Doting-Clip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$597

Unrealized P&L

+$77

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

Trades

695

lifetime

Volume

$25.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$171

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 11-05 07:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

92% 59% +$703

Politics

6% 40% -$103

Pop-Culture

2% 75% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	—	+151	$69	74¢	$111	+$41	10-21 05:37
Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No		+100	$31	30¢	$30	-$2	10-31 14:44
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes		+200	-$13	14¢	$27	+$40	10-12 20:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes		+200	$6	2¢	$4	-$2	10-28 23:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	19	$2.4K	1,298	1,298	+0	Yes	+$54	09-15 02:45
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	7	$1.7K	895	895	+0	Yes	+$86	03-16 02:35
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	16	$1.7K	1,142	1,142	+0	Yes	+$306	05-16 23:52
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	18	$1.5K	1,235	1,235	+0	No	-$6	03-16 01:09
will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	14	$866	599	500	+100	No	-$84	03-15 23:59
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	12	$785	551	551	+0	Yes	+$76	05-16 22:14
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	25	$775	544	544	+0	Yes	+$75	05-16 23:52
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	13	$731	499	499	+0	No	+$120	09-15 01:17
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	30	$673	2,032	2,032	+0	No	+$117	05-16 22:33
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$645	450	450	+0	No	+$64	05-13 14:36
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	15	$557	1,600	1,400	+200	open	—	10-12 20:33
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	18	$479	425	425	+0	No	-$57	05-16 22:33
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	7	$476	300	300	+0	No	+$85	05-16 23:52
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	11	$475	342	342	+0	No	+$6	05-14 11:32
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	7	$464	300	300	+0	open	—	10-27 04:51
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	7	$441	391	291	+100	Yes	-$46	05-12 14:35
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	18	$437	400	400	+0	Yes	+$68	05-16 23:52
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	8	$383	450	450	+0	No	+$35	05-16 22:14
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	14	$357	493	400	+93	No	-$77	05-16 18:07
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	10	$354	400	250	+151	open	—	10-21 05:37
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	15	$351	250	250	+0	Yes	-$18	05-15 11:40
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	13	$334	400	100	+300	No	-$196	05-16 15:49
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	3	$323	200	200	+0	Yes	+$23	09-15 01:37
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	4	$310	160	160	+0	Yes	+$1	03-13 00:47
Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	3	$309	167	167	+0	Yes	+$25	09-07 03:56
Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	7	$291	331	46	+286	Yes	+$59	09-07 02:03
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	26	$282	636	515	+120	Yes	-$76	05-14 19:49
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	8	$271	500	0	+500	open	—	10-28 06:58
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	3	$271	150	150	+0	Yes	+$25	10-02 02:17
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$269	164	164	+0	No	+$58	05-16 23:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 07:45:52	Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x82fb5f…
11-05 01:00:00	Will "By Any Means" from By Any Means be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x909926…
11-05 00:59:37	Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x50582e…
11-03 14:37:01	Will "By Any Means" from By Any Means be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xd096da…
11-03 14:36:36	Will "By Any Means" from By Any Means be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xd8fa33…
11-03 14:35:40	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x8e69f1…
11-03 12:34:09	Will "By Any Means" from By Any Means be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xd48564…
11-03 12:33:54	Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x7becd9…
11-03 12:32:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xf4f76d…
11-03 03:21:01	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0x4c4ba0…
11-03 02:24:01	Will "By Any Means" from By Any Means be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x3a2950…
11-03 02:23:39	Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xd9a9cd…
11-02 14:00:54	Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x9ac944…
11-01 07:12:55	Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x966633…
11-01 07:12:42	Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$7	0x3e43bf…
10-31 14:44:52	Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x0d26c6…
10-31 14:40:46	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xab6f09…
10-31 14:40:27	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xbabbd6…
10-31 14:40:01	Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x5e9cb7…
10-28 23:13:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x7d0f66…
10-28 07:04:04	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xb0f592…
10-28 06:58:16	Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x087c76…
10-28 06:57:49	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x41a8ae…
10-28 04:05:11	Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x79d817…
10-28 04:04:02	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x12ea31…
10-28 04:03:16	Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xd722f7…
10-27 04:55:27	Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	51	63¢	$32	0x884cd8…
10-27 04:52:38	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x15c74b…
10-27 04:51:42	Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xe05bd5…
10-27 04:51:12	Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	150	88¢	$132	0x1881e5…
10-26 15:22:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xa2c2f5…
10-26 08:41:21	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xf0fdc1…
10-26 07:59:24	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x647a65…
10-26 05:11:54	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb8dabf…
10-26 05:11:08	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x190b20…
10-26 03:34:27	Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xc97b7a…
10-26 03:33:41	Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xf756eb…
10-26 03:30:57	Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x965245…
10-24 23:21:32	Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x04da18…
10-24 23:21:12	Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	49	59¢	$29	0xb75616…
10-24 02:31:20	Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x67e826…
10-22 05:14:24	Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x503193…
10-22 04:59:06	Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x3c3e98…
10-22 04:58:23	Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xc66b0d…
10-22 04:57:47	Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x96457b…
10-21 09:02:35	Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x0d89f2…
10-21 08:57:39	Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x90a840…
10-21 05:37:18	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	99	56¢	$55	0x87c1e9…
10-21 05:37:02	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x0abb92…
10-21 05:36:44	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x08f462…
10-21 01:24:20	Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xf39c5a…
10-21 01:22:17	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	250	57¢	$142	0x6d8d08…
10-17 10:15:24	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xefa2f4…
10-17 09:46:11	Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	80	42¢	$33	0x2d2c9d…
10-17 09:45:57	Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6e62b5…
10-15 15:02:22	Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x9c4cb9…
10-15 15:01:58	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x82b4be…
10-12 20:33:23	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x2524dd…
10-12 15:48:14	Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xc027fd…
10-11 23:10:38	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	72	52¢	$37	0x96afdb…
10-11 23:10:06	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6cfff5…
10-11 23:09:54	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1bc807…
10-10 11:59:15	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xd5a62f…
10-10 11:59:06	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x5dd492…
10-10 11:57:49	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x79fe1a…
10-09 23:42:50	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb02fca…
10-09 20:51:28	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x252d46…
10-09 20:47:16	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xf0733f…
10-09 20:38:55	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xc335c2…
10-09 20:36:16	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0xc93a9b…
10-09 20:30:59	Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x4522ac…
10-09 20:30:37	Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0xea87ea…
10-09 20:30:23	Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xddaf71…
10-09 20:29:31	Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0xfc9eb9…
10-09 20:28:17	Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xcbad27…
10-07 13:13:04	Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x98ed58…
10-02 23:13:30	Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xc75787…
10-02 08:27:09	Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x110836…
10-02 02:17:32	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	Yes	SELL	150	98¢	$148	0x6bcacd…
10-02 02:16:24	Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xca2b92…
09-30 22:43:53	Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x1a1fb3…
09-30 22:43:18	Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$11	0xfadc6c…
09-30 01:39:08	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xd6c70d…
09-30 01:12:23	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xd41df9…
09-30 01:06:59	Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x032aea…
09-30 01:06:47	Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe91371…
09-30 01:06:36	Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x3b3df9…
09-29 15:29:39	Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xb4c124…
09-29 15:20:11	Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xf7e090…
09-29 02:58:51	Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xd0d490…
09-29 02:58:41	Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x6539ad…
09-28 02:00:03	Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xb9b1b5…
09-28 01:59:54	Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xdb716b…
09-28 01:59:45	Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc1d907…
09-28 01:59:33	Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe9604d…
09-28 01:59:23	Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x34d461…
09-26 14:36:05	Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xa525e6…
09-26 14:34:26	Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x973646…
09-26 13:52:36	Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x90af18…
09-26 13:22:17	Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5b917b…