10-27 02:19:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x3682b3…
10-27 02:17:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	158	55¢	$86	0xf66be2…
10-27 02:17:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x649f32…
10-27 02:08:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe0a4b1…
10-27 01:58:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xd777e0…
10-27 01:56:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	87	55¢	$48	0x315094…
10-26 06:46:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x61584f…
10-26 06:44:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xad8833…
10-26 06:43:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xc780e0…
10-26 06:43:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	93	10¢	$10	0x8061e6…
10-26 06:42:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x85e5a8…
10-26 06:41:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x31eea8…
10-26 06:04:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9b8baa…
10-26 06:04:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2e5e38…
10-26 06:04:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf71382…
10-26 06:04:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe8046b…
10-26 06:04:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xaaf0ff…
10-26 06:04:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	810	54¢	$441	0xd2df3c…
10-26 06:04:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfea79d…
10-26 06:04:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe40bb5…
10-26 06:04:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd81773…
10-26 06:04:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9293c4…
10-26 06:04:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x636c39…
10-26 06:03:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6dd08d…
10-26 06:03:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x456cb1…
10-26 06:03:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x28df72…
10-26 06:03:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd8ef0a…
10-26 06:03:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2bebdf…
10-26 06:02:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdb22ec…
10-26 06:02:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb79212…
10-26 06:02:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8b1968…
10-26 06:02:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8771f2…
10-26 06:02:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x65561b…
10-26 06:00:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x52b356…
10-26 05:59:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x578a42…
10-26 05:59:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xdd0f55…
10-26 05:56:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x895435…
10-26 05:54:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc1e1b9…
10-26 05:54:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa8f09a…
10-26 05:53:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x145bfb…
10-26 05:53:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8f7989…
10-26 05:53:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5646e9…
10-26 05:52:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcc1643…
10-26 05:52:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x96532f…
10-26 05:52:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3cdc47…
10-26 05:52:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x09b41f…
10-26 05:52:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4bff68…
10-26 05:52:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xda9dcc…
10-26 05:52:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb6f958…
10-26 05:52:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa8a5b3…
10-26 05:52:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4f6ed1…
10-26 05:51:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe1161c…