Dismal-Switch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

512

lifetime

Volume

$48.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-24 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

94% 0% $-108

Politics

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	169	$16.5K	11,561	20,847	-9,286	open	—	07-20 15:35
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	13	$10.0K	10,600	10,600	+0	open	—	03-22 14:45
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$6.2K	6,444	6,444	+0	open	—	03-10 16:00
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	12	$4.8K	5,604	5,604	+0	open	—	03-12 16:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	3	$2.7K	0	3,339	-3,339	open	—	06-15 21:33
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	4	$2.1K	14,471	0	+14,471	open	—	03-18 18:00
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$1.6K	828	828	+0	open	—	03-13 03:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	1	$692	0	760	-760	open	—	06-07 19:23
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	2	$683	540	540	+0	open	—	03-22 14:45
will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	2	$382	400	0	+400	open	—	07-19 20:46
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	20	$255	11,863	11,863	+0	open	—	07-14 10:14
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$155	500	500	+0	open	—	03-22 14:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	7	$129	431	431	+0	open	—	07-15 15:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$126	700	0	+700	open	—	06-09 20:17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	1	$124	170	0	+170	open	—	06-09 20:18
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$100	135	0	+135	Yes	$-100	03-19 06:14
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	4	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 11:44
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$96	0	200	-200	open	—	06-09 10:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	4	$90	156	156	+0	open	—	07-20 07:46
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	44	$86	714	714	+0	open	—	07-14 08:43
will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	6	$70	2,071	2,071	+0	open	—	07-20 15:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	3	$66	79	29	+50	open	—	05-21 09:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	8	$65	361	361	+0	open	—	07-14 14:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	12	$60	65	65	+0	open	—	07-20 15:36
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	6	$47	48	48	+0	open	—	07-13 14:18
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	11	$47	816	816	+0	open	—	07-14 08:52
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$43	375	170	+205	open	—	02-27 15:39
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	5	$41	59	32	+27	open	—	07-20 18:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	2	$40	100	0	+100	open	—	07-22 17:12
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	5	$40	97	71	+26	open	—	07-21 18:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 22:33:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x4448e5…
07-24 22:32:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	407	2¢	$7	0x54ba1c…
07-23 02:15:46	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	57	31¢	$18	0x01c76b…
07-23 02:14:46	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xa09fea…
07-22 22:36:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x25cc6d…
07-22 17:32:37	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x841e31…
07-22 17:25:13	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	No	BUY	62	27¢	$17	0x1e8f82…
07-22 17:20:36	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3b8f61…
07-22 17:16:34	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2b1f68…
07-22 17:14:30	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x67b930…
07-22 17:12:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x02a22b…
07-22 13:21:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xcaebb4…
07-22 00:19:25	total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	Yes	BUY	201	10¢	$20	0xbd35fe…
07-21 21:58:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x7eed7e…
07-21 18:15:19	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x02ccad…
07-20 23:47:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xb30c0a…
07-20 19:21:15	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x2a3565…
07-20 19:17:09	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x90de7a…
07-20 19:17:07	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x6af0fd…
07-20 19:16:25	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xdeebc3…
07-20 19:11:25	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xd6d069…
07-20 18:44:27	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x299182…
07-20 16:43:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xa83fb3…
07-20 16:37:55	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260718195951624	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1e10d6…
07-20 16:16:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x171045…
07-20 15:46:06	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x36f9d5…
07-20 15:36:12	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xb5dd9b…
07-20 15:36:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x4f1b68…
07-20 15:35:54	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xf7eaa5…
07-20 15:35:27	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x02e2aa…
07-20 15:35:22	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	3¢	$6	0x2b1482…
07-20 15:35:04	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0xb42542…
07-20 15:34:55	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	SELL	2,048	0¢	$3	0x6428cf…
07-20 07:46:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	77	28¢	$21	0x60415d…
07-19 20:46:15	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0x553ea6…
07-19 07:38:24	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xf97d3c…
07-17 16:32:12	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	78	66¢	$52	0xcdf310…
07-17 15:18:49	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	73	66¢	$48	0x35bd69…
07-17 11:51:18	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xf5c100…
07-17 05:57:37	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	Yes	SELL	800	2¢	$14	0xcb9bee…
07-15 15:55:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	167	13¢	$22	0x33cc9d…
07-14 14:34:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	141	10¢	$14	0x86916a…
07-14 13:21:38	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x93e6bc…
07-14 13:21:17	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x02e35f…
07-14 12:30:37	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	61	17¢	$10	0xf06e6c…
07-14 12:30:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x7ff799…
07-14 10:14:07	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	SELL	1,285	0¢	$1	0x866a35…
07-14 10:13:56	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	SELL	141	0¢	$0	0x25e7be…
07-14 08:55:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	809	1¢	$5	0x689dc0…
07-14 08:52:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	620	3¢	$17	0xdf973f…
07-14 08:43:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x5b3a30…
07-14 08:41:02	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xbd1e44…
07-14 07:40:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x56aa31…
07-14 02:01:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	197	1¢	$2	0xbd5a71…
07-14 00:29:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	164	14¢	$23	0x45e82d…
07-14 00:29:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	43	14¢	$6	0xac05d5…
07-14 00:06:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0xa9054e…
07-14 00:05:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	382	1¢	$3	0x1ce545…
07-13 21:55:47	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x22f7fa…
07-13 21:44:17	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xe9a174…
07-13 21:44:16	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xb9e78c…
07-13 21:43:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0xfc284f…
07-13 21:43:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x3fe248…
07-13 21:43:56	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xc6eb5b…
07-13 21:43:56	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x97bf93…
07-13 21:43:56	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x6d9c51…
07-13 21:43:52	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x8456da…
07-13 21:43:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x10d1d3…
07-13 21:43:44	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x0fde60…
07-13 21:43:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xbf2521…
07-13 21:43:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x1495e5…
07-13 21:43:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x048053…
07-13 21:43:41	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xc8b2d0…
07-13 21:43:41	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x576460…
07-13 21:43:41	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x1c2717…
07-13 21:43:35	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xbbeedd…
07-13 21:43:32	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x30f17a…
07-13 21:43:32	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x1c98cc…
07-13 21:43:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x7b1ece…
07-13 21:43:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x8f939f…
07-13 21:43:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x713c57…
07-13 21:43:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x7110c3…
07-13 21:43:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x622b8c…
07-13 21:43:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x4efc5a…
07-13 21:43:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x178163…
07-13 21:43:25	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xa18329…
07-13 21:43:20	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf2296f…
07-13 21:43:17	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xfec275…
07-13 21:43:17	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x85559a…
07-13 21:43:17	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x60c70f…
07-13 21:43:17	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x5f115e…
07-13 21:43:17	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x4e0106…
07-13 21:43:16	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xad4194…
07-13 21:25:29	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf7ac68…
07-13 20:35:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	57	16¢	$9	0x80d593…
07-13 20:31:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x86f916…
07-13 19:11:46	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	SELL	8,333	0¢	$25	0xde435a…
07-13 18:51:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x05d496…
07-13 18:50:59	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xebc73d…
07-13 18:50:53	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa6a32a…